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This paper is concerned with the growth rate of SIR (Susceptible-Infectious-Recovered) epidemics with general infectious period distribution on random intersection graphs. This type of graph is characterized by the presence of cliques…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-08-13 Carolina Fransson

Mathematical modelling of the spread of epidemics has been an interesting challenge in the field of epidemiology. The SIR Model proposed by Kermack and McKendrick in 1927 is a prototypical model of epidemiology. However, it has its…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-04-13 Agniva Datta , Muktish Acharyya

In general, the rates of infection and removal (whether through recovery or death) are nonlinear functions of the number of infected and susceptible individuals. One of the simplest models for the spread of infectious diseases is the SIR…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-05-11 Seong Jun Park , M. Y. Choi

A stochastic SIR epidemic model taking into account the heterogeneity of the spatial environment is constructed. The deterministic model is given by a partial differential equation and the stochastic one by a space-time jump Markov process.…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-12-10 Thierry Gallouët , Etienne Pardoux , Ténan Yeo

We study the Susceptible-Infected-Susceptible model of the spread of an endemic infection. We calculate an exact expression for the mean number of transmissions for all values of the population and the infectivity. We derive the large-N…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2007-09-20 David A. Kessler

This paper investigates the identifiability of a spatial mathematical model of the spread of fast-moving epidemics based on the law of acting masses and diffusion processes. The research algorithm is based on global methods of Sobol…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-12-30 Olga Krivorotko , Tatiana Zvonareva , Andrei Neverov

Modeling epidemic dynamics plays an important role in studying how diseases spread, predicting their future course, and designing strategies to control them. In this letter, we introduce a model of SIR (susceptible-infected-removed) type…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2013-12-17 Li Chen , Fakhteh Ghanbarnejad , Weiran Cai , Peter Grassberger

Out-of-equilibrium systems, inherently complex and challenging to understand, are prevalent across various disciplines, including physics where they arise in contexts such as fluid dynamics. In particular, critical out-of-equilibrium…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-10-14 J. M. Marcos

We are facing a common serious issue, infectious diseases, and trying to suppress the spreading of infection. We need less contact with each other to decrease the chance of infection, but this means loss of economic activity, as well. This…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-05-15 Kenichi Nakazato , Masanori Takano

In this paper, we examine the long-time dynamics of an epidemic model whose diffusion and reaction terms involve nonlocal effects described by suitable convolution operators.The spreading front of the disease is represented by the free…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2022-03-01 Rong Wang , Yihong Du

Understanding the dynamics of infectious disease spread in a heterogeneous population is an important factor in designing control strategies. Here, we develop a novel tensor-driven multi-compartment version of the classic…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-04-22 Inbar Seroussi , Nir Levy , Elad Yom-Tov

We investigate the information-theoretical limits of inference tasks in epidemic spreading on graphs in the thermodynamic limit. The typical inference tasks consist in computing observables of the posterior distribution of the epidemic…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-12-25 Alfredo Braunstein , Louise Budzynski , Matteo Mariani

The S.I.R. model (Susceptible, Infected, Recovered or Died) was proposed by chemistry Willam Kermack (1927) and the mathematician G. Mc. Kendrick (1932). the model supposes to divide to the individuals of a population in three categories.…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2007-05-23 Horacio Castellini , Lilia Romanelli

We study the spread of discrete-time epidemics over arbitrary networks for well-known propagation models, namely SIS (susceptible-infected-susceptible), SIR (susceptible-infected-recovered), SIRS (susceptible-infected-recovered-susceptible)…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2016-10-03 Navid Azizan Ruhi , Hyoung Jun Ahn , Babak Hassibi

For preventing the spread of epidemics such as the coronavirus disease COVID-19, social distancing and the isolation of infected persons are crucial. However, existing reaction-diffusion equations for epidemic spreading are incapable of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-11-18 Michael te Vrugt , Jens Bickmann , Raphael Wittkowski

Malware attacks in today's vast digital ecosystem pose a serious threat. Understanding malware propagation dynamics and designing effective control strategies are therefore essential. In this work, we propose a generic SEIRV model…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2026-03-05 Samiran Ghosh , V Anil Kumar

Epidemic spread in single-host systems strongly depends on the population's contact network. However, little is known regarding the spread of epidemics across networks representing populations of multiple hosts. We explored cross-species…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2017-12-06 Shai Pilosof , Gili Greenbaum , Boris R. Krasnov , Yuval R. Zelnik

A compartment epidemic model for infectious disease spreading is investigated, where movement of individuals is governed by spatial diffusion. The model includes infection age of the infected individuals and assumes a logistic growth of the…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2023-06-28 Christoph Walker

We introduce a mathematical description of the impact of sociality in the spread of infectious diseases by integrating an epidemiological dynamics with a kinetic modeling of population-based contacts. The kinetic description leads to study…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-04-02 G. Dimarco , B. Perthame , G. Toscani , M. Zanella

We study SIR type epidemics on graphs in two scenarios: (i) when the initial infections start from a well connected central region, (ii) when initial infections are distributed uniformly. Previously, \'Odor et al. demonstrated on a few…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2023-04-25 Dániel Keliger , László Lovász , Tamás Móri , Gergely Ódor