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We prove the strong consistency and the asymptotic normality of the maximum likelihood estimator of the parameters of a general conditionally heteroscedastic model with $\alpha$-stable innovations. Then, we relax the assumptions and only…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-01-01 Guillaume Lepage

Computer simulation of observable phenomena is an indispensable tool for engineering new technology, understanding the natural world, and studying human society. Yet the most interesting systems are often complex, such that simulating their…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2017-08-23 Matthew S. Palsson , Mile Gu , Joseph Ho , Howard M. Wiseman , G. J. Pryde

Fractal and fractal-rate stochastic point processes (FSPPs and FRSPPs) provide useful models for describing a broad range of diverse phenomena, including electron transport in amorphous semiconductors, computer-network traffic, and…

With any max-stable random process $\eta$ on $\mathcal{X}=\mathbb{Z}^d$ or $\mathbb{R}^d$, we associate a random tessellation of the parameter space $\mathcal{X}$. The construction relies on the Poisson point process representation of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-01-07 Clément Dombry , Z. Kabluchko

Semi-Markov processes are Markovian processes in which the firing time of the transitions is modelled by probabilistic distributions over positive reals interpreted as the probability of firing a transition at a certain moment in time. In…

Formal Languages and Automata Theory · Computer Science 2017-12-04 Mathias Ruggaard Pedersen , Nathanaël Fijalkow , Giorgio Bacci , Kim Guldstrand Larsen , Radu Mardare

High performance computing numerical simulations are today one of the more effective instruments to implement and study new theoretical models, and they are mandatory during the preparatory phase and operational phase of any scientific…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2019-04-29 Giuliano Taffoni , Giuseppe Murante , Luca Tornatore , David Goz , Stefano Borgani , Manolis Katevenis , Nikolaos Chrysos , Manolis Marazakis

Simulating the stochastic evolution of real quantities on a digital computer requires a trade-off between the precision to which these quantities are approximated, and the memory required to store them. The statistical accuracy of the…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2017-10-16 Andrew J. P. Garner , Qing Liu , Jayne Thompson , Vlatko Vedral , Mile Gu

Statistical thermodynamics delivers the probability distribution of the equilibrium state of matter through the constrained maximization of a special functional, entropy. Its elegance and enormous success have led to numerous attempts to…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-06-22 Themis Matsoukas

Aulbach et al. (2013) introduced a max-domain of attraction approach for extreme value theory in C[0,1] based on functional distribution functions, which is more general than the approach based on weak convergence in de Haan and Lin (2001).…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-12-12 Stefan Aulbach , Michael Falk , Martin Hofmann , Maximilian Zott

Max-stable random fields can be constructed according to Schlather (2002) with a random function or a stationary process and a kind of random event magnitude. These are applied for the modelling of natural hazards. We simply extend these…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-07-22 Mathias Raschke

The probability that a max-stable process {\eta} in C[0, 1] with identical marginal distribution function F hits x \in R with 0 < F (x) < 1 is the hitting probability of x. We show that the hitting probability is always positive, unless the…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-06-27 Martin Hofmann

The extreme event statistics plays a very important role in the theory and practice of time series analysis. The reassembly of classical theoretical results is often undermined by non-stationarity and dependence between increments.…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-05-28 Mauro Politi , Nicolas Millot , Anirban Chakraborti

Stochastic models such as Continuous-Time Markov Chains (CTMC) and Stochastic Hybrid Automata (SHA) are powerful formalisms to model and to reason about the dynamics of biological systems, due to their ability to capture the stochasticity…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2013-09-05 Ezio Bartocci , Luca Bortolussi , Laura Nenzi , Guido Sanguinetti

We develop a practical approach to establish the stability, that is, the recurrence in a given set, of a large class of controlled Markov chains. These processes arise in various areas of applied science and encompass important numerical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-02-02 Christophe Andrieu , Vladislav B. Tadić , Matti Vihola

Business process simulation is an approach to evaluate business process changes prior to implementation. Existing methods in this field primarily support tactical decision-making, where simulations start from an empty state and aim to…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2025-09-10 Maksym Avramenko , David Chapela-Campa , Marlon Dumas , Fredrik Milani

The comparison of local characteristics of two random processes can shed light on periods of time or space at which the processes differ the most. This paper proposes a method that learns about regions with a certain volume, where the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-14 Miguel de Carvalho , Gabriel Martos Venturini

We consider empirical multi-dimensional Rare Events Point Processes that keep track both of the time occurrence of extremal observations and of their severity, for stochastic processes arising from a dynamical system, by evaluating a given…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2017-09-19 Ana Cristina Moreira Freitas , Jorge Milhazes Freitas , Mário Magalhães

The physical processes at the interface of a low-temperature plasma and a solid are extremely complex. They involve a huge number of elementary processes in the plasma, in the solid as well as charge, momentum and energy transfer across the…

Plasma Physics · Physics 2018-09-10 M. Bonitz , A. Filinov , J. W. Abraham , D. Loffhagen

Point processes are stochastic models generating interacting points or events in time, space, etc. Among characteristics of these models, first-order intensity and conditional intensity functions are often considered. We focus on…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-05-24 Jean-François Coeurjolly , Ismaïla Ba , Achmad Choiruddin

Recent years have seen a huge development in spatial modelling and prediction methodology, driven by the increased availability of remote-sensing data and the reduced cost of distributed-processing technology. It is well known that…

Computation · Statistics 2020-02-18 Andrew Zammit-Mangion , Jonathan Rougier
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