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Population extinction is a rare event which requires overcoming an effective barrier. We show that the extinction rate can be fragile: a small change in the system parameters leads to an exponentially strong change of the rate, with the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2009-04-13 M. Khasin , M. I. Dykman

Entropy production in stochastic mechanical systems is examined here with strict bounds on its rate. Stochastic mechanical systems include pure diffusions in Euclidean space or on Lie groups, as well as systems evolving on phase space for…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2022-01-12 Gregory S. Chirikjian

The effect of diffusively correlated spatial fluctuations on the proliferation-extinction transition of autocatalytic agents is investigated numerically. Reactants adaptation to spatio-temporal active regions is shown to lead to…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-11 Sasi Moalem , Nadav M. Shnerb

We are interested in the invasion phase for stochastic processes with interactions when a single mutant with positive fitness arrives in a resident population at equilibrium. By a now classic approach, the first stage of the invasion is…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-06-14 Vincent Bansaye , Xavier Erny , Sylvie Méléard

Positive density-dependence occurs when individuals experience increased survivorship, growth, or reproduction with increased population densities. Mechanisms leading to these positive relationships include mate limitation, saturating…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-02-12 Sebastian J. Schreiber

A system of particles is studied in which the stochastic processes are one-particle type-change (or one-particle diffusion) and multi-particle annihilation. It is shown that, if the annihilation rate tends to zero but the initial values of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Mohammad Khorrami , Amir Aghamohammadi

We propose and study a stochastic capital-labour model with logistic growth function. First, we show that the model has a unique positive global solution. Then, using the Lyapunov analysis method, we obtain conditions for the extinction of…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-10-03 Houssine Zine , Jaouad Danane , Delfim F. M. Torres

We study two types of stochastic processes, a mean-field spatial system of interacting Fisher-Wright diffusions with an inferior and an advantageous type with rare mutation (inferior to advantageous) and a (mean-field) spatial system of…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-08-02 Donald A. Dawson , Andreas Greven

This paper investigates the optimal harvesting strategy for a single species living in random environments whose growth is given by a regime-switching diffusion. Harvesting acts as a (stochastic) control on the size of the population. The…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-08-02 Qingshuo Song , Richard Stockbridge , Chao Zhu

Traditionally, Probability theory was dealing with limit theorems where 'limit" means that time tends to infinity. Questions about finite time dynamics (evolution) were always considered as, although important for practical applications,…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2025-12-19 Leonid Bunimovich , Kirill Kovalenko

We study stochastic extinction for a class of Markov processes motivated by models in ecology and epidemiology. Extinction is often characterized by a boundedness condition and a condition on boundary Lyapunov exponents (invasion rates).…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-23 Nhu Nguyen , Dang H. Nguyen

Sexually reproducing populations with small number of individuals may go extinct by stochastic fluctuations in sex determination, causing all their members to become male or female in a generation. In this work we calculate the time to…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2012-10-24 David M. Schneider , Eduardo do Carmo , Yaneer Bar-Yam , Marcus A. M. de Aguiar

The survival of natural populations may be greatly affected by environmental conditions that vary in space and time. We look at a population residing in two locations (patches) coupled by migration, in which the local conditions fluctuate…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-08-11 Tal Agranov , Guy Bunin

A mass ejection model in a time-dependent random environment with both temporal and spatial correlations is introduced. When the environment has a finite correlation length, individual particle trajectories are found to diffuse at large…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2012-03-28 Giorgio Krstulovic , Rehab Bitane , Jeremie Bec

Isolated populations ultimately go extinct because of the intrinsic noise of elementary processes. In multi-population systems extinction of a population may occur via more than one route. We investigate this generic situation in a simple…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-06-03 Omer Gottesman , Baruch Meerson

We study the dynamics of a second-order difference equation that is derived from a planar Ricker model of two-stage (e.g. adult, juvenile) biological populations. We obtain sufficient conditions for global convergence to zero in the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2017-02-14 N. Lazaryan , H. Sedaghat

Many driven systems alternate between bursts of activity and quiescence and can become trapped in an absorbing state, such as complete inactivity in reaction-diffusion processes or extinction in predator-prey dynamics. It is generally…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-05-14 Kartik Chhajed , P. K. Mohanty

The FKPP equation with a variable growth rate and advection by an incompressible velocity field is considered as a model for plankton dispersed by ocean currents. If the average growth rate is negative then the model has a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2007-09-04 Daniel A. Birch , Yue-Kin Tsang , William R. Young

An infinite population of point entities dwelling in the habitat $X=\mathds{R}^d$ is studied. Its members arrive at and depart from $X$ at random. The departure rate has a term corresponding to a logistic-type interaction between the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-11 Yuri Kozitsky , Michael Röckner

The asymmetric exclusion process is an idealised stochastic model of transport, whose exact solution has given important insight into a general theory of nonequilibrium statistical physics. In this work, we consider a totally asymmetric…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-06-25 Arvind Ayyer , Dipankar Roy