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The quantum decision theory is examined in its simplest form of two-condition two-choice setting. A set of inequalities to be satisfied by any quantum conditional probability describing the decision process is derived. Experimental data…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2010-11-22 Taksu Cheon , Taiki Takahashi

There are fundamental limits to the accuracy with which one can determine the state of a quantum system. I give an overview of the main approaches to quantum state discrimination. Several strategies exist. In quantum hypothesis testing, a…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2009-11-06 Anthony Chefles

In a Bayesian setting, inverse problems and uncertainty quantification (UQ) - the propagation of uncertainty through a computational (forward) model - are strongly connected. In the form of conditional expectation the Bayesian update…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2014-04-09 Alexander Litvinenko , Hermann G. Matthies

A rigorous theory of quantum state reduction, the state change of the measured system caused by a measurement conditional upon the outcome of measurement, is developed fully within quantum mechanics without leading to the vicious circle…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2015-06-26 Masanao Ozawa

Weighted Updating generalizes Bayesian updating, allowing for biased beliefs by weighting the likelihood function and prior distribution with positive real exponents. I provide a rigorous foundation for the model by showing that…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-02-09 Jesse Aaron Zinn

Quantum state preparation is an important class of quantum algorithms that is employed as a black-box subroutine in many algorithms, or used by itself to generate arbitrary probability distributions. We present a novel state preparation…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2020-06-02 Yutaro Iiyama

The recent article "Entropic Updating of Probability and Density Matrices" [1] derives and demonstrates the inferential origins of both the standard and quantum relative entropies in unison. Operationally, the standard and quantum relative…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2017-10-31 Kevin Vanslette

There are several well-known justifications for conditioning as the appropriate method for updating a single probability measure, given an observation. However, there is a significant body of work arguing for sets of probability measures,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2014-08-12 Adam J. Grove , Joseph Y. Halpern

Due to their intuitive appeal, Bayesian methods of modeling and uncertainty quantification have become popular in modern machine and deep learning. When providing a prior distribution over the parameter space, it is straightforward to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-05 Ivan Melev , Goeran Kauermann

Bayesian inference is limited in scope because it cannot be applied in idealized contexts where none of the hypotheses under consideration is true and because it is committed to always using the likelihood as a measure of evidential…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2019-09-17 Olav Benjamin Vassend

In this paper, we consider several types of information and methods of combination associated with incomplete probabilistic systems. We discriminate between 'a priori' and evidential information. The former one is a description of the whole…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-03-26 Jose E. Cano , Serafin Moral , Juan F. Verdegay-Lopez

We present a comparative study between classical probability and quantum probability from the Bayesian viewpoint, where probability is construed as our rational degree of belief on whether a given statement is true. From this viewpoint,…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2025-05-05 Tsubasa Ichikawa

Bayesian Filtering for plan and activity recognition is challenging for scenarios that contain many observation equivalent entities (i.e. entities that produce the same observations). This is due to the combinatorial explosion in the number…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2017-08-15 Max Schröder , Stefan Lüdtke , Sebastian Bader , Frank Krüger , Thomas Kirste

In the quantum-Bayesian approach to quantum foundations, a quantum state is viewed as an expression of an agent's personalist Bayesian degrees of belief, or probabilities, concerning the results of measurements. These probabilities obey the…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2015-05-14 Christopher A. Fuchs , Ruediger Schack

Quantum hypothesis testing (QHT) provides an effective method to discriminate between two quantum states using a two-outcome positive operator-valued measure (POVM). Two types of decision errors in a QHT can occur. In this paper we focus on…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2023-07-13 Yi Shen , Carlo Maria Scandolo , Lin Chen

Hypothesis elimination is a special case of Bayesian updating, where each piece of new data rules out a set of prior hypotheses. We describe how to use Grover's algorithm to perform hypothesis elimination for a class of probability…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2009-11-10 Andrei N. Soklakov , Ruediger Schack

A quantum probability measure is a function on a sigma-algebra of subsets of a (locally compact and Hausdorff) sample space that satisfies the formal requirements for a measure, but whose values are positive operators acting on a complex…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-06-03 Douglas Farenick , Michael J. Kozdron

Cromwell's rule (also known as the zero priors paradox) refers to the constraint of classical probability theory that if one assigns a prior probability of 0 or 1 to a hypothesis, then the posterior has to be 0 or 1 as well (this is a…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2018-08-07 Irina Basieva , Emmanuel Pothos , Jennifer Trueblood , Andrei Khrennikov , Jerome Busemeyer

Theory refinement is the task of updating a domain theory in the light of new cases, to be done automatically or with some expert assistance. The problem of theory refinement under uncertainty is reviewed here in the context of Bayesian…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-03-26 Wray L. Buntine

In a Bayesian analysis, the likelihood that specific candidate parameters govern the evolution of a quantum system are conditioned on the outcome of measurements which, in turn, cause measurement backaction on the state of the system [M.…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2018-08-08 Alexander Holm Kiilerich , Klaus Mølmer