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In this paper, we consider the problem of propagating an uncertain distribution by a possibly non-linear function and quantifying the resulting uncertainty. We measure the uncertainty using the Wasserstein distance, and for a given input…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-06-13 Eduardo Figueiredo , Steven Adams , Peyman Mohajerin Esfahani , Luca Laurenti

We present a new uncertainty principle for risk-aware statistical estimation, effectively quantifying the inherent trade-off between mean squared error ($\mse$) and risk, the latter measured by the associated average predictive squared…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2021-12-13 Nikolas P. Koumpis , Dionysios S. Kalogerias

We introduce a 'uniform tension-reduction' (UTR) model, which allows to represent the probabilities associated with an arbitrary measurement situation and use it to explain the emergence of quantum probabilities (the Born rule) as 'uniform'…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2015-09-17 Diederik Aerts , Massimiliano Sassoli de Bianchi

The distribution of fracture network is crucial to characterize the behaviors of flow field and solute transport, especially for enhanced geothermal systems, as fractures provide preferential flow paths. However, estimating the parameters…

Geophysics · Physics 2023-02-08 Guodong Chen , Xin Luo , Jiu Jimmy Jiao , Chuanyin Jiang

In Computational Fluid Dynamics (CFD) studies composed of the coupling of different simulations, the uncertainty in one stage may be propagated to the following stage and affect the accuracy of the prediction. In this paper, a framework for…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2019-10-29 F. -J. Granados-Ortiz , J. Ortega-Casanova , C. -H. Lai

As quantum machine learning continues to develop at a rapid pace, the importance of ensuring the robustness and efficiency of quantum algorithms cannot be overstated. Our research presents an analysis of quantum randomized smoothing, how…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2024-07-26 Nicola Franco , Marie Kempkes , Jakob Spiegelberg , Jeanette Miriam Lorenz

In recent years, diffusion models, and more generally score-based deep generative models, have achieved remarkable success in various applications, including image and audio generation. In this paper, we view diffusion models as an implicit…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-12 Hyeok Kyu Kwon , Dongha Kim , Ilsang Ohn , Minwoo Chae

In this paper we introduce concepts from uncertainty quantification (UQ) and numerical analysis for the efficient evaluation of stochastic high dimensional Newton iterates. In particular, we develop complex analytic regularity theory of the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-05-23 Julio Enrique Castrillon-Candas , Mark Kon

We present a framework to define a large class of neural networks for which, by construction, training by gradient flow provably reaches arbitrarily low loss when the number of parameters grows. Distinct from the fixed-space global…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-01-13 David A. R. Robin , Kevin Scaman , Marc Lelarge

Many problems in navigation and tracking require increasingly accurate characterizations of the evolution of uncertainty in nonlinear systems. Nonlinear uncertainty propagation approaches based on Gaussian mixture density approximations…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-12-30 Jackson Kulik , Keith A. LeGrand

Nonconvex optimization is central to modern machine learning, but the general framework of nonconvex optimization yields weak convergence guarantees that are too pessimistic compared to practice. On the other hand, while convexity enables…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-19 Artem Riabinin , Ahmed Khaled , Peter Richtárik

We prove consistency of a recently proposed scheme that evaluates expected values by composing a learned transport map with Clenshaw--Curtis sparse-grid quadrature on a tractable product source. Our analysis hinges on the structural fact…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-05-19 Hanno Gottschalk , Emil Partow , Tobias J. Riedlinger

We investigate the theoretical foundations of a recently introduced entropy-based formulation of weighted least squares for the approximation of overdetermined linear systems, motivated by robust data fitting in the presence of sparse gross…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-03-17 Felice Iavernaro , Monica Lazzo , Lorenzo Pisani

In the presence of modeling errors, the mainstream Bayesian methods seldom give a realistic account of uncertainties as they commonly underestimate the inherent variability of parameters. This problem is not due to any misconception in the…

Applications · Statistics 2020-05-19 Omid Sedehi , Costas Papadimitriou , Lambros S. Katafygiotis

Stable distributions are an important class of infinitely-divisible probability distributions, of which two special cases are the Cauchy distribution and the normal distribution. Aside from a few special cases, the density function for…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-08-31 Sebastian Ament , Michael O'Neil

Modelling uncertainty in Machine Learning models is essential for achieving safe and reliable predictions. Most research on uncertainty focuses on output uncertainty (predictions), but minimal attention is paid to uncertainty at inputs. We…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-28 Matias Valdenegro-Toro , Ivo Pascal de Jong , Marco Zullich

This article reviews and studies the properties of Bayesian quadrature weights, which strongly affect stability and robustness of the quadrature rule. Specifically, we investigate conditions that are needed to guarantee that the weights are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-08-05 Toni Karvonen , Motonobu Kanagawa , Simo Särkkä

A diffusion Monte Carlo algorithm is introduced that can determine the correct nodal structure of the wave function of a few-fermion system and its ground-state energy without an uncontrolled bias. This is achieved by confining signed…

Computational Physics · Physics 2020-02-05 Alexander A. Kunitsa , So Hirata

A geometric approach to formulate the uncertainty principle between quantum observables acting on an $N$-dimensional Hilbert space is proposed. We consider the fidelity between a density operator associated with a quantum system and a…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2015-06-16 G. M. Bosyk , T. M. Osán , P. W. Lamberti , M. Portesi

In linear regression problems with related predictors, it is desirable to do variable selection and estimation by maintaining the hierarchical or structural relationships among predictors. In this paper we propose non-negative garrote…

Applications · Statistics 2010-11-03 Ming Yuan , V. Roshan Joseph , Hui Zou