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A factor copula model is proposed in which factors are either simulable or estimable from exogenous information. Point estimation and inference are based on a simulated methods of moments (SMM) approach with non-overlapping simulation…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-12-02 Alexander Mayer , Dominik Wied

Study of recurrences in earthquakes, climate, financial time-series, etc. is crucial to better forecast disasters and limit their consequences. However, almost all the previous phenomenological studies involved only a long-ranged…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2013-09-11 Rémy Chicheportiche , Anirban Chakraborti

As other neurodegenerative diseases, Alzheimer's disease, the most frequent dementia in the elderly, is characterized by multiple progressive impairments in the brain structure and in clinical functions such as cognitive functioning and…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-10-21 Cécile Proust-Lima , Viviane Philipps , Jean-François Dartigues

As the meta-analysis of more than one diagnostic tests can impact clinical decision making and patient health, there is an increasing body of research in models and methods for meta-analysis of studies comparing multiple diagnostic tests.…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-05-11 Aristidis K. Nikoloulopoulos

Risk evaluation is a forecast, and its validity must be backtested. Probability distribution forecasts are used in this work and allow for more powerful validations compared to point forecasts. Our aim is to use bivariate copulas in order…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-11-21 Boris David , Gilles Zumbach

Characterization of long-term disease dynamics, from disease-free to end-stage, is integral to understanding the course of neurodegenerative diseases such as Parkinson's and Alzheimer's; and ultimately, how best to intervene. Natural…

Applications · Statistics 2018-01-12 Dan Li , Samuel Iddi , Wesley K. Thompson , Michael C. Donohue

A common problem in clinical trials is to test whether the effect of an explanatory variable on a response of interest is similar between two groups, e.g. patient or treatment groups. In this regard, similarity is defined as equivalence up…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-12 Niklas Hagemann , Giampiero Marra , Frank Bretz , Kathrin Möllenhoff

Many insurance products and pension plans provide benefits which are related to couples, and thus under influence of the survival status of two lives. Some studies show the future lifetime of couples is correlated. Three reasons are…

Applications · Statistics 2018-06-27 Amin Hassan Zadeh , Soroush Amirhashchi

In medical studies, it is common the presence of a fraction of patients who do not experience the event of interest. These patients are people who are not at risk of the event or are patients who were cured during the research. The…

Multivariate bounded discrete data arises in many fields. In the setting of dementia studies, such data is collected when individuals complete neuropsychological tests. We outline a modeling and inference procedure that can model the joint…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-10 Daniel Suen , Yen-Chi Chen

Use of copula for the purpose of modeling dependence has been receiving considerable attention in recent times. On the other hand, search for multivariate copulas with desirable dependence properties also is an important area of research.…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-18 Subhajit Chattopadhyay

Modern datasets commonly feature both substantial missingness and many variables of mixed data types, which present significant challenges for estimation and inference. Complete case analysis, which proceeds using only the observations with…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-10 Joseph Feldman , Daniel R. Kowal

Combining experimental and observational follow-up datasets has received a lot of attention lately. In a time-to-event setting, recent work has used medicare claims to extend the follow-up period for participants in a prostate cancer…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-12 Gang Cheng , Yen-Chi Chen , Joseph M. Unger , Cathee Till , Ying-Qi Zhao

We consider a joint survival and mixed-effects model to explain the survival time from longitudinal data and high-dimensional covariates in a population. The longitudinal data is modeled using a non linear mixed-effects model to account for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-08-06 Antoine Caillebotte , Estelle Kuhn , Sarah Lemler

Analysis of multivariate time series is a common problem in areas like finance and economics. The classical tool for this purpose are vector autoregressive models. These however are limited to the modeling of linear and symmetric…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-04-05 Eike Christian Brechmann , Claudia Czado

The estimation of time-varying quantities is a fundamental component of decision making in fields such as healthcare and finance. However, the practical utility of such estimates is limited by how accurately they quantify predictive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-29 Alexandre Drouin , Étienne Marcotte , Nicolas Chapados

The problem of dynamic prediction with time-dependent covariates, given by biomarkers, repeatedly measured over time, has received much attention over the last decades. Two contrasting approaches have become in widespread use. The first is…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-31 Hein Putter , Hans C. van Houwelingen

In recent years, the growing availability of biomedical datasets featuring numerous longitudinal covariates has motivated the development of several multi-step methods for the dynamic prediction of survival outcomes. These methods employ…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-14 Mirko Signorelli , Sophie Retif

Joint models are used in ageing studies to investigate the association between longitudinal markers and a time-to-event, and have been extended to multiple markers and/or competing risks. The competing risk of death must be considered in…

A standard quantitative method to access credit risk employs a factor model based on joint multivariate normal distribution properties. By extending a one-factor Gaussian copula model to make a more accurate default forecast, this paper…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-10-07 Meng-Jou Lu , Cathy Yi-Hsuan Chen , Wolfgang Karl Härdle
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