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Environmental noise can cause an exponential reduction in the mean time to extinction (MTE) of an isolated population. We study this effect on an example of a stochastic birth-death process with rates modulated by a colored Gaussian noise.…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-05-13 Alex Kamenev , Baruch Meerson , Boris Shklovskii

Desertification in dryland ecosystems is considered to be a major environmental threat that may lead to devastating consequences. The concern increases when the system admits two alternative steady states and the transition is abrupt and…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2017-09-13 Dor Herman , Nadav M. Shnerb

Many types of bacteria can survive under stress by switching stochastically between two different phenotypes: the "normals" who multiply fast, but are vulnerable to stress, and the "persisters" who hardly multiply, but are resilient to…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2011-11-10 Ingo Lohmar , Baruch Meerson

We analyze the long-term stability of a stochastic model designed to illustrate the adaptation of a population to variation in its environment. A piecewise-deterministic process modeling adaptation is coupled to a Feller logistic diffusion…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-09-14 Aurélien Velleret

Understanding the conditions ensuring the persistence of a population is an issue of primary importance in population biology. The first theoretical approach to the problem dates back to the 50's with the KiSS (after Kierstead, Slobodkin…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-09-07 Stefano Berti , Massimo Cencini , Davide Vergni , Angelo Vulpiani

A natural phenomenon occurring in a living system is an outcome of the dynamics of the specific biological network underlying the phenomenon. The collective dynamics have both deterministic and stochastic components. The stochastic nature…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-09-01 Indrani Bose

This work is devoted to the study of a stochastic logistic growth model with and without the Allee effect. Such a model describes the evolution of a population under environmental stochastic fluctuations and is in the form of a stochastic…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-08-05 Almaz Tesfay , Daniel Tesfay , James Brannan , Jinqiao Duan

The question of whether a population will persist or go extinct is of key interest throughout ecology and biology. Various mathematical techniques allow us to generate knowledge regarding individual behaviour, which can be analysed to…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-04-28 Stuart T. Johnston , Matthew J. Simpson , Edmund J. Crampin

Populations interact non-linearly and are influenced by environmental fluctuations. In order to have realistic mathematical models, one needs to take into account that the environmental fluctuations are inherently stochastic. Often,…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-07-29 Alexandru Hening , Siddharth Sabharwal

Stochasticity can play an important role in the dynamics of biologically relevant populations. These span a broad range of scales: from intra-cellular populations of molecules to population of cells and then to groups of plants, animals and…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-07-04 Michael Assaf , Baruch Meerson

Time evolution of number of species (genera, families, and others), population of them, and size distribution of present ones and life times are studied in terms of a new model, where population of each genetic taxon increases by a (random)…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2007-05-23 Caglar Tuncay

We study simple stochastic scenarios, based on birth-and-death Markovian processes, that describe populations with Allee effect, to account for the role of demographic stochasticity. In the mean-field deterministic limit we recover…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-02-06 Vicenç Méndez , Michael Assaf , Axel Masó-Puigdellosas , Daniel Campos , Werner Horsthemke

This paper deals with extinction of an isolated population caused by intrinsic noise. We model the population dynamics in a "refuge" as a Markov process which involves births and deaths on discrete lattice sites and random migrations…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-19 Baruch Meerson , Pavel V. Sasorov

Logistic growth on a static heterogenous substrate is studied both above and below the drift-induced delocalization transition. Using stochastic, agent-based simulations the delocalization of the highest eigenfunction is connected with the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-08-20 David A. Kessler , Nadav M. Shnerb

In this paper, a non-autonomous stochastic logistic system is considered. An interesting result on the effect of stochastically perturbation for the dynamic behavior are obtained. That is, under certain conditions the stochastic system have…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2012-08-08 Hu Hongxiao

Competitive birth-death processes often exhibit an oscillatory behavior. We investigate a particular case where the oscillation cycles are marginally stable on the mean-field level. An iconic example of such a system is the Lotka-Volterra…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-05-13 Matthew Parker , Alex Kamenev

We study a stochastic process describing the onset of spreading dynamics of an epidemic in a population composed by individuals of three classes: susceptible (S), infected (I), and recovered (R). The stochastic process is defined by local…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-13 David R. de Souza , Tânia Tomé

Spatially extended population dynamics models that incorporate intrinsic noise serve as case studies for the role of fluctuations and correlations in biological systems. Including spatial structure and stochastic noise in predator-prey…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-01-09 Ulrich Dobramysl , Mauro Mobilia , Michel Pleimling , Uwe C. Täuber

A numerical study of synchronization and extinction is done for a SIRS model with fixed infective and refractory periods, in the regime of high infectivity, on one- and two-dimensional networks for which the connectivity probability decays…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-05-22 Ezequiel Arceo-May , Cristian Fernando Moukarzel

This paper deals with an impulsive degenerate logistic model, where pulses are introduced for modeling interventions or disturbances, and degenerate logistic term may describe refugees or protections zones for the species. Firstly, the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-02-20 Willian Cintra , Zhigui Lin , Carlos Alberto Santos , Phyu Phyu Win