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We consider a residuals-based distributionally robust optimization (DRO) model, where the underlying uncertainty depends on both covariate information and our decisions. We adopt both parametric and nonparametric regression models to learn…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-05-21 Qing Zhu , Xian Yu , Guzin Bayraksan

It is known that the set of perturbed data is key in robust optimization (RO) modelling. Distributionally robust optimization (DRO) is a methodology used for optimization problems affected by random parameters with uncertain probability…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-05-09 Yueyao Li , Wenxun Xing

In order to protect the environment and address fossil fuel scarcity, renewable energy is increasingly used for power generation. However, due to the uncertainties it brings to electricity production, deterministic optimization is no longer…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-12-13 Shuhan Lyu

In this paper, we introduce a framework for contextual distributionally robust optimization (DRO) that considers the causal and continuous structure of the underlying distribution by developing interpretable and tractable decision rules…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-03 Fenglin Zhang , Jie Wang

We study two-stage distributionally robust optimization (DRO) problems with decision-dependent information discovery (DDID) wherein (a portion of) the uncertain parameters are revealed only if an (often costly) investment is made in the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-10-07 Qing Jin , Angelos Georghiou , Phebe Vayanos , Grani A. Hanasusanto

In stochastic optimal control (SOC), uncertainty may arise from incomplete knowledge of the true probability distribution of the underlying environment, which is known as Knightian or epistemic uncertainty. Distributionally robust optimal…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-04-10 Wentao Ma , Zhiping Chen , Huifu Xu , Enlu Zhou

We consider optimal decision-making problems in an uncertain environment. In particular, we consider the case in which the distribution of the input is unknown, yet there is abundant historical data drawn from the distribution. In this…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-10-03 Zizhuo Wang , Peter Glynn , Yinyu Ye

This paper presents a distributionally robust planning method for hydrogen-electrical microgrids over islands, where the cross-island energy exchange is supported by a maritime hydrogen transport network. This planning problem is…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-05-22 Yuchen Dong , Zhengsong Lu , Xiaoyu Cao , Zhengwen He , Tanveer Hossain Bhuiyan , Bo Zeng

There are numerous industrial settings in which a decision maker must decide whether to enter into long-term contracts to guarantee price (and hence cash flow) stability or to participate in more volatile spot markets. In this paper, we…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-01-28 Dimitri J. Papageorgiou

Distributionally Robust Optimisation (DRO) protects risk-averse decision-makers by considering the worst-case risk within an ambiguity set of distributions based on the empirical distribution or a model. To further guard against finite,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-05-07 Charita Dellaporta , Patrick O'Hara , Theodoros Damoulas

Distributionally Robust Optimization (DRO) is a worst-case approach to decision making when there is model uncertainty. It is also well known that for certain uncertainty sets, DRO is approximated by a regularized nominal problem. We show…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-05-08 Jun-ya Gotoh , Michael Jong Kim , Andrew E. B. Lim

Distributionally robust control is a well-studied framework for optimal decision making under uncertainty, with the objective of minimizing an expected cost function over control actions, assuming the most adverse probability distribution…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-08-12 Alexandros E. Tzikas , Lukas Fiechtner , Arec Jamgochian , Mykel J. Kochenderfer

Distributionally Robust Optimal Control (DROC) is a framework that enables robust control in a stochastic setting where the true disturbance distribution is unknown. Traditional DROC approaches require given ambiguity sets and KL divergence…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-10-03 Rui Liu , Guangyao Shi , Pratap Tokekar

Distributionally robust optimization (DRO) has shown lot of promise in providing robustness in learning as well as sample based optimization problems. We endeavor to provide DRO solutions for a class of sum of fractionals, non-convex…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-01 Avinandan Bose , Arunesh Sinha , Tien Mai

Distributionally Robust Optimization (DRO), which aims to find an optimal decision that minimizes the worst case cost over the ambiguity set of probability distribution, has been widely applied in diverse applications, e.g., network…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-07-31 Yang Jiao , Kai Yang , Dongjin Song

We consider data-driven approaches that integrate a machine learning prediction model within distributionally robust optimization (DRO) given limited joint observations of uncertain parameters and covariates. Our framework is flexible in…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-05-26 Rohit Kannan , Güzin Bayraksan , James R. Luedtke

We study multistage distributionally robust optimization (DRO) to hedge against ambiguity in quantifying the underlying uncertainty of a problem. Recognizing that not all the realizations and scenario paths might have an "effect" on the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-09-15 Hamed Rahimian , Guzin Bayraksan , Tito Homem-de-Mello

Electric vehicles (EVs) are being rapidly adopted due to their economic and societal benefits. Autonomous mobility-on-demand (AMoD) systems also embrace this trend. However, the long charging time and high recharging frequency of EVs pose…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-11-28 Sihong He , Zhili Zhang , Shuo Han , Lynn Pepin , Guang Wang , Desheng Zhang , John Stankovic , Fei Miao

A common goal in statistics and machine learning is to learn models that can perform well against distributional shifts, such as latent heterogeneous subpopulations, unknown covariate shifts, or unmodeled temporal effects. We develop and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-07-21 John Duchi , Hongseok Namkoong

Utility preference robust optimization (PRO) has recently been proposed to deal with optimal decision making problems where the decision maker's (DM) preference over gains and losses is ambiguous. In this paper, we take a step further to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-03-11 Jian Hu , Dali Zhang , Huifu Xu , Sainan Zhang