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For many nonlinear Bayesian state estimation problems, the posterior recursion is not analytically tractable, leading to algorithms that are influenced by numerical approximation errors. These algorithms depend on parameters that affect the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-14 Ondrej Straka , Felipe Giraldo-Grueso , Renato Zanetti

Collaborative Localisation has been studied extensively in recent years as a way to improve pose estimation of unmanned aerial vehicles in challenging environments. However little attention has been paid toward advancing the underlying…

Robotics · Computer Science 2021-04-14 Jack Henderson , Mohammad Zamani , Robert Mahony , Jochen Trumpf

In this paper, we propose a Bayesian matrix-variate spatiotemporal modeling framework for jointly analyzing multiple response variables observed at spatial locations over time. The approach relaxes the standard assumption of spatial…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-23 Rodrigo de Souza Bulhões , Marina Silva Paez , Dani Gamerman

This work presents new results and understanding of the Ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) for inverse problems. In particular, using a Lagrangian dual perspective we show that EnKF can be derived from the sample average approximation (SAA) of…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-01-27 C G Krishnanunni , Jonathan Wittmer , Tan Bui-Thanh , Quoc P. Nguyen

We develop an optimal experimental design framework for adapting the covariance inflation and localization in data assimilation problems. Covariance inflation and localization are ubiquitously employed to alleviate the effect of using…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2019-03-26 Ahmed Attia , Emil Constantinescu

We consider the problem of sampling from an unknown distribution for which only a sufficiently large number of training samples are available. In this paper, we build on previous work combining Schr\"odinger bridges and plug & play Langevin…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-11-19 Georg A. Gottwald , Sebastian Reich

We consider the problem of an ensemble Kalman filter when only partial observations are available. In particular we consider the situation where the observational space consists of variables which are directly observable with known…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2011-08-31 Georg A. Gottwald , Lewis Mitchell , Sebastian Reich

We discuss Bayesian model uncertainty analysis and forecasting in sequential dynamic modeling of multivariate time series. The perspective is that of a decision-maker with a specific forecasting objective that guides thinking about relevant…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-07 Isaac Lavine , Michael Lindon , Mike West

Bundle adjustment is the common way to solve localization and mapping. It is an iterative process in which a system of non-linear equations is solved using two optimization methods, weighted by a damping factor. In the classic approach, the…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-08-28 Amir Belder , Refael Vivanti , Ayellet Tal

Many geophysical problems can be cast as inverse problems that estimate a set of parameter values from observed data. Within a Bayesian framework, solutions to such problems are described probabilistically by the so-called posterior…

Geophysics · Physics 2025-07-23 Xuebin Zhao , Andrew Curtis

Localization and tracking of a mobile node (MN) in non-line-of-sight (NLOS) scenarios, based on time of arrival (TOA) measurements, is considered in this work. To this end, we develop a constrained form of square root unscented Kalman…

Applications · Statistics 2016-11-17 Siamak Yousefi , Xiao-Wen Chang , Benoit Champagne

We introduce a novel and scalable Bayesian framework for multivariate-density-density regression (DDR), designed to model relationships between multivariate distributions. Our approach addresses the critical issue of distributions residing…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-24 Khai Nguyen , Yang Ni , Peter Mueller

Precise user localization and tracking enhances energy-efficient and ultra-reliable low latency applications in the next generation wireless networks. In addition to computational complexity and data association challenges with…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-10-09 Abidemi Orimogunje , Kyeong-Ju Cha , Hyunwoo Park , Abdulahi A. Badrudeen , Sunwoo Kim , Dejan Vukobratovic

Unsupervised fault detection in multivariate time series plays a vital role in ensuring the stable operation of complex systems. Traditional methods often assume that normal data follow a single Gaussian distribution and identify anomalies…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-01 Hong Liu , Xiuxiu Qiu , Yiming Shi , Miao Xu , Zelin Zang , Zhen Lei

This article introduces novel and practicable Bayesian factor analysis frameworks that are computationally feasible for moderate to large spatiotemporal data. Previous Bayesian analysis of spatiotemporal data has utilized a Bayesian factor…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-18 Yifan Cheng , Cheng Li

Temporal data, obtained in the setting where it is only possible to observe one time point per experiment, is widely used in different research fields, yet remains insufficiently addressed from the statistical point of view. Such data often…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-10 Polina Arsenteva , Mohamed Amine Benadjaoud , Hervé Cardot

Spatial data display correlation between observations collected at neighboring locations. Generally, machine and deep learning methods either do not account for this correlation or do so indirectly through correlated features and thereby…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-08 Matthew J. Heaton , Andrew Millane , Jake S. Rhodes

Conventional approximations to Bayesian inference rely on either approximations by statistics such as mean and covariance or by point particles. Recent advances such as the ensemble Gaussian mixture filter have generalized these notions to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-04-10 Andrey A Popov

The ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) is a Monte Carlo approximation of the Kalman filter for high dimensional linear Gaussian state space models. EnKF methods have also been developed for parameter inference of static Bayesian models with a…

The filtering distribution in hidden Markov models evolves according to the law of a mean-field model in state-observation space. The ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) approximates this mean-field model with an ensemble of interacting…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-12-25 Eviatar Bach , Ricardo Baptista , Edoardo Calvello , Bohan Chen , Andrew Stuart