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We propose an approach for learning the causal structure in stochastic dynamical systems with a $1$-step functional dependency in the presence of latent variables. We propose an information-theoretic approach that allows us to recover the…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2017-01-25 Saber Salehkaleybar , Jalal Etesami , Negar Kiyavash

Bifurcation analysis has many applications in different scientific fields, such as electronics, biology, ecology, and economics. In population biology, deterministic methods of bifurcation are commonly used. In contrast, stochastic…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-10-27 Almaz Tesfay , Daniel Tesfay , Shenglan Yuan , James Brannan , Jinqiao Duan

In this paper we propose a new method to detect and classify coexisting solutions in nonlinear systems. We focus on mechanical and structural systems where we usually avoid multistability for safety and reliability. We want to be sure that…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2016-02-12 P. Brzeski , M. Lazarek , T. Kapitaniak , J. Kurths , P. Perlikowski

Equations governing the nonlinear dynamics of complex systems are usually unknown and indirect methods are used to reconstruct their manifolds. In turn, they depend on embedding parameters requiring other methods and long temporal sequences…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2020-06-24 Valeria d'Andrea , Manlio De Domenico

Path integrals play a crucial role in describing the dynamics of physical systems subject to classical or quantum noise. In fact, when correctly normalized, they express the probability of transition between two states of the system. In…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-09-02 Giulio Corazza , Matteo Fadel

Robust oscillations play crucial roles in a wide variety of biological processes and are often generated by deterministic mechanisms. However, stochastic fluctuations often generate complex perturbations of these deterministic oscillations,…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2026-03-27 Xuesong Bai , Jonathan Touboul , Thomas G. Fai

System identification of complex and nonlinear systems is a central problem for model predictive control and model-based reinforcement learning. Despite their complexity, such systems can often be approximated well by a set of linear…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-05-30 Philip Becker-Ehmck , Jan Peters , Patrick van der Smagt

We study the statistical properties of overdamped particles driven by two cross-correlated multiplicative Gaussian white noises in a time-dependent environment. Using the Langevin and Fokker-Planck approaches, we derive the exact…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-08-16 S. I. Denisov , A. N. Vitrenko , W. Horsthemke , P. Hänggi

Suppose a two-dimensional dynamical system has a stable attractor that is surrounded by an unstable limit cycle. If the system is additively perturbed by white noise, the rate of escape through the limit cycle will fall off exponentially as…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2007-05-23 Robert S. Maier , Daniel L. Stein

In this paper, we derive a novel procedure for set-membership estimation of dynamical systems affected by stochastic noise with unbounded support. Employing a bound on the sample covariance matrix, we are able to provide a finite- sample…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-20 Felix Brändle , Nicolas Chatzikiriakos , Andrea Iannelli , Frank Allgöwer

System identification is of special interest in science and engineering. This article is concerned with a system identification problem arising in stochastic dynamic systems, where the aim is to estimate the parameters of a system along…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-01-27 Christos Merkatas , Simo Särkkä

Previous studies have shown that noise can induce coherence resonance in some nonlinear dynamical systems close to a bifurcation of a periodic motion, such as in excitable systems. We demonstrate that coherence resonance can be observed in…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2007-05-23 Bambi Hu , Changsong Zhou

Nonlinear dynamical systems possessing reflection symmetry have an invariant subspace in the phase space. The dynamics within the invariant subspace can be random or chaotic. As a system parameter changes, the motion transverse to the…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2007-05-23 Changsong Zhou , C. -H. Lai

In a noisy environment, oscillations loose their coherence which can be characterized by a quality factor. We determine this quality factor for oscillations arising from a driven Fokker-Planck dynamics along a periodic one-dimensional…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-12-15 Benedikt Remlein , Volker Weissmann , Udo Seifert

We consider a prototypical nonlinear system which can be stabilized by multiplicative noise: an underdamped non-linear pendulum with a stochastically vibrating pivot. A numerical solution of the pertinent Fokker-Planck equation shows that…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-13 Yuval B. Simons , Baruch Meerson

The problem of determining dynamical models and trajectories that describe observed time-series data allowing for the understanding, prediction and possibly control of complex systems in nature is of a great interest in a wide variety of…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2007-05-23 V. N. Smelyanskiy , D. G. Luchinsky , M. Millons

The relaxation to equilibrium in many systems which show strange kinetics is described by fractional Fokker-Planck equations (FFPEs). These can be considered as phenomenological equations of linear nonequilibrium theory. We show that the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 I. M. Sokolov

It is well-known that the fundamental diagram in a realistic traffic system is featured by capacity drop. From a mesoscopic approach, we demonstrate that such a phenomenon is linked to the unique properties of stochastic noise, which, when…

Applications · Statistics 2025-03-21 Mariana Pereira de Melo , Leon Alexander Valencia , Wei-Liang Qian

We present a consistent method to calculate the probability distribution of soliton parameters in systems with additive noise. Even though a weak noise is considered, we are interested in probabilities of large fluctuations (generally…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2009-10-31 G. Falkovich , I. Kolokolov , V. Lebedev , S. Turitsyn

We analyze the properties of arguably the simplest bilinear stochastic multiplicative process, proposed as a model of financial returns and of other complex systems combining both nonlinearity and multiplicative noise. By construction, it…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-11-13 D. Sornette , V. F. Pisarenko