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Designing scalable estimation algorithms is a core challenge in modern statistics. Here we introduce a framework to address this challenge based on parallel approximants, which yields estimators with provable properties that operate on the…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-04 Aritra Chakravorty , William S. Cleveland , Patrick J. Wolfe

Performing exact Bayesian inference for complex models is computationally intractable. Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms can provide reliable approximations of the posterior distribution but are expensive for large datasets and…

Computation · Statistics 2021-12-09 Maxime Vono , Daniel Paulin , Arnaud Doucet

We demonstrate the consistency of cross validation for comparing multiple density estimators using simple inequalities on the likelihood ratio. In nonparametric problems, the splitting of data does not require the domination of test data…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-17 Heng Lian

Efficient sampling of many-dimensional and multimodal density functions is a task of great interest in many research fields. We describe an algorithm that allows parallelizing inherently serial Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling by…

Computation · Statistics 2020-08-10 Vasyl Hafych , Philipp Eller , Oliver Schulz , Allen Caldwell

Experimentation in online digital platforms is used to inform decision making. Specifically, the goal of many experiments is to optimize a metric of interest. Null hypothesis statistical testing can be ill-suited to this task, as it is…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-10 Timothy Sudijono , Simon Ejdemyr , Apoorva Lal , Martin Tingley

The decision to incorporate cross-validation into validation processes of mathematical models raises an immediate question - how should one partition the data into calibration and validation sets? We answer this question systematically: we…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2011-08-31 Rebecca Morrison , Corey Bryant , Gabriel Terejanu , Kenji Miki , Serge Prudhomme

Autonomous Vehicles (AVs) are often tested in simulation to estimate the probability they will violate safety specifications. Two common issues arise when using existing techniques to produce this estimation: If violations occur rarely,…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-07-25 Craig Innes , Subramanian Ramamoorthy

In online randomized experiments or A/B tests, accurate predictions of participant inclusion rates are of paramount importance. These predictions not only guide experimenters in optimizing the experiment's duration but also enhance the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-06 Lorenzo Masoero , Mario Beraha , Thomas Richardson , Stefano Favaro

Residual marked empirical process-based tests are commonly used in regression models. However, they suffer from data sparseness in high-dimensional space when there are many covariates. This paper has three purposes. First, we suggest a…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-10-27 Xuehu Zhu , Xu Guo , Lixing Zhu

This paper explores methods for estimating or approximating the total variation distance and the chi-squared divergence of probability measures within topological sample spaces, using independent and identically distributed samples. Our…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2023-12-20 Chong Xiao Wang , Wee Peng Tay

Aggregation patterns are often visually detected in sets of location data. These clusters may be the result of interesting dynamics or the effect of pure randomness. We build an asymptotically Gaussian test for the hypothesis of randomness…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-06-09 Gabriel Lang , Eric Marcon

We initiate a systematic investigation of distribution testing in the framework of algorithmic replicability. Specifically, given independent samples from a collection of probability distributions, the goal is to characterize the sample…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-04 Ilias Diakonikolas , Jingyi Gao , Daniel Kane , Sihan Liu , Christopher Ye

In order to substantiate claims of quantum computational advantage, it is crucial to develop efficient methods for validating the experimental data. We propose a test of the correct functioning of a boson sampler with single-photon inputs…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2024-09-25 Benoit Seron , Leonardo Novo , Alex Arkhipov , Nicolas J. Cerf

This paper aims to develop an effective model-free inference procedure for high-dimensional data. We first reformulate the hypothesis testing problem via sufficient dimension reduction framework. With the aid of new reformulation, we…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-05-17 Xu Guo , Runze Li , Zhe Zhang , Changliang Zou

Parallel thinking has emerged as a promising paradigm for reasoning, yet it imposes significant computational burdens. Existing efficiency methods primarily rely on local, per-trajectory signals and lack principled mechanisms to exploit…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-02-12 Tong Zheng , Chengsong Huang , Runpeng Dai , Yun He , Rui Liu , Xin Ni , Huiwen Bao , Kaishen Wang , Hongtu Zhu , Jiaxin Huang , Furong Huang , Heng Huang

We address the asymptotic and approximate distributions of a large class of test statistics with quadratic forms used in association studies. The statistics of interest do not necessarily follow a chi-square distribution and take the…

Applications · Statistics 2009-09-24 Liping Tong , Jie Yang , Richard S. Cooper

This paper examines the use of Monte Carlo simulations to understand statistical concepts in A/B testing and Randomized Controlled Trials (RCTs). We discuss the applicability of simulations in understanding false positive rates and estimate…

Applications · Statistics 2024-11-12 Márton Trencséni

Weighted histograms in Monte Carlo simulations are often used for the estimation of probability density functions. They are obtained as a result of random experiments with random events that have weights. In this paper, the bin contents of…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2010-03-02 N. D. Gagunashvili

We consider the problem of inference in shift-share research designs. The choice between existing approaches that allow for unrestricted spatial correlation involves tradeoffs, varying in terms of their validity when there are relatively…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-06-03 Luis Alvarez , Bruno Ferman , Raoni Oliveira

Given a pair of multivariate time-series data of the same length and dimensions, an approach is proposed to select variables and time intervals where the two series are significantly different. In applications where one time series is an…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-11 Kensuke Mitsuzawa , Margherita Grossi , Stefano Bortoli , Motonobu Kanagawa