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We consider the problem of estimating a $d$-dimensional $s$-sparse discrete distribution from its samples observed under a $b$-bit communication constraint. The best-known previous result on $\ell_2$ estimation error for this problem is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-06-17 Wei-Ning Chen , Peter Kairouz , Ayfer Özgür

We consider an infinite-dimensional Gaussian regression model, equipped with a high-dimensional Gaussian prior. We address the frequentist validity of posterior credible sets for a vector of linear functionals. We specify conditions for a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-11-12 Gustav Rømer

For linear inverse problems with Gaussian priors and Gaussian observation noise, the posterior is Gaussian, with mean and covariance determined by the conditioning formula. The covariance is the central object for uncertainty…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-08-13 Giuseppe Carere , Han Cheng Lie

We study the posterior distribution of the Bayesian multiple change-point regression problem when the number and the locations of the change-points are unknown. While it is relatively easy to apply the general theory to obtain the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-08-21 Heng Lian

We give a comprehensive theoretical characterization of a nonparametric estimator for the $L_2^2$ divergence between two continuous distributions. We first bound the rate of convergence of our estimator, showing that it is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-10-31 Akshay Krishnamurthy , Kirthevasan Kandasamy , Barnabas Poczos , Larry Wasserman

We propose a probability distribution for multivariate binary random variables. The probability distribution is expressed as principal minors of the parameter matrix, which is a matrix analogous to the inverse covariance matrix in the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-08 Takashi Arai

We derive consistency and asymptotic normality results for quasi-maximum likelihood methods for drift parameters of ergodic stochastic processes observed in discrete time in an underlying continuous-time setting. The special feature of our…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-09-20 Teppei Ogihara , Mitja Stadje

Existing deterministic variational inference approaches for diffusion processes use simple proposals and target the marginal density of the posterior. We construct the variational process as a controlled version of the prior process and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-02 Christian Wildner , Heinz Koeppl

The paper develops Bernstein von Mises Theorem under hierarchical $g$ -priors for linear regression models. The results are obtained both when the error variance is known, and also when it is unknown. An inverse gamma prior is attached to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-01-29 Xiao Fang , Malay Ghosh

An important task in the statistical analysis of inhomogeneous point processes is to investigate the influence of a set of covariates on the point-generating mechanism. In this article, we consider the nonparametric Bayesian approach to…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-19 Patric Dolmeta , Matteo Giordano

Minimization of a stochastic cost function is commonly used for approximate sampling in high-dimensional Bayesian inverse problems with Gaussian prior distributions and multimodal posterior distributions. The density of the samples…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-06-03 Yuming Ba , Jana de Wiljes , Dean S. Oliver , Sebastian Reich

Consider the Gaussian sequence model under the additional assumption that a fixed fraction of the means is known. We study the problem of variance estimation from a frequentist Bayesian perspective. The maximum likelihood estimator (MLE)…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-12-19 Gianluca Finocchio , Johannes Schmidt-Hieber

We derive a Bernstein von-Mises theorem in the context of misspecified, non-i.i.d., hierarchical models parametrized by a finite-dimensional parameter of interest. We apply our results to hierarchical models containing non-linear operators,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-06-05 Geerten Koers , Botond Szabó , Aad van der Vaart

We study the problem of parametric estimation for continuously observed stochastic differential equation driven by fractional Brownian motion. Under some assumptions on drift and diffusion coefficients, we construct maximum likelihood…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-03-31 Shohei Nakajima

The Large Deviations Principle (LDP) is verified for a homogeneous diffusion process with respect to a Brownian motion $B_t$, $$ X^\eps_t=x_0+\int_0^tb(X^\eps_s)ds+ \eps\int_0^t\sigma(X^\eps_s)dB_s, $$ where $b(x)$ and $\sigma(x)$ are are…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-08-24 P. Chigansky , R. Liptser

This paper considers the problem of regression over distributions, which is becoming increasingly important in machine learning. Existing approaches often ignore the geometry of the probability space or are computationally expensive. To…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-31 Maksim Maslov , Alexander Kugaevskikh , Matthew Ivanov

Consider a diffusion process X, solution of a time-homogeneous stochastic differential equation. We assume that the diffusion process X is observed at discrete times, at high frequency, which means that the time step tends toward zero. In…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-06-23 Eddy Michel Ella Mintsa

We study the rate of Bayesian consistency for hierarchical priors consisting of prior weights on a model index set and a prior on a density model for each choice of model index. Ghosal, Lember and Van der Vaart [2] have obtained general…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-09-23 Yang Xing

We study a Lagrangian numerical scheme for solution of a nonlinear drift diffusion equation of the form $\partial_t u = \partial_x(u \cdot c[\partial_x(h^\prime(u)+v)])$ on an interval. This scheme will consist of a spatio-temporal…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2019-07-23 Benjamin Söllner , Oliver Junge

Consider semiparametric models that display local asymptotic exponentiality (Ibragimov and Has'minskii (1981)), an asymptotic property of the likelihood associated with discontinuities of densities. Our interest goes to estimation of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-12-19 Bas Kleijn , Bartek Knapik