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Variational inference methods for latent variable statistical models have gained popularity because they are relatively fast, can handle large data sets, and have deterministic convergence guarantees. However, in practice it is unclear…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-03-22 Hachem Saddiki , Andrew C. Trapp , Patrick Flaherty

Geophysical and other natural processes often exhibit non-stationary covariances and this feature is important to take into account for statistical models that attempt to emulate the physical process. A convolution-based model is used to…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-11-23 Douglas Nychka , Dorit Hammerling , Mitchell Krock , Ashton Wiens

We consider the problem of estimating the underlying edge probabilities of a time-varying network observed at multiple time points. The probability structure is represented by a time-varying graphon that satisfies temporal H\"older…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-11 Jeonghwan Lee , Tianxi Li , Adam J. Rothman

We develop an estimator for the high-dimensional covariance matrix of a locally stationary process with a smoothly varying trend and use this statistic to derive consistent predictors in non-stationary time series. In contrast to the…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-01-08 Holger Dette , Weichi Wu

We are modelling multi-scale, multi-physics uncertainty in wave-current interaction (WCI). To model uncertainty in WCI, we introduce stochasticity into the wave dynamics of two classic models of WCI; namely, the Generalised Lagrangian Mean…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2021-02-03 Darryl D Holm

We develop a non-parametric, semimartingale optimal transport, calibration methodology for local volatility models with stochastic interest rate. The method finds a fully calibrated model which is the closest, in a way that can be defined…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-05-08 Benjamin Joseph , Gregoire Loeper , Jan Obloj

The accurate prediction of time-changing variances is an important task in the modeling of financial data. Standard econometric models are often limited as they assume rigid functional relationships for the variances. Moreover, function…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-02-14 Yue Wu , Jose Miguel Hernandez Lobato , Zoubin Ghahramani

In this paper the local iterative Lie-Schwinger block-diagonalization method, introduced in [FP], [DFPR1], and [DFPR2] for quantum chains, is extended to higher-dimensional quantum lattice systems with Hamiltonians that can be written as…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2022-08-15 Simone Del Vecchio , Juerg Froehlich , Alessandro Pizzo , Stefano Rossi

This article studies the recovery of graphons when they are convolution kernels on compact (symmetric) metric spaces. This case is of particular interest since it covers the situation where the probability of an edge depends only on some…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-04-08 Yohann De Castro , Claire Lacour , Thanh Mai Pham Ngoc

This paper presents a new approach for Gaussian process (GP) regression for large datasets. The approach involves partitioning the regression input domain into multiple local regions with a different local GP model fitted in each region.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-07-10 Chiwoo Park , Daniel Apley

We propose new nonparametric estimators of the integrated volatility of an It\^{o} semimartingale observed at discrete times on a fixed time interval with mesh of the observation grid shrinking to zero. The proposed estimators achieve the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-05-30 Jean Jacod , Viktor Todorov

We propose a new stochastic model involving state-dependent variable exponent $p(\cdot)$ which allows modeling of systems where noise intensity adapts to the current state. This new flexible theoretical framework generalizes both the…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2025-10-22 Mustafa Avci

We propose an $L_{2}$-based penalization algorithm for functional linear regression models, where the coefficient function is shrunk towards a data-driven shape template $\gamma$, which is constrained to belong to a class of piecewise…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-11-03 Edoardo Belli , Simone Vantini

This paper studies formulations of second-order elliptic partial differential equations in nondivergence form on convex domains as equivalent variational problems. The first formulation is that of Smears \& S\"uli [SIAM J.\ Numer.\ Anal.\…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-01-17 Dietmar Gallistl

This work proposes an algorithmic framework to learn time-varying graphs from online data. The generality offered by the framework renders it model-independent, i.e., it can be theoretically analyzed in its abstract formulation and then…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-25 Alberto Natali , Elvin Isufi , Mario Coutino , Geert Leus

This paper demonstrates the efficiency of using Edgeworth and Gram-Charlier expansions in the calibration of the Libor Market Model with Stochastic Volatility and Displaced Diffusion (DD-SV-LMM). Our approach brings together two research…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-06-02 Laurent Devineau , Pierre-Edouard Arrouy , Paul Bonnefoy , Alexandre Boumezoued

The homogenization of periodic elastic composites is addressed through the reformulation of the local equations of the mechanical problem in a geometric functional setting. This relies on the definition of Hilbert spaces of kinematically…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-12-07 Cedric Bellis , Pierre Suquet

We present a novel Monte Carlo based LSV calibration algorithm that applies to all stochastic volatility models, including the non-Markovian rough volatility family. Our framework overcomes the limitations of the particle method proposed by…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-10-01 Aitor Muguruza

A wide variety of (fixed-point) iterative methods for the solution of nonlinear equations (in Hilbert spaces) exists. In many cases, such schemes can be interpreted as iterative local linearization methods, which, as will be shown, can be…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-10-16 Pascal Heid , Thomas P. Wihler

Gaussian graphical model selection is usually studied under independent sampling, but in many applications observations arise from dependent dynamics. We study structure learning when the data consist of a single trajectory of Gaussian…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-13 Vignesh Tirukkonda , Anirudh Rayas , Gautam Dasarathy
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