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Mortality patterns at a subnational level or across subpopulations are often used to examine the health of a population. In small populations, however, death counts are erratic. To deal with this problem, demographers have proposed…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-21 Esther Denecke , Pavel Grigoriev , Roland Rau

The wealth of nations and the health of populations are intimately strongly associated, yet the extent to which economic prosperity (GDP per capita) causes improved health remains disputed. The purpose of this article is to analyze the…

General Economics · Economics 2021-01-01 Adel Daoud

Forecasts of mortality provide vital information about future populations, with implications for pension and health-care policy as well as for decisions made by private companies about life insurance and annuity pricing. Stochastic…

Applications · Statistics 2018-06-21 Jason Hilton , Erengul Dodd , Jonathan J. Forster , Peter W. F. Smith

Infant mortality remains a significant public health concern in the United States, with birth defects identified as a leading cause. Despite ongoing efforts to understand the causes of negative pregnancy outcomes like miscarriage,…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-12-30 Md Badsha Biswas

Following our previous works on the health state of a population and the related health state function we proceed in developing a method to estimate the Healthy Life Expectancy in connection to the relative impact of the Mortality Area in…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2012-05-15 Christos H. Skiadas , Charilaos Skiadas

Preterm births occur at an alarming rate of 10-15%. Preemies have a higher risk of infant mortality, developmental retardation and long-term disabilities. Predicting preterm birth is difficult, even for the most experienced clinicians. The…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-07-29 Truyen Tran , Wei Luo , Dinh Phung , Jonathan Morris , Kristen Rickard , Svetha Venkatesh

Worldwide, many millions of people die suddenly and unexpectedly each year, either with or without a prior history of cardiovascular disease. Such events are sparse (once in a lifetime), many victims will not have had prior investigations…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-06 Yola Jones , Fani Deligianni , Jeff Dalton , Pierpaolo Pellicori , John G F Cleland

Abortion is one of the biggest causes of maternal deaths, accounting for 15% of maternal deaths in Southeast Asia. The increase in and effectiveness of using contraception are still considered to be the effective method to reduce abortion…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2021-04-06 R. Sutiawan

A well-established insight in mortality forecasting is that combining predictions from a set of models improves accuracy compared to relying on a single best model. This paper proposes a novel ensemble approach based on Shapley values, a…

Applications · Statistics 2026-03-05 G. Bimonte , M. Russolillo , Y. Yang , H. L. Shang

Mortality rates are often disaggregated by different attributes, such as sex, state, education, religion or ethnicity. Forecasting mortality rates at the national and sub-national levels plays an important role in making social policies…

Applications · Statistics 2016-09-01 Han Lin Shang

This paper is not (or at least not only) about human infant mortality. In line with reliability theory, "infant" will refer here to the time interval following birth during which the mortality (or failure) rate decreases. This definition…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2016-03-15 Sylvie Berrut , Violette Pouillard , Peter Richmond , Bertrand M. Roehner

Although traditional literature on mortality modeling has focused on single countries in isolation, recent contributions have progressively moved toward joint models for multiple countries. Besides favoring borrowing of information to…

Applications · Statistics 2025-04-08 Giovanni Romanò , Emanuele Aliverti , Daniele Durante

In a general way at all ages and for almost all diseases, male death rates are higher than female death rates. Here we report a case in which the opposite holds, namely for tuberculosis (TB) mortality between the ages of 5 and 25, female…

Medical Physics · Physics 2018-02-05 Sylvan Berrut , Peter Richmond , Bertrand M. Roehner

Neonatal death is still a concerning reality for underdeveloped and even some developed countries. Worldwide data indicate that 26.693 babies out of 1,000 births die, according to Macro Trades. To reduce this number, early prediction of…

Age-disaggregated health data is crucial for effective public health planning and monitoring. Monitoring under-five mortality, for example, requires highly detailed age data since the distribution of potential causes of death varies…

Applications · Statistics 2023-02-23 Shuxian Fan , Li Liu , Jamie Perin , Tyler H. McCormick

Age-specific probabilities of death provide a snapshot of population mortality at the country level at a given point in time. Due to the high dimensionality of the data, summarising mortality information is essential for various analyses,…

Applications · Statistics 2026-03-30 Pedro Menezes de Araújo , Isobel Claire Gormley , Thomas Brendan Murphy

Unintended pregnancy and abortion estimates are needed to inform and motivate investment in global health programmes and policies. Variability in the availability and reliability of data poses challenges for producing estimates. We…

Understanding the community conditions that best support universal access and improved childhood outcomes allows ultimately to improve decision-making in the areas of planning and investment across the early stages of childhood development.…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2019-03-26 Cody Griffith , Varoon Mathur , Catherine Lin , Kevin Zhu

A rapid decline in mortality and fertility has become major issues in many developed countries over the past few decades. A precise model for forecasting demographic movements is important for decision making in social welfare policies and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-12-30 Ka Kin Lam , Bo Wang

Malaria, childhood acute respiratory infection, and child undernutrition together account for over two million deaths annually in children under five, with the burden concentrated in low and middle-income countries where climate variability…

Applications · Statistics 2026-05-13 Usman Nazir , I-Han Cheng , Sara Khalid