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Accurate and robust recognition and prediction of traffic situation plays an important role in autonomous driving, which is a prerequisite for risk assessment and effective decision making. Although there exist a lot of works dealing with…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2018-09-11 Jiachen Li , Hengbo Ma , Wei Zhan , Masayoshi Tomizuka

This study presents a Bayesian maximum \textit{a~posteriori} (MAP) framework for dynamical system identification from time-series data. This is shown to be equivalent to a generalized Tikhonov regularization, providing a rational…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-29 Robert K. Niven , Laurent Cordier , Ali Mohammad-Djafari , Markus Abel , Markus Quade

Traffic flow modeling relies heavily on fundamental diagrams. However, deterministic fundamental diagrams, such as single or multi-regime models, cannot capture the uncertainty pattern that underlies traffic flow. To address this…

Applications · Statistics 2024-11-25 Yuan-Zheng Lei , Yaobang Gong , Xianfeng Terry Yang

The modelling of Earth observation data is a challenging problem, typically approached by either purely mechanistic or purely data-driven methods. Mechanistic models encode the domain knowledge and physical rules governing the system. Such…

In this paper, we present a Bayesian view on model-based reinforcement learning. We use expert knowledge to impose structure on the transition model and present an efficient learning scheme based on variational inference. This scheme is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-07-12 Markus Kaiser , Clemens Otte , Thomas Runkler , Carl Henrik Ek

In this paper, we propose a unified framework for identifying interpretable nonlinear dynamical models that preserve physical properties. The proposed approach integrates physical principles with black-box basis functions to compensate for…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-06-10 Cesare Donati , Martina Mammarella , Fabrizio Dabbene , Carlo Novara , Constantino Lagoa

Direct design of a robot's rendered dynamics, such as in impedance control, is now a well-established control mode in uncertain environments. When the physical interaction port variables are not measured directly, dynamic and kinematic…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-12-20 Kevin Haninger , Masayoshi Tomizuka

A parametric adaptive physics-informed greedy Latent Space Dynamics Identification (gLaSDI) method is proposed for accurate, efficient, and robust data-driven reduced-order modeling of high-dimensional nonlinear dynamical systems. In the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-07-19 Xiaolong He , Youngsoo Choi , William D. Fries , Jon Belof , Jiun-Shyan Chen

State-space models (SSMs) are a powerful statistical tool for modelling time-varying systems via a latent state. In these models, the latent state is never directly observed. Instead, a sequence of data points related to the state are…

Computation · Statistics 2023-06-22 Benjamin Cox , Victor Elvira

Forecasting in the real world requires integrating structured time-series data with unstructured textual information, but existing methods are architecturally limited by fixed input/output horizons and are unable to model or quantify…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-27 Sungjun Cho , Changho Shin , Suenggwan Jo , Xinya Yan , Shourjo Aditya Chaudhuri , Frederic Sala

Multiscale dynamical systems characterized by interacting fast and slow processes are ubiquitous across scientific domains, from climate dynamics to fluid mechanics. Accurate modeling of such systems requires capturing both the long-term…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2025-11-07 Giulio Del Felice , Ludovico Theo Giorgini

Given an unknown dynamic system such as a coupled harmonic oscillator with $n$ springs and point masses. We are often interested in gaining insights into its physical parameters, i.e. stiffnesses and masses, by observing trajectories of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-22 Gregory Barber , Mulugeta A. Haile , Tzikang Chen

Credible forecasting and representation learning of dynamical systems are of ever-increasing importance for reliable decision-making. To that end, we propose a family of Gaussian processes (GP) for dynamical systems with linear…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-11 Petar Bevanda , Max Beier , Armin Lederer , Alexandre Capone , Stefan Sosnowski , Sandra Hirche

Probabilistic time series forecasting is crucial for quantifying future uncertainty, with significant applications in fields such as energy and finance. However, existing methods often rely on computationally expensive sampling or…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-21 Lei Liu , Tengyuan Liu , Hongwei Zhao , Jiahui Huang , Ruibo Guo , Bin Li

Autonomous vehicles are expected to navigate in complex traffic scenarios with multiple surrounding vehicles. The correlations between road users vary over time, the degree of which, in theory, could be infinitely large, thus posing a great…

Robotics · Computer Science 2019-10-24 Yaohui Guo , Vinay Varma Kalidindi , Mansur Arief , Wenshuo Wang , Jiacheng Zhu , Huei Peng , Ding Zhao

Majority of the text modelling techniques yield only point-estimates of document embeddings and lack in capturing the uncertainty of the estimates. These uncertainties give a notion of how well the embeddings represent a document. We…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2020-08-03 Santosh Kesiraju , Oldřich Plchot , Lukáš Burget , Suryakanth V Gangashetty

We propose a model predictive control approach for autonomous vehicles that exploits learned Gaussian processes for predicting human driving behavior. The proposed approach employs the uncertainty about the GP's prediction to achieve…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-03-09 Johanna Bethge , Maik Pfefferkorn , Alexander Rose , Jan Peters , Rolf Findeisen

System identification of complex and nonlinear systems is a central problem for model predictive control and model-based reinforcement learning. Despite their complexity, such systems can often be approximated well by a set of linear…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-05-30 Philip Becker-Ehmck , Jan Peters , Patrick van der Smagt

Nonparametric Bayesian models are used routinely as flexible and powerful models of complex data. Many times, a statistician may have additional informative beliefs about data distribution of interest, e.g., its mean or subset components,…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-08 Bingjing Tang , Vinayak Rao

This paper introduces a Multi-modal Diffusion model for Motion Prediction (MDMP) that integrates and synchronizes skeletal data and textual descriptions of actions to generate refined long-term motion predictions with quantifiable…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-06-03 Leo Bringer , Joey Wilson , Kira Barton , Maani Ghaffari
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