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We describe a fast method for solving elliptic partial differential equations (PDEs) with uncertain coefficients using kernel interpolation at a lattice point set. By representing the input random field of the system using the model…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-08-15 Vesa Kaarnioja , Frances Y. Kuo , Ian H. Sloan

Previous analysis of regularized functional linear regression in a reproducing kernel Hilbert space (RKHS) typically requires the target function to be contained in this kernel space. This paper studies the convergence performance of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-02-20 Jiading Liu , Lei Shi

Many scientific problems involve data exhibiting both temporal and cross-sectional dependencies. While linear dependencies have been extensively studied, the theoretical analysis of regression estimators under nonlinear dependencies remains…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-02-27 Marie-Christine Düker , Adam Waterbury

Selecting an appropriate kernel is a central challenge in kernel-based spectral methods. In \emph{Kernelized Diffusion Maps} (KDM), the kernel determines the accuracy of the RKHS estimator of a diffusion-type operator and hence the quality…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-21 Othmane Aboussaad , Adam Miraoui , Boumediene Hamzi , Houman Owhadi

We propose two new kernel-type estimators of the mean residual life function $m_X(t)$ of bounded or half-bounded interval supported distributions. Though not as severe as the boundary problems in the kernel density estimation, eliminating…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-05-29 Rizky Reza Fauzi , Yoshihiko Maesono

A spectral mixture (SM) kernel is a flexible kernel used to model any stationary covariance function. Although it is useful in modeling data, the learning of the SM kernel is generally difficult because optimizing a large number of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-15 Yohan Jung , Kyungwoo Song , Jinkyoo Park

Modelling statistical relationships beyond the conditional mean is crucial in many settings. Conditional density estimation (CDE) aims to learn the full conditional probability density from data. Though highly expressive, neural network…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-02-17 Jonas Rothfuss , Fabio Ferreira , Simon Boehm , Simon Walther , Maxim Ulrich , Tamim Asfour , Andreas Krause

In this paper, we study the problem of estimating the normalizing constant $\int e^{-\lambda f(x)}dx$ through queries to the black-box function $f$, where $f$ belongs to a reproducing kernel Hilbert space (RKHS), and $\lambda$ is a problem…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-12 Xu Cai , Jonathan Scarlett

This paper considers extensions of minimum-disparity estimators to the problem of estimating parameters in a regression model that is conditionally specified; that is where a parametric model describes the distribution of a response $y$…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-02-10 Giles Hooker

Kalman filters constitute a scalable and robust methodology for approximate Bayesian inference, matching first and second order moments of the target posterior. To improve the accuracy in nonlinear and non-Gaussian settings, we extend this…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-09-04 L. Wang , N. Nüsken

We study policy evaluation of offline contextual bandits subject to unobserved confounders. Sensitivity analysis methods are commonly used to estimate the policy value under the worst-case confounding over a given uncertainty set. However,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-09-25 Kei Ishikawa , Niao He

We describe a method for fitting distributions to data which only requires knowledge of the parametric form of either the signal or the background but not both. The unknown distribution is fit using a non-parametric kernel density…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-06-03 Wolfgang A. Rolke , Angel M. López

The recent development of multi-agent simulations brings about a need for population synthesis. It is a task of reconstructing the entire population from a sampling survey of limited size (1% or so), supplying the initial conditions from…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2016-11-15 Naoki Hamada , Katsumi Homma , Hiroyuki Higuchi , Hideyuki Kikuchi

We show that rate-adaptive multivariate density estimation can be performed using Bayesian methods based on Dirichlet mixtures of normal kernels with a prior distribution on the kernel's covariance matrix parameter. We derive sufficient…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-08-22 Weining Shen , Surya T. Tokdar , Subhashis Ghosal

Many real-world applications generate continuous data streams for regression. Hoeffding trees and their variants have a long-standing tradition due to their effectiveness, either alone or as base models in broader ensembles. Recent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-06 Pantia-Marina Alchirch , Dimitrios I. Diochnos

In this paper, we develop a kernel learning backward SDE filter method to estimate the state of a stochastic dynamical system based on its partial noisy observations. A system of forward backward stochastic differential equations is used to…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-01-27 Richard Archibald , Feng Bao

A novel approximate Bayesian filter based on backward stochastic differential equations is introduced. It uses a nonlinear Feynman--Kac representation of the filtering problem and the approximation of an unnormalized filtering density using…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-04-21 Kasper Bågmark , Adam Andersson , Stig Larsson

The traditional kernel density estimator of an unknown density is by construction completely nonparametric, in the sense that it has no preferences and will work reasonably well for all shapes. The present paper develops a class of…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-05 Nils Lid Hjort , Ingrid Kristine Glad

Density estimates based on point processes are often restrained to regions with irregular boundaries or holes. We propose a density estimator, the lattice-based density estimator, which produces reasonable density estimates under these…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-10-19 Ronald P. Barry , Julie McIntyre

This paper addresses the problem of detecting boundary points and estimating the sampling density of a dataset derived from a compact manifold with boundary, potentially in the presence of noise. We extend recent advances in doubly…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-03 Dhruv Kohli , Jesse He , Chester Holtz , Alexander Cloninger , Gal Mishne