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Related papers: Dynamical anomalies in terrestrial proxies of Nort…

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Understanding the interactions between ice sheets and global climate forcings over geological timescales is essential for projecting their future. Previous studies have highlighted the role of ice dynamics and climate interactions in…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-03-31 Pijush Patra , Ludovico T. Giorgini , J. S. Wettlaufer

We analyze the timing and extent of Northern European temperature falls during the Little Ice Age, using standard temperature reconstructions. However, we can find little evidence of temporal dependence or structural breaks in European…

Applications · Statistics 2014-11-21 Morgan Kelly , Cormac Ó Gráda

Detecting recurrent weather patterns and understanding the transitions between such regimes are key to advancing our knowledge on the low-frequency variability of the atmosphere and have important implications in terms of weather and…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-12-24 Sebastian Springer , Vera Melinda Galfi , Alessandro Laio , Valerio Lucarini

Paleoclimate data help us assess climate sensitivity and potential human-made climate effects. We conclude that Earth in the warmest interglacial periods of the past million years was less than 1{\deg}C warmer than in the Holocene. Polar…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2012-09-12 James E. Hansen , Makiko Sato

Earth's climate can be understood as a dynamical system that changes due to external forcing and internal couplings. Essential climate variables, such as surface air temperature, describe this dynamics. Our current interglacial, the…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-01-24 Beatrice Ellerhoff , Kira Rehfeld

Previous studies have identified an association between near-surface temperature anomalies in the Northern Hemisphere and weak stratospheric polar westerlies. Large regions in northern Asia, Europe and North America have been found to cool…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2015-10-28 E. W. Kolstad , T. Breiteig , A. A. Scaife

Cenozoic temperature, sea level and CO2 co-variations provide insights into climate sensitivity to external forcings and sea level sensitivity to climate change. Climate sensitivity depends on the initial climate state, but potentially can…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2014-03-05 James Hansen , Makiko Sato , Gary Russell , Pushker Kharecha

The study of Planktonic Foraminifera abundances permits to obtain climatic curves on the basis of percentage ratio between tropical and temperate/polar forms. Climatic changes were controlled by several phenomena as: (i) Milankovitch's…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2007-05-23 A. Caruso , M. E. Gargano , D. Valenti , A. Fiasconaro , B. Spagnolo

Evidence of past climate variations are stored in ice and indicate glacial-interglacial cycles characterized by three dominant time periods of 20kyr, 40kyr, and 100kyr. We study the scaling properties of temperature proxy records of four…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-24 Yosef Ashkenazy , Don R. Baker , Hezi Gildor , Shlomo Havlin

Paleoclimate records provide a critical long-term perspective on natural climate variability, essential for understanding contemporary climate change. However, existing paleoclimate proxies lack the spatial-temporal coverage for studying…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-10-17 Gan Zhang , Kuanhui Elaine Lin , Dan Fu , Tom Knutson , Jorg Franke , Wan-Ling Tseng

We analyze and model the stochastic behavior of paleoclimate time series and assess the implications for the coupling of climate variables during the Pleistocene glacial cycles. We examine 800 kyr of carbon dioxide, methane, nitrous oxide,…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2024-02-16 N. D. B. Keyes , L. T. Giorgini , J. S. Wettlaufer

The Early Anthropogenic Hypothesis considers that greenhouse gas concentrations should have declined during the Holocene in absence of humankind activity, leading to glacial inception around the present. It partly relies on the fact that…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2011-12-15 Michel Crucifix

The Earth's climate has experienced numerous critical transitions during its history, which have often been accompanied by massive and rapid changes in the biosphere. Such transitions are evidenced in various proxy records covering…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-09-26 Denis-Didier Rousseau , Witold Bagniewski , Valerio Lucarini

Was the spread of agropastoralism from the Fertile Crescent throughout Europe influenced by extreme climate events, or was it independent of climate? We here generate idealized climate events using palaeoclimate records. In a mathematical…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2012-11-01 Carsten Lemmen , Kai W. Wirtz

The North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) obtained using instrumental and documentary proxy predictors from Eurasia is found to be characterized by a quasi 60-year dominant oscillation since 1650. This pattern emerges clearly once the NAO record…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2012-06-27 Adriano Mazzarella , Nicola Scafetta

Extreme precipitation shows non-stationary behavior over time, but also with respect to other large-scale variables. While this effect is often neglected, we propose a model including the influence of North Atlantic Oscillation, time,…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-11-09 Felix S. Fauer , Henning W. Rust

The study examines the palaeoclimatic background and the regional manifestations of the Medieval Climate Anomaly in the Eastern Mediterranean, with a focus on the Byzantine Empire, but also including neighbouring polities. It explores the…

History and Philosophy of Physics · Physics 2022-09-09 Johannes Preiser-Kapeller

It is shown that, the wavelet regression detrended fluctuations of the reconstructed temperature for the past 400,000 years (Antarctic ice cores data) are completely dominated by one-third subharmonic resonance, presumably related to Earth…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2010-06-24 A. Bershadskii

Climate change is a reality of today. Paleoclimatic proxies and climate predictions based on coupled atmosphere-ocean general circulation models provide us with temperature data. Using Detrended Fluctuation Analysis, we are investigating…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2008-03-05 Bora Akgun , Zeynep Isvan , Levent Tuter , Mehmet Levent Kurnaz

We produce new reconstructions of Northern Hemisphere annually averaged temperature anomalies back to 1000 AD, and explore the effects of including external climate forcings within the reconstruction and of accounting for short-memory and…

Applications · Statistics 2015-03-05 Luis Barboza , Bo Li , Martin P. Tingley , Frederi G. Viens
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