Related papers: A counterexample to the DeMarco-Kahn Upper Tail Co…

We consider the probability that a weighted sum of $n$ i.i.d. random variables $X_j$, $j = 1, . . ., n$, with stretched exponential tails is larger than its expectation and determine the rate of its decay, under suitable conditions on the…

For any fixed simple graph $H=(V,E)$ and any fixed $u>0$, we establish the leading order of the exponential rate function for the probability that the number of copies of $H$ in the Erd\H{o}s--R\'enyi graph $G(n,p)$ exceeds its expectation…

Given a fixed graph $H$, a real number $p\in(0,1)$, and an infinite Erd\H{o}s-R\'enyi graph $G\sim G(\infty,p)$, how many adjacency queries do we have to make to find a copy of $H$ inside $G$ with probability $1/2$? Determining this number…

We establish the large deviation probabilities for the height of random recursive trees, revealing polynomial upper-tail decay and stretched-exponential lower-tail decay. Remarkably, the lower tail features an atypical prefactor that grows…

Fix a graph $H$ and some $p\in (0,1)$, and let $X_H$ be the number of copies of $H$ in a random graph $G(n,p)$. Random variables of this form have been intensively studied since the foundational work of Erd\H{o}s and R\'{e}nyi. There has…

Let $X_k$ denote the number of $k$-term arithmetic progressions in a random subset of $\mathbb{Z}/N\mathbb{Z}$ or $\{1, \dots, N\}$ where every element is included independently with probability $p$. We determine the asymptotics of $\log…

A central problem in extremal graph theory is to estimate, for a given graph $H$, the number of $H$-free graphs on a given set of $n$ vertices. In the case when $H$ is not bipartite, fairly precise estimates on this number are known. In…

Let $X$ be the number of $k$-term arithmetic progressions contained in the $p$-biased random subset of the first $N$ positive integers. We give asymptotically sharp estimates on the logarithmic upper-tail probability $\log \Pr(X \ge E[X] +…

Given a sequence of $s$-uniform hypergraphs $\{H_n\}_{n \geq 1}$, denote by $T_p(H_n)$ the number of edges in the random induced hypergraph obtained by including every vertex in $H_n$ independently with probability $p \in (0, 1)$. Recent…

The well-known "Janson's inequality" gives Poisson-like upper bounds for the lower tail probability \Pr(X \le (1-\eps)\E X) when X is the sum of dependent indicator random variables of a special form. We show that, for large deviations,…

We provide large deviations estimates for the upper tail of the number of triangles in scale-free inhomogeneous random graphs where the degrees have power law tails with index $-\alpha, \alpha \in (1,2)$. We show that upper tail…

What is the probability that the number of triangles in $\mathcal{G}_{n,p}$, the Erd\H{o}s-R\'enyi random graph with edge density $p$, is at least twice its mean? Writing it as $\exp[- r(n,p)]$, already the order of the rate function…

Let $\mathrm{ex}(G_{n,p}^r,F)$ denote the maximum number of edges in an $F$-free subgraph of the random $r$-uniform hypergraph $G_{n,p}^r$, and let $s(F):=\sup\{s: \exists H,\ t_F(H)=t_{K_r^r}(H)^{s+e(F)}>0\}$. Following recent work of…

For a graph $G$ and a hereditary property $\mathcal{P}$, let $\text{ex}(G,\mathcal{P})$ denote the maximum number of edges of a subgraph of $G$ that belongs to $\mathcal{P}$. We prove that for every non-trivial hereditary property…

With $\xi_{k}=\xi_{k}^{n,p}$ the number of copies of $K_k$ in the usual (Erd\H{o}s-R\'enyi) random graph $G(n,p)$, $p\geq n^{-2/(k-1)}$ and $\eta>0$, we show when $k>1$ $$\Pr(\xi_k> (1+\eta)\E \xi_k) < \exp [-\gO_{\eta,k}…

The theory of forbidden 0-1 matrices generalizes Turan-style (bipartite) subgraph avoidance, Davenport-Schinzel theory, and Zarankiewicz-type problems, and has been influential in many areas, such as discrete and computational geometry, the…

This paper studies the problem of upper bounding the number of independent sets in a graph, expressed in terms of its degree distribution. For bipartite regular graphs, Kahn (2001) established a tight upper bound using an…

The Erd\H{o}s-Hajnal conjecture is one of the most classical and well-known problems in extremal and structural combinatorics dating back to 1977. It asserts that in stark contrast to the case of a general $n$-vertex graph if one imposes…

For an $r$-uniform hypergraph $H$, let $f(H)$ be the minimum number of complete $r$-partite $r$-uniform subhypergraphs of $H$ whose edge sets partition the edge set of $H$. For a graph $G$, $f(G)$ is the bipartition number of $G$ which was…

General upper tail estimates are given for counting edges in a random induced subhypergraph of a fixed hypergraph H, with an easy proof by estimating the moments. As an application we consider the numbers of arithmetic progressions and…