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Obtaining high certainty in predictive models is crucial for making informed and trustworthy decisions in many scientific and engineering domains. However, extensive experimentation required for model accuracy can be both costly and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-17 Giorgio Morales , John Sheppard

In this paper, we aim to compute numerical approximation integral by using an adaptive Monte Carlo algorithm. We propose a stratified sampling algorithm based on an iterative method which splits the strata following some quantities called…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2015-07-22 Toni Sayah

Variance-reduced stochastic gradient methods have gained popularity in recent times. Several variants exist with different strategies for the storing and sampling of gradients and this work concerns the interactions between these two…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-10-19 Martin Morin , Pontus Giselsson

Variational inequalities are a universal optimization paradigm that is interesting in itself, but also incorporates classical minimization and saddle point problems. Modern realities encourage to consider stochastic formulations of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-03-27 Alexander Pichugin , Maksim Pechin , Aleksandr Beznosikov , Alexander Gasnikov

Variance reduction is a family of powerful mechanisms for stochastic optimization that appears to be helpful in many machine learning tasks. It is based on estimating the exact gradient with some recursive sequences. Previously, many papers…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-11-07 Aleksandr Shestakov , Valery Parfenov , Aleksandr Beznosikov

We investigate the use of Antithetic Variables, Control Variates and Importance Sampling to reduce the statistical errors of option sensitivities calculated with the Likelihood Ratio Method in Monte Carlo. We show how Antithetic Variables…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2008-08-24 Luca Capriotti

We show that the variance of the Monte Carlo estimator that is importance sampled from an exponential family is a convex function of the natural parameter of the distribution. With this insight, we propose an adaptive importance sampling…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-01-12 Ernest K. Ryu , Stephen P. Boyd

We introduce adaptive sampling methods for stochastic programs with deterministic constraints. First, we propose and analyze a variant of the stochastic projected gradient method where the sample size used to approximate the reduced…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-02-07 Florian Beiser , Brendan Keith , Simon Urbainczyk , Barbara Wohlmuth

Existing variance reduction techniques used in stochastic simulations for rare event analysis still require a substantial number of model evaluations to estimate small failure probabilities. In the context of complex, nonlinear finite…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-04 Liuyun Xu , Seymour M. J. Spence

Discrete choice models are commonly used by applied statisticians in numerous fields, such as marketing, economics, finance, and operations research. When agents in discrete choice models are assumed to have differing preferences, exact…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-06-04 Michael Braun , Jon McAuliffe

Stochastic sampling techniques are ubiquitous in real-time rendering, where performance constraints force the use of low sample counts, leading to noisy intermediate results. To remove this noise, the post-processing step of temporal and…

Graphics · Computer Science 2023-10-25 William Donnelly , Alan Wolfe , Judith Bütepage , Jon Valdés

Importance sampling is widely used to improve the efficiency of deep neural network (DNN) training by reducing the variance of gradient estimators. However, efficiently assessing the variance reduction relative to uniform sampling remains…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-19 Takuro Kutsuna

In this work, we develop an importance sampling estimator by coupling the reduced-order model and the generative model in a problem setting of uncertainty quantification. The target is to estimate the probability that the quantity of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-12-20 Xiaoliang Wan , Shuangqing Wei

We propose a data-driven method to learn the time-dependent probability density of a multivariate stochastic process from sample paths, assuming that the initial probability density is known and can be evaluated. Our method uses a novel…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-19 Agnimitra Dasgupta , Javier Murgoitio-Esandi , Ali Fardisi , Assad A Oberai

In this paper, we propose a stochastic method for solving equality constrained optimization problems that utilizes predictive variance reduction. Specifically, we develop a method based on the sequential quadratic programming paradigm that…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-03-28 Albert S. Berahas , Jiahao Shi , Zihong Yi , Baoyu Zhou

Some classical uncertainty quantification problems require the estimation of multiple expectations. Estimating all of them accurately is crucial and can have a major impact on the analysis to perform, and standard existing Monte Carlo…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-02 Julien Demange-Chryst , François Bachoc , Jérôme Morio

Decentralized optimization is critical for solving large-scale machine learning problems over distributed networks, where multiple nodes collaborate through local communication. In practice, the variances of stochastic gradient estimators…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-02-13 Hongxu Chen , Ke Wei , Luo Luo

Stochastic differential equations provide a rich class of flexible generative models, capable of describing a wide range of spatio-temporal processes. A host of recent work looks to learn data-representing SDEs, using neural networks and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-10-12 Scott Cameron , Tyron Cameron , Arnu Pretorius , Stephen Roberts

We generalize stochastic subgradient descent methods to situations in which we do not receive independent samples from the distribution over which we optimize, but instead receive samples that are coupled over time. We show that as long as…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2012-08-02 John C. Duchi , Alekh Agarwal , Mikael Johansson , Michael I. Jordan

Real-time dispatch practices for operating the electric grid in an economic and reliable manner are evolving to accommodate higher levels of renewable energy generation. In particular, stochastic optimization is receiving increased…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-06-28 Ryan N. King , Matthew Reynolds , Devon Sigler , Wesley Jones