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We propose a novel approach to the statistical analysis of stochastic simulation models and, especially, agent-based models (ABMs). Our main goal is to provide fully automated, model-independent and tool-supported techniques and algorithms…

General Economics · Economics 2023-11-09 Andrea Vandin , Daniele Giachini , Francesco Lamperti , Francesca Chiaromonte

An artificial stock market is established based on multi-agent . Each agent has a limit memory of the history of stock price, and will choose an action according to his memory and trading strategy. The trading strategy of each agent evolves…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-11-10 Chun-Xia Yang , Tao Zhou , Pei-Ling Zhou , Jun Liu , Zi-Nan Tang

A prototype model of stock market is introduced and studied numerically. In this self-organized system, we consider only the interaction among traders without external influences. Agents trade according to their own strategy, to accumulate…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-30 G. Caldarelli , M. Marsili , Y. -C. Zhang

In this paper, we present an adaptive investment strategy for environments with periodic returns on investment. In our approach, we consider an investment model where the agent decides at every time step the proportion of wealth to invest…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2008-12-01 J. -Emeterio Navarro

We introduce an auto-regressive model which captures the growing nature of realistic markets. In our model agents do not trade with other agents, they interact indirectly only through a market. Change of their wealth depends, linearly on…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2009-07-28 Urna Basu , P. K. Mohanty

Random pairwise encounters often occur in large populations, or groups of mobile agents, and various types of local interactions that happen at encounters account for emergent global phenomena. In particular, in the fields of swarm…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2021-03-16 Thomas Dagès , Alfred M. Bruckstein

This paper outlines an agent-based model of a simple financial market in which a single asset is available for trade by three different types of traders. The model was first introduced in the PhD thesis of one of the authors, see reference…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2019-01-17 Elena Green , Daniel M. Heffernan

We develop a theoretical trading conditioning model subject to price volatility and return information in terms of market psychological behavior, based on analytical transaction volume-price probability wave distributions in which we use…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2010-02-09 Leilei Shi , Yiwen Wang , Ding Chen , Liyan Han , Yan Piao , Chengling Gou

This manuscript reports a stochastic dynamical scenario whose associated stationary probability density function is exactly a previously proposed one to adjust high-frequency traded volume distributions. This dynamical conjecture,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-11 Silvio M. Duarte Queiros

We introduce and study a non-equilibrium continuous-time dynamical model of the price of a single asset traded by a population of heterogeneous interacting agents in the presence of uncertainty and regulatory constraints. The model takes…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2009-04-23 V. I. Yukalov , D. Sornette , E. P. Yukalova

This paper considers the problem of steering the aggregative behavior of a population of noncooperative price-taking agents towards a desired behavior. Different from conventional pricing schemes where the price is fully available for…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-01-20 Mehran Shakarami , Ashish Cherukuri , Nima Monshizadeh

In this paper we propose a new model for pricing stock and dividend derivatives. We jointly specify dynamics for the stock price and the dividend rate such that the stock price is positive and the dividend rate non-negative. In its simplest…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-08-27 Sander Willems

We propose a frustrated and disordered many-body model of a stockmarket in which independent adaptive traders can trade a stock subject to the economic law of supply and demand. We show that the typical scaling properties and the correlated…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 Fabio Franci , Lorenzo Matassini

We propose a stochastic model of evolution of wealth in a society of economic agents. In the model, an agent can be in two states: inactive and active. Transitions between the states occur at random time intervals. In the active state, the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2007-05-23 Indrani Bose , Subhasis Banerjee

Living systems often function with regulatory interactions, but the question of how activity, stochasticity and regulations work together for achieving different goals still remains puzzling. We propose a stochastic model of an active…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2026-03-02 Tai Han , Fanlong Meng

A population of committees of agents that learn by using neural networks is implemented to simulate the stock market. Each committee of agents, which is regarded as a player in a game, is optimised by continually adapting the architecture…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2007-05-23 T. Marwala , P. De Wilde , L. Correia , P. Mariano , R. Ribeiro , V. Abramov , N. Szirbik , J. Goossenaerts

In the present work we introduce a stochastic cellular automata model in order to simulate the dynamics of the stock market. A direct percolation method is used to create a hierarchy of clusters of active traders on a two dimensional grid.…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-11-10 M. Bartolozzi , A. W. Thomas

This paper introduces an agent-based artificial financial market in which heterogeneous agents trade one single asset through a realistic trading mechanism for price formation. Agents are initially endowed with a finite amount of cash and a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 Marco Raberto , Silvano Cincotti , Sergio M. Focardi , Michele Marchesi

We present a simple agent-based model to study the development of a bubble and the consequential crash and investigate how their proximate triggering factor might relate to their fundamental mechanism, and vice versa. Our agents invest…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2010-11-12 Georges Harras , Didier Sornette

We study the dependence of volatility on the stock price in the stochastic volatility framework on the example of the Heston model. To be more specific, we consider the conditional expectation of variance (square of volatility) under fixed…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2011-07-29 Mikhail Martynov , Olga Rozanova