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Functional concurrent, or varying-coefficient, regression models are commonly used in biomedical and clinical settings to investigate how the relation between an outcome and observed covariate varies as a function of another covariate. In…

When scholars study joint distributions of multiple variables, copulas are useful. However, if the variables are not linearly correlated with each other yet are still not independent, most of conventional copulas are not up to the task.…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-08 Kentaro Fukumoto

We develop a general variational inference method that preserves dependency among the latent variables. Our method uses copulas to augment the families of distributions used in mean-field and structured approximations. Copulas model the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-11-03 Dustin Tran , David M. Blei , Edoardo M. Airoldi

This paper provides a simple, yet reliable, alternative to the (Bayesian) estimation of large multivariate VARs with time variation in the conditional mean equations and/or in the covariance structure. With our new methodology, the original…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-01-01 Mike Tsionas , Marwan Izzeldin , Lorenzo Trapani

Functional magnetic resonance imaging (fMRI) data provides information concerning activity in the brain and in particular the interactions between brain regions. Resting state fMRI data is widely used for inferring connectivities in the…

Applications · Statistics 2019-03-04 Christina Stoehr , John A D Aston , Claudia Kirch

Tests for structural breaks in time series should ideally be sensitive to breaks in the parameter of interest, while being robust to nuisance changes. Statistical analysis thus needs to allow for some form of nonstationarity under the null…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-02 Fabian Mies

Learning the joint dependence of discrete variables is a fundamental problem in machine learning, with many applications including prediction, clustering and dimensionality reduction. More recently, the framework of copula modeling has…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-11-15 Alfredo Kalaitzis , Ricardo Silva

For a bivariate probability distribution, local dependence around a single point on the support is often formulated as the second derivative of the logarithm of the probability density function. However, this definition lacks the invariance…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-25 Issey Sukeda , Tomonari Sei

Copula-based models provide a great deal of flexibility in modelling multivariate distributions, allowing for the specifications of models for the marginal distributions separately from the dependence structure (copula) that links them to…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-09 Nicolás Kuschinski , Alejandro Jara

Most common parametric families of copulas are totally ordered, and in many cases they are also positively or negatively regression dependent and therefore they lead to monotone regression functions, which makes them not suitable for…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-02-28 Arturo Erdely

Thanks to their ability to capture complex dependence structures, copulas are frequently used to glue random variables into a joint model with arbitrary marginal distributions. More recently, they have been applied to solve statistical…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-22 Thomas Nagler , Thibault Vatter

Modelling a large bundle of curves arises in a broad spectrum of real applications. However, existing literature relies primarily on the critical assumption of independent curve observations. In this paper, we provide a general theory for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-12-21 Shaojun Guo , Xinghao Qiao

We consider the problem of modeling the dependence among many time series. We build high dimensional time-varying copula models by combining pair-copula constructions (PCC) with stochastic autoregressive copula (SCAR) models to capture…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-02-10 Carlos Almeida , Claudia Czado , Hans Manner

Joint multivariate longitudinal and time-to-event data are gaining increasing attention in the biomedical sciences where subjects are followed over time to monitor the progress of a disease or medical condition. In the insurance context,…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-02-12 Edward W. Frees , Catalina Bolancé , Montserrat Guillen , Emiliano Valdez

In this paper, we study nonparametric models allowing for locally stationary regressors and a regression function that changes smoothly over time. These models are a natural extension of time series models with time-varying coefficients. We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-02-19 Michael Vogt

In a recent paper Noh et al. (2013) proposed a new semiparametric estimate of a regression function with a multivariate predictor, which is based on a specification of the dependence structure between the predictor and the response by means…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-11-25 Holger Dette , Ria Van Hecke , Stanislav Volgushev

Copula-based methods provide a flexible approach to build missing data imputation models of multivariate data of mixed types. However, the choice of copula function is an open question. We consider a Bayesian nonparametric approach by using…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-10-15 Jiali Wang , Anton Westveld , Bronwyn Loong , Alan Welsh

Copulas are a powerful tool to model dependence between the components of a random vector. One well-known class of copulas when working in two dimensions is the Farlie-GumbelMorgenstern (FGM) copula since their simple analytic shape enables…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-05-24 Christopher Blier-Wong , Hélène Cossette , Etienne Marceau

We propose a class of flexible non-parametric tests for the presence of dependence between components of a random vector based on weighted Cram\'{e}r-von Mises functionals of the empirical copula process. The weights act as a tuning…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-05-29 Ivan Medovikov

We introduce a general approach for modeling the dynamic of multivariate time series when the data are of mixed type (binary/count/continuous). Our method is quite flexible and conditionally on past values, each coordinate at time $t$ can…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-04-05 Zinsou Max Debaly , Lionel Truquet
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