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The tilted-wave interferometer is a promising technique for the development of a reference measurement system for the highly accurate form measurement of aspheres and freeform surfaces. The technique combines interferometric measurements,…

Variational Bayes (VB) is a popular estimation method for Bayesian inference. However, most existing VB algorithms are restricted to cases where the likelihood is tractable, which precludes their use in many important situations. Tran et…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-05-19 David Gunawan , Minh-Ngoc Tran , Robert Kohn

Reliable predictive uncertainty estimation plays an important role in enabling the deployment of neural networks to safety-critical settings. A popular approach for estimating the predictive uncertainty of neural networks is to define a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-12-29 Tim G. J. Rudner , Zonghao Chen , Yee Whye Teh , Yarin Gal

Markov chain Monte Carlo samplers produce dependent streams of variates drawn from the limiting distribution of the Markov chain. With this as motivation, we introduce novel univariate kernel density estimators which are appropriate for the…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-07-29 Hang J. Kim , Steven N. MacEachern , Yoonsuh Jung

Bayesian neural networks (BNNs) augment deep networks with uncertainty quantification by Bayesian treatment of the network weights. However, such models face the challenge of Bayesian inference in a high-dimensional and usually…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-30 Zhijie Deng , Yucen Luo , Jun Zhu , Bo Zhang

From an operational and planning perspective, it is important to quantify the impact of increasing penetration of photovoltaics on the distribution system. Most existing impact assessment studies are scenario-based where derived results are…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-04-30 Sai Munikoti , Balasubramaniam Natarajan , Kumarsinh Jhala , Kexing Lai

Despite the recent improvements in overall accuracy, deep learning systems still exhibit low levels of robustness. Detecting possible failures is critical for a successful clinical integration of these systems, where each data point…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-10-14 Alain Jungo , Mauricio Reyes

There is a lack of simple and scalable algorithms for uncertainty quantification. Bayesian methods quantify uncertainty through posterior and predictive distributions, but it is difficult to rapidly estimate summaries of these…

Computation · Statistics 2016-12-28 Cheng Li , Sanvesh Srivastava , David B. Dunson

Computational codes based on the Diffusion Monte Carlo method can be used to determine the quantum state of two-electron systems confined by external potentials of various nature and geometry. In this work, we show how the application of…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2021-02-24 Gaia Micca Longo , Carla Maria Coppola , Domenico Giordano , Savino Longo

Inverse problems and, in particular, inferring unknown or latent parameters from data are ubiquitous in engineering simulations. A predominant viewpoint in identifying unknown parameters is Bayesian inference where both prior information…

Computation · Statistics 2022-08-31 Vahid Keshavarzzadeh , Robert M. Kirby , Akil Narayan

We propose a Bayesian inference framework to estimate uncertainties in inverse scattering problems. Given the observed data, the forward model and their uncertainties, we find the posterior distribution over a finite parameter field…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-11-17 Ana Carpio , Sergei Iakunin , Georg Stadler

We describe instrumentation for conducting high sensitivity millimeter-wave cavity perturbation measurements over a broad frequency range (40-200 GHz) and in the presence of strong magnetic fields (up to 33 tesla). A Millimeter-wave Vector…

Materials Science · Physics 2009-10-31 M. Mola , S. Hill , P. Goy , M. Gross

In order to demonstrate the usefulness of the only one existing method for systematic error estimations in VNA (Vector Network Analyzer) measurements by using complex DERs (Differential Error Regions), we compare one-port VNA measurements…

Instrumentation and Detectors · Physics 2015-06-03 Nikolitsa Yannopoulou , Petros Zimourtopoulos

We introduce the first comprehensive approach to determine the uncertainty in volumetric Particle Tracking Velocimetry (PTV) measurements. Volumetric PTV is a state-of-the-art non-invasive flow measurement technique, which measures the…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2022-10-19 Sayantan Bhattacharya , Pavlos P. Vlachos

In this paper, we present an uncertainty-aware INVASE to quantify predictive confidence of healthcare problem. By introducing learnable Gaussian distributions, we lever-age their variances to measure the degree of uncertainty. Based on the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-07 Jia-Xing Zhong , Hongbo Zhang

Since decades ago, multi-antenna has become a key enabling technology in the evolution of wireless communication systems. In contrast to conventional multi-antenna systems that contain antennas at fixed positions, position-flexible antenna…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2024-09-06 Yiqin Wang , Heyin Shen , Chong Han , Meixia Tao

The paper introduces a novel approach to global sensitivity analysis, grounded in the variance-covariance structure of random variables derived from random measures. The proposed methodology facilitates the application of…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-20 Caleb Deen Bastian , Herschel Rabitz , Grzegorz A Rempala

This paper introduces a Bayesian framework that combines Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling, dimensionality reduction, and neural density estimation to efficiently handle inverse problems that (i) must be solved multiple times, and…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2026-02-24 Giacomo Bottacini , Matteo Torzoni , Andrea Manzoni

We deal with estimation of multiple dipoles from combined MEG and EEG time--series. We use a sequential Monte Carlo algorithm to characterize the posterior distribution of the number of dipoles and their locations. By considering three test…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2017-06-20 Filippo Rossi , Gianvittorio Luria , Sara Sommariva , Alberto Sorrentino

Neural networks are popular state-of-the-art models for many different tasks.They are often trained via back-propagation to find a value of the weights that correctly predicts the observed data. Although back-propagation has shown good…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-12-29 Simón Rodríguez Santana , Daniel Hernández-Lobato
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