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We propose a novel approach for loss reserving based on deep neural networks. The approach allows for joint modeling of paid losses and claims outstanding, and incorporation of heterogeneous inputs. We validate the models on loss reserving…

Applications · Statistics 2019-09-17 Kevin Kuo

Investors try to predict returns of financial assets to make successful investment. Many quantitative analysts have used machine learning-based methods to find unknown profitable market rules from large amounts of market data. However,…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2020-12-21 Katsuya Ito , Kentaro Minami , Kentaro Imajo , Kei Nakagawa

Recommender systems play a fundamental role in web applications in filtering massive information and matching user interests. While many efforts have been devoted to developing more effective models in various scenarios, the exploration on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-08-24 Ninghao Liu , Yong Ge , Li Li , Xia Hu , Rui Chen , Soo-Hyun Choi

Deep forest is a non-differentiable deep model which has achieved impressive empirical success across a wide variety of applications, especially on categorical/symbolic or mixed modeling tasks. Many of the application fields prefer…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-02 Yi-Xiao He , Shen-Huan Lyu , Yuan Jiang

The wide-spread adoption of representation learning technologies in clinical decision making strongly emphasizes the need for characterizing model reliability and enabling rigorous introspection of model behavior. While the former need is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-05-01 Jayaraman J. Thiagarajan , Prasanna Sattigeri , Deepta Rajan , Bindya Venkatesh

We derive a set of causal deep neural networks whose architectures are a consequence of tensor (multilinear) factor analysis, a framework that facilitates causal inference. Forward causal questions are addressed with a neural network…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-17 M. Alex O. Vasilescu

Federated learning is an emerging distributed machine learning framework aiming at protecting data privacy. Data heterogeneity is one of the core challenges in federated learning, which could severely degrade the convergence rate and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-11-27 Feifei Wang , Huiyun Tang , Yang Li

Financial portfolio management investment policies computed quantitatively by modern portfolio theory techniques like the Markowitz model rely on a set on assumptions that are not supported by data in high volatility markets. Hence,…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-07-22 Alejandra de la Rica Escudero , Eduardo C. Garrido-Merchan , Maria Coronado-Vaca

Layer-wise relevance propagation (LRP) is a recently proposed technique for explaining predictions of complex non-linear classifiers in terms of input variables. In this paper, we apply LRP for the first time to natural language processing…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2016-06-24 Leila Arras , Franziska Horn , Grégoire Montavon , Klaus-Robert Müller , Wojciech Samek

This paper studies the problem of dimension reduction, tailored to improving time series forecasting with high-dimensional predictors. We propose a novel Supervised Deep Dynamic Principal component analysis (SDDP) framework that…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-11-25 Zhanye Luo , Yuefeng Han , Xiufan Yu

Regression has attracted immense interest lately due to its effectiveness in tasks like predicting values. And Regression is of widespread use in multiple fields such as Economics, Finance, Business, Biology and so on. While considerable…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-27 Yunpeng Tai

Deep learning methods are powerful tools in classifying multivariate time series data. Despite their high performance, these methods are hard to interpret, which diminishes their applications in high-risk domains such as healthcare. In this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-11 Bhavesh Kalisetti , Vincent Wang , Gaurav R. Ghosal , Maryam Bijanzadeh , Reza Abbasi-Asl

Accurate transfer of information across multiple sectors to enhance model estimation is both significant and challenging in multi-sector portfolio optimization involving a large number of assets in different classes. Within the framework of…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-23 Qingliang Fan , Ruike Wu , Yanrong Yang

A reliable reward model is essential for aligning large language models with human preferences through reinforcement learning from human feedback. However, standard reward models are susceptible to spurious features that are not causally…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-19 Yupei Yang , Lin Yang , Wanxi Deng , Lin Qu , Fan Feng , Biwei Huang , Shikui Tu , Lei Xu

Dynamic portfolio optimization is the process of sequentially allocating wealth to a collection of assets in some consecutive trading periods, based on investors' return-risk profile. Automating this process with machine learning remains a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-01-28 Pengqian Yu , Joon Sern Lee , Ilya Kulyatin , Zekun Shi , Sakyasingha Dasgupta

Despite the high performance achieved by deep neural networks on various tasks, extensive studies have demonstrated that small tweaks in the input could fail the model predictions. This issue of deep neural networks has led to a number of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-22 Ming-Chang Chiu , Xuezhe Ma

Probabilistic deep learning is deep learning that accounts for uncertainty, both model uncertainty and data uncertainty. It is based on the use of probabilistic models and deep neural networks. We distinguish two approaches to probabilistic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-10 Daniel T. Chang

Reinforcement Learning (RL) encompasses diverse paradigms, including model-based RL, policy-based RL, and value-based RL, each tailored to approximate the model, optimal policy, and optimal value function, respectively. This work…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-10 Guhao Feng , Han Zhong

Learning representations that capture the underlying data generating process is a key problem for data efficient and robust use of neural networks. One key property for robustness which the learned representation should capture and which…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-24 Mathieu Chevalley , Charlotte Bunne , Andreas Krause , Stefan Bauer

Diffusion-based models have achieved notable empirical successes in reinforcement learning (RL) due to their expressiveness in modeling complex distributions. Despite existing methods being promising, the key challenge of extending existing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-04 Dmitry Shribak , Chen-Xiao Gao , Yitong Li , Chenjun Xiao , Bo Dai