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The evaluation of the financial markets to predict their behaviour have been attempted using a number of approaches, to make smart and profitable investment decisions. Owing to the highly non-linear trends and inter-dependencies, it is…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-08-02 Shaswat Mohanty , Anirudh Vijay , Nandagopan Gopakumar

Accurate and efficient imbalance electricity price forecasting is critical for industrial energy trading systems, especially as battery assets and automated bidding pipelines increasingly participate in balancing markets. However, real-time…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-05-12 Runyao Yu , Julia Lin , Derek W. Bunn , Jochen Stiasny , Wentao Wang , Yujie Chen , Tara Esterl , Peter Palensky , Jochen L. Cremer

Middle-term horizon (months to a year) power consumption prediction is a main challenge in the energy sector, in particular when probabilistic forecasting is considered. We propose a new modelling approach that incorporates trend,…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-01-04 Michele Azzone , Roberto Baviera

The high penetration of volatile renewable energy sources such as solar make methods for coping with the uncertainty associated with them of paramount importance. Probabilistic forecasts are an example of these methods, as they assist…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-21 Vinayak Sharma , Jorge Angel Gonzalez Ordiano , Ralf Mikut , Umit Cali

This study evaluates deep neural networks for forecasting probability distributions of financial returns. 1D convolutional neural networks (CNN) and Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) architectures are used to forecast parameters of three…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-09-03 Jakub Michańków

This thesis studies the effectiveness of Long Short Term Memory model in forecasting future Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey data in the United States. Drawing on multiple economic indicators from various sources, the data are fed…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-03-26 Kyungsu Kim

Energy forecasting has a vital role to play in smart grid (SG) systems involving various applications such as demand-side management, load shedding, and optimum dispatch. Managing efficient forecasting while ensuring the least possible…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-25 Devinder Kaur , Shama Naz Islam , Md. Apel Mahmud , Md. Enamul Haque , ZhaoYang Dong

Accurately forecasting power outages is a complex task influenced by diverse factors such as weather conditions [1], vegetation, wildlife, and load fluctuations. These factors introduce substantial variability and noise into outage data,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-23 Subhabrata Das , Bodruzzaman Khan , Xiao-Yang Liu

With an increasing emphasis on driving down the costs of Operations and Maintenance (O&M) in the Offshore Wind (OSW) sector, comes the requirement to explore new methodology and applications of Deep Learning (DL) to the domain.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-27 Connor Walker , Callum Rothon , Koorosh Aslansefat , Yiannis Papadopoulos , Nina Dethlefs

With the evolution of power systems as it is becoming more intelligent and interactive system while increasing in flexibility with a larger penetration of renewable energy sources, demand prediction on a short-term resolution will…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-20 Saad Emshagin , Wayes Koroni Halim , Rasha Kashef

Accurately predicting the prices of financial time series is essential and challenging for the financial sector. Owing to recent advancements in deep learning techniques, deep learning models are gradually replacing traditional statistical…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-09-29 Cheng Zhang , Nilam Nur Amir Sjarif , Roslina Ibrahim

Traditional Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) networks are effective for handling sequential data but have limitations such as gradient vanishing and difficulty in capturing long-term dependencies, which can impact their performance in dynamic…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2026-04-29 Faezeh Sarlakifar , Mohammadreza Mohammadzadeh Asl , Sajjad Rezvani Khaledi , Armin Salimi-Badr

Predictive business process monitoring methods exploit logs of completed cases of a process in order to make predictions about running cases thereof. Existing methods in this space are tailor-made for specific prediction tasks. Moreover,…

Applications · Statistics 2017-12-20 Niek Tax , Ilya Verenich , Marcello La Rosa , Marlon Dumas

Most electricity systems worldwide are deploying advanced metering infrastructures to collect relevant operational data. In particular, smart meters allow tracking electricity load consumption at a very disaggregated level and at high…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-03-09 Andrés M. Alonso , F. Javier Nogales , Carlos Ruiz

The stock market prediction has always been crucial for stakeholders, traders and investors. We developed an ensemble Long Short Term Memory (LSTM) model that includes two-time frequencies (annual and daily parameters) in order to predict…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-01-13 Zineb Lanbouri , Saaid Achchab

For a long-time, researchers have been developing a reliable and accurate predictive model for stock price prediction. According to the literature, if predictive models are correctly designed and refined, they can painstakingly and…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-12-24 Ananda Chatterjee , Hrisav Bhowmick , Jaydip Sen

Climate change is one of the most concerning issues of this century. Emission from electric power generation is a crucial factor that drives the concern to the next level. Renewable energy sources are widespread and available globally,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-05-27 Md Amimul Ehsan , Amir Shahirinia , Nian Zhang , Timothy Oladunni

With the employment of smart meters, massive data on consumer behaviour can be collected by retailers. From the collected data, the retailers may obtain the household profile information and implement demand response. While retailers prefer…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-19 Yi Dong , Yang Chen , Xingyu Zhao , Xiaowei Huang

Consumer energy forecasting is essential for managing energy consumption and planning, directly influencing operational efficiency, cost reduction, personalized energy management, and sustainability efforts. In recent years, deep learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-10 Muhammad Umair Danish , Katarina Grolinger

Short-Term Electricity-Load Forecasting (STELF) refers to the prediction of the immediate demand (in the next few hours to several days) for the power system. Various external factors, such as weather changes and the emergence of new…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-20 Qi Dong , Rubing Huang , Chenhui Cui , Dave Towey , Ling Zhou , Jinyu Tian , Jianzhou Wang
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