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Recent political campaigns have demonstrated how technologies are used to boost election outcomes by microtargeting voters. We propose and analyze a framework which analyzes how political activists use technologies to target voters. Voters…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-10-17 Moritz Hoferer , Lucas Böttcher , Hans J. Herrmann , Hans Gersbach

Behavior of condensed matter systems deviating from the standard equilibrium conditions is discussed. Statistical properties of coupled dynamic-stochastic systems are studied within a combination of the maximum information principle and the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2013-12-24 E. V. Vakarin

There are many factors that can influence the outcome of an election. We here identify two dominant effects that can affect the votes obtained by a candidate, namely, the Majority Effect and the Media Effect. We mimic these two effects in a…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-10 Chung-I Chou , Sai-Ping Li

We analyze optimal strategies for the allocation of a finite budget that can be invested in different advertising channels over time with the objective of influencing social opinions in a network of individuals. In our analysis, we consider…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-07-25 Soheil Eshghi , Victor M. Preciado , Saswati Sarkar , Santosh S. Venkatesh , Qing Zhao , Raissa D'Souza , Ananthram Swami

The question of how people vote strategically under uncertainty has attracted much attention in several disciplines. Theoretical decision models have been proposed which vary in their assumptions on the sophistication of the voters and on…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2018-05-22 Roy Fairstein , Adam Lauz , Kobi Gal , Reshef Meir

We investigate how individuals form expectations about population behavior using statistical inference based on observations of their social relations. Misperceptions about others' connectedness and behavior arise from sampling bias…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2022-05-27 Andreas Bjerre-Nielsen , Martin Benedikt Busch

We present quantitative relations between work and information that are valid both for finite sized and internally correlated systems as well in the thermodynamical limit. We suggest work extraction should be viewed as a game where the…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2015-05-13 Oscar C. O. Dahlsten , Renato Renner , Elisabeth Rieper , Vlatko Vedral

A well-studied randomized election algorithm proceeds as follows: In each round the remaining candidates each toss a coin and leave the competition if they obtain heads. Of interest is the number of rounds required and the number of…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-04-12 Rudolf Grübel , Klaas Hagemann

Using results from neurobiology on perceptual decision making and value-based decision making, the problem of decision making between lotteries is reformulated in an abstract space where uncertain prospects are mapped to corresponding…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2020-01-03 Adnan Rebei

How should one combine noisy information from diverse sources to make an inference about an objective ground truth? This frequently recurring, normative question lies at the core of statistics, machine learning, policy-making, and everyday…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2020-01-29 Silviu Pitis , Michael R. Zhang

We use causal inference to study how designing ballots with and without party designations impacts electoral outcomes when partisan voters rely on party-order cues to infer candidate affiliation in races without designations. If the party…

Applications · Statistics 2025-07-23 Alessandro Arlotto , Alexandre Belloni , Fei Fang , Saša Pekeč

Understanding the nature of strategic voting is the holy grail of social choice theory, where game-theory, social science and recently computational approaches are all applied in order to model the incentives and behavior of voters. In a…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2014-11-19 Reshef Meir

Participatory budgeting (PB) is a democratic process for allocating funds to projects based on the votes of members of the community. Different rules have been used to aggregate participants' votes. Past research has studied the trade-off…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2022-05-26 Roy Fairstein , Reshef Meir , Dan Vilenchik , Kobi Gal

In approval-based multiwinner voting, voters express approval preferences over a set of candidates, and the goal is to return a winning committee. This model captures a broad range of subset selection problems under preferences. Prior work…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2026-04-28 Niclas Boehmer , Luca Kreisel , Jannik Peters

The ability to measure the satisfaction of (groups of) voters is a crucial prerequisite for formulating proportionality axioms in approval-based participatory budgeting elections. Two common - but very different - ways to measure the…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2023-10-19 Markus Brill , Stefan Forster , Martin Lackner , Jan Maly , Jannik Peters

I derive the probability that a vote cast in an Instant Runoff Voting election will change the election winner. I phrase that probability in terms of the candidates' expected vote totals, and then I estimate its magnitude for different…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2025-09-24 Samuel Baltz

We introduce a general approach based on \emph{selective verification} and obtain approximate mechanisms without money for maximizing the social welfare in the general domain of utilitarian voting. Having a good allocation in mind, a…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2015-07-10 Dimitris Fotakis , Christos Tzamos , Emmanouil Zampetakis

Proportional representation plays a crucial role in electoral systems. In ordinal elections, where voters rank candidates based on their preferences, the Single Transferable Vote (STV) is the most widely used proportional voting method. STV…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2025-05-02 Tuva Bardal , Markus Brill , David McCune , Jannik Peters

We consider two-tier voting system and try to determine optimal weights for a fair representation in such systems. A prominent example of such a voting system is the Council of Ministers of the European Union. Under the assumption of…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-10-18 Werner Kirsch , Jessica Langner

We study the problem of election control through social influence when the manipulator is allowed to use the locations that she acquired on the network for sending \emph{both} positive and negative messages on \emph{multiple} candidates,…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2019-02-14 Matteo Castiglioni , Diodato Ferraioli , Giulia Landriani , Nicola Gatti
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