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Population annealing (PA) is a population-based algorithm that is designed for equilibrium simulations of thermodynamic systems with a rough free energy landscape. It is known to be more efficient in doing so than standard Markov chain…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-04-04 Denis Gessert , Martin Weigel , Wolfhard Janke

We give a finite-sample analysis of predictive inference procedures after model selection in regression with random design. The analysis is focused on a statistically challenging scenario where the number of potentially important…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-08-26 Hannes Leeb

We consider the Bayesian optimal filtering problem: i.e. estimating some conditional statistics of a latent time-series signal from an observation sequence. Classical approaches often rely on the use of assumed or estimated transition and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-03-16 Adrian N. Bishop , Edwin V. Bonilla

We study the assessment of semiparametric and other highly-parametrised models from the perspective of foundational principles of parametric statistical inference. In doing so, we highlight the possibility of avoiding the usual…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-05 Heather Battey , Nancy Reid

Mixture models are one of the most widely used statistical tools when dealing with data from heterogeneous populations. This paper considers the long-standing debate over finite mixture and infinite mixtures and brings the two modelling…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-04-23 Raffaele Argiento , Maria De Iorio

In the analysis of survey data, sampling weights are needed for consistent estimation of the population. However, the original inverse probability weights from the survey sample design are typically modified to account for non-response, to…

Computation · Statistics 2025-08-19 Matthew R. Williams , Terrance D. Savitsky

Semisupervised learning has emerged as a popular framework for improving modeling accuracy while controlling labeling cost. Based on an extension of stochastic composite likelihood we quantify the asymptotic accuracy of generative…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2010-03-02 Joshua V Dillon , Krishnakumar Balasubramanian , Guy Lebanon

We consider high-dimensional estimation problems where the number of parameters diverges with the sample size. General conditions are established for consistency, uniqueness, and asymptotic normality in both unpenalized and penalized…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-04-08 Jana Gauss , Thomas Nagler

Faced with massive data, subsampling is a commonly used technique to improve computational efficiency, and using nonuniform subsampling probabilities is an effective approach to improve estimation efficiency. For computational efficiency,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-05-19 Jing Wang , Jiahui Zou , HaiYing Wang

Background: Many different simulation frameworks, in different topics, need to treat realistic datasets to initialize and calibrate the system. A precise reproduction of initial states is extremely important to obtain reliable forecast from…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2015-05-14 Floriana Gargiulo , Sonia Ternes , Sylvie Huet , Guillaume Deffuant

In this paper, we provide a general methodology to draw statistical inferences on individual signal coordinates or linear combinations of them in sparse phase retrieval. Given an initial estimator for the targeting parameter (some simple…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-09-29 Yisha Yao

Design-based inference, also known as randomization-based or finite-population inference, provides a principled framework for trustworthy statistical inference by attributing randomness solely to the design mechanism (e.g., treatment…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-17 Siyu Heng , Yanxin Shen , Zijian Guo

A phylogeny describes the evolutionary history of an evolving population. Evolutionary search algorithms can perfectly track the ancestry of candidate solutions, illuminating a population's trajectory through the search space. However,…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2024-02-05 Alexander Lalejini , Marcos Sanson , Jack Garbus , Matthew Andres Moreno , Emily Dolson

Multivariate meta-analysis is gaining prominence in evidence synthesis research because it enables simultaneous synthesis of multiple correlated outcome data, and random-effects models have generally been used for addressing between-studies…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-14 Hisashi Noma , Kengo Nagashima , Toshi A. Furukawa

This paper develops a variance estimation framework for matching estimators that enables valid population inference for treatment effects. We provide theoretical analysis of a variance estimator that addresses key limitations in the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-16 Xiang Meng , Aaron Smith , Luke Miratrix

We develop a new approach for quantifying uncertainty in finite populations, by using design distributions to calibrate sensitivity parameters in finite population identified sets. This yields uncertainty intervals that can be interpreted…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-05-12 Brendan Kline , Matthew A. Masten

Clustering ensemble is one of the most recent advances in unsupervised learning. It aims to combine the clustering results obtained using different algorithms or from different runs of the same clustering algorithm for the same data set,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-08-22 Ashraf Mohammed Iqbal , Abidalrahman Moh'd , Zahoor Khan

The paper illustrates an application of the Resampling approach [2] for the estimation of the aircraft circulation plan reliability. Resampling is an intensive computer statistical method, which can be used effectively in the case of small…

Applications · Statistics 2013-05-14 Maxim Fioshin

An algorithm is proposed, analyzed, and tested for solving continuous nonlinear-equality-constrained optimization problems where the objective and constraint functions are defined by expectations or averages over large, finite numbers of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-05-14 Frank E. Curtis , Lingjun Guo , Daniel P. Robinson

Intelligent information systems that contain emergent elements often encounter trust problems because results do not get sufficiently explained and the procedure itself can not be fully retraced. This is caused by a control flow depending…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2021-04-30 Michael Guckert , Nils Gumpfer , Jennifer Hannig , Till Keller , Neil Urquhart
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