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We study the problem of estimating a sequence of evolving probability distributions from historical data, where the underlying distribution changes over time in a nonstationary and nonparametric manner. To capture gradual changes, we…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-12-16 Edward J. Anderson , Dominic S. T. Keehan

Chance constrained optimal power flow (OPF) has been recognized as a promising framework to manage the risk from variable renewable energy (VRE). In presence of VRE uncertainties, this paper discusses a distributionally robust chance…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-05-01 Chao Duan , Wanliang Fang , Lin Jiang , Li Yao , Jun Liu

We consider distributionally robust optimal control of stochastic linear systems under signal temporal logic (STL) chance constraints when the disturbance distribution is unknown. By assuming that the underlying predicate functions are…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-09-09 Arash Bahari Kordabad , Eleftherios E. Vlahakis , Lars Lindemann , Dimos V. Dimarogonas , Sadegh Soudjani

We consider a distributionally robust formulation of stochastic optimization problems arising in statistical learning, where robustness is with respect to uncertainty in the underlying data distribution. Our formulation builds on…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-06-09 Mert Gürbüzbalaban , Andrzej Ruszczyński , Landi Zhu

In this paper, we propose a minimax linear-quadratic control method to address the issue of inaccurate distribution information in practical stochastic systems. To construct a control policy that is robust against errors in an empirical…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-03-31 Kihyun Kim , Insoon Yang

We propose a new robust filtering paradigm considering the situation in which model uncertainty, described through an ambiguity set, is present only in the observations. We derive the corresponding robust estimator, referred to as…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-05-25 Shenglun Yi , Mattia Zorzi

Adaptive robust optimization problems are usually solved approximately by restricting the adaptive decisions to simple parametric decision rules. However, the corresponding approximation error can be substantial. In this paper we show that…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-08-13 Grani A. Hanasusanto , Daniel Kuhn

We present a general duality result for Wasserstein distributionally robust optimization that holds for any Kantorovich transport cost, measurable loss function, and nominal probability distribution. Assuming an interchangeability principle…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-11-26 Luhao Zhang , Jincheng Yang , Rui Gao

In this paper, state and noise covariance estimation problems for linear system with unknown multiplicative noise are considered. The measurement likelihood is modelled as a mixture of two Gaussian distributions and a Student's t…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-08-29 Xingkai Yu , Ziyang Meng

We propose a distributionally robust data-driven predictive control framework for stochastic linear time-invariant systems with unknown dynamics and disturbance distributions. We use an offline trajectory to fit the subspace predictive…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-11 Mirhan Urkmez , Shahab Heshmati-Alamdari

We consider decision-making problems involving the optimization of linear objective functions with uncertain coefficients. The probability distribution of the coefficients--which are assumed to be stochastic in nature--is unknown to the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-12-23 Eilyan Bitar

We present a data-driven approach for distributionally robust chance constrained optimization problems (DRCCPs). We consider the case where the decision maker has access to a finite number of samples or realizations of the uncertainty. The…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-10-11 Ashish R. Hota , Ashish Cherukuri , John Lygeros

The filtering distribution captures the statistics of the state of a dynamical system from partial and noisy observations. Classical particle filters provably approximate this distribution in quite general settings; however they behave…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-02-10 Edoardo Calvello , Pierre Monmarché , Andrew M. Stuart , Urbain Vaes

We present a framework that allows for the non-asymptotic study of the $2$-Wasserstein distance between the invariant distribution of an ergodic stochastic differential equation and the distribution of its numerical approximation in the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-09-27 J. M. Sanz-Serna , Konstantinos C. Zygalakis

We present a novel data-driven distributionally robust Model Predictive Control formulation for unknown discrete-time linear time-invariant systems affected by unknown and possibly unbounded additive uncertainties. We use off-line collected…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-09-20 Francesco Micheli , Tyler Summers , John Lygeros

We study model predictive control (MPC) problems for stochastic LTI systems, where the noise distribution is unknown, compactly supported, and only observable through a limited number of i.i.d. noise samples. Building upon recent results in…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-04-25 Liviu Aolaritei , Marta Fochesato , John Lygeros , Florian Dörfler

Multivariate Gaussian is often used as a first approximation to the distribution of high-dimensional data. Determining the parameters of this distribution under various constraints is a widely studied problem in statistics, and is often…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-02-09 Samuel Balmand , Arnak Dalalyan

We study multistage distributionally robust linear optimization, where the uncertainty set is defined as a ball of distribution centered at a scenario tree using the nested distance. The resulting minimax problem is notoriously difficult to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-07-24 Rui Gao , Rohit Arora , Yizhe Huang

We consider statistical methods which invoke a min-max distributionally robust formulation to extract good out-of-sample performance in data-driven optimization and learning problems. Acknowledging the distributional uncertainty in learning…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-08-05 Jose Blanchet , Karthyek Murthy , Viet Anh Nguyen

Data-driven distributionally robust optimization is a recently emerging paradigm aimed at finding a solution that is driven by sample data but is protected against sampling errors. An increasingly popular approach, known as Wasserstein…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-07-20 Jonathan Yu-Meng Li , Tiantian Mao
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