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We extend the celebrated Stone's theorem to the framework of distributional regression. More precisely, we prove that weighted empirical distribution with local probability weights satisfying the conditions of Stone's theorem provide…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-02-03 Clément Dombry , Thibault Modeste , Romain Pic

Stein's method compares probability distributions through the study of a class of linear operators called Stein operators. While mainly studied in probability and used to underpin theoretical statistics, Stein's method has led to…

Based on Stein's method, we derive upper bounds for Poisson process approximation in the $L_1$-Wasserstein metric $d_2^{(p)}$, which is based on a slightly adapted $L_p$-Wasserstein metric between point measures. For the case $p=1$, this…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-06-12 Dominic Schuhmacher

Applying the standard weighted mean formula, [sum_i {n_i sigma^{-2}_i}] / [sum_i {sigma^{-2}_i}], to determine the weighted mean of data, n_i, drawn from a Poisson distribution, will, on average, underestimate the true mean by ~1 for all…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-10-31 Kenneth J. Mighell

We consider the approximation of a convolution of possibly different probability measures by (compound) Poisson distributions and also by related signed measures of higher order. We present new total variation bounds having a better…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-03-08 Bero Roos

Let $S_n=I_1+\cdots+I_n$ be a sum of independent indicators $I_i$, with $p_i=\Pr(I_i=1)=1-\Pr(I_i=0)$, $i=1,\ldots,n$. It is well-known that the total variation distance between $S_n$ and $Z_\lambda$, where $Z_\lambda$ has a Poisson…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-05-08 Nickos Papadatos

We develop a general approach to Stein's method for approximating a random process in the path space $D([0,T]\to R^d)$ by a real continuous Gaussian process. We then use the approach in the context of processes that have a representation as…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-01-24 A. D. Barbour , Nathan Ross , Guangqu Zheng

Motivated by its appearance as a limiting distribution for random and non-random sums of independent random variables, in this paper we develop Stein's method for approximation by the asymmetric Laplace distribution. Our results generalise…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-15 Fraser Daly , Robert E. Gaunt , Heather L. Sutcliffe

One aspect of Poisson approximation is that the support of the random variable of interest is often finite while the support of the Poisson distribution is not. In this paper we will remedy this by examining truncated negative binomial (of…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-05-02 H. L. Gan

To improve the efficiency of Monte Carlo estimation, practitioners are turning to biased Markov chain Monte Carlo procedures that trade off asymptotic exactness for computational speed. The reasoning is sound: a reduction in variance due to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-01-03 Jackson Gorham , Lester Mackey

We consider random rectangles in $\mathbb{R}^2$ that are distributed according to a Poisson random measure, i.e., independently and uniformly scattered in the plane. The distributions of the length and the width of the rectangles are…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-06-29 Frank Aurzada , Sebastian Schwinn

In Bayesian theory, calculating a posterior probability distribution is highly important but usually difficult. Therefore, some methods have been put forward to deal with such problem, among which, the most popular one is the asymptotic…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-07-20 Zai-Ying Zhou

We consider the discrete three dimensional scan statistics. Viewed as the maximum of an 1-dependent stationary r.v.'s sequence, we provide approximations and error bounds for the probability distribution of the three dimensional scan…

Computation · Statistics 2013-03-18 Alexandru Amarioarei , Cristian Preda

Compound Poisson distributions and signed compound Poisson measures are used for approximation of the Markov binomial distribution. The upper and lower bound estimates are obtained for the total variation, local and Wasserstein norms. In a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-11-29 V. Čekanavičius , P. Vellaisamy

In this article, we present the theoretical basis for an approach to Stein's method for probability distributions on Riemannian manifolds. Using a semigroup representation for the solution to the Stein equation, we use tools from stochastic…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-01-28 James Thompson

Motivated by the recent contribution \cite{BB17} we study the scaling limit behavior of a class of one-dimensional stochastic differential equations which has a unique attracting point subject to a small additional repulsive perturbation.…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2019-06-26 Martin Kolb , Matthias Liesenfeld

We analyze the Gaussian approximation as a method to obtain the first and second moments of a stochastic process described by a master equation. We justify the use of this approximation with ideas coming from van Kampen's expansion approach…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-18 Luis F. Lafuerza , Raul Toral

We use the Stein-Chen method to study the extremal behaviour of the problem of extremes for univariate and bivariate geometric laws. We obtain a rate for the convergence to the Gumbel distribution of the law of the maximum of i. i. d.…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-10-27 Alessandra Cipriani , Anne Feidt

Motivated by a theorem of Barbour, we revisit some of the classical limit theorems in probability from the viewpoint of the Stein method. We setup the framework to bound Wasserstein distances between some distributions on infinite…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-07-30 Laure Coutin , Laurent Decreusefond

We obtain bounds to quantify the distributional approximation in the delta method for vector statistics (the sample mean of $n$ independent random vectors) for normal and non-normal limits, measured using smooth test functions. For normal…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-05-11 Robert E. Gaunt , Heather Sutcliffe
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