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Maximum likelihood estimators are used extensively to estimate unknown parameters of stochastic trait evolution models on phylogenetic trees. Although the MLE has been proven to converge to the true value in the independent-sample case, we…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-11-26 Lam Si Tung Ho , Vu Dinh , Frederick A. Matsen , Marc A. Suchard

Bayesian inference provides a principled way of estimating the parameters of a stochastic process that is observed discretely in time. The overdamped Brownian motion of a particle confined in an optical trap is generally modelled by the…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2017-02-01 Sudipta Bera , Shuvojit Paul , Rajesh Singh , Dipanjan Ghosh , Avijit Kundu , Ayan Banerjee , R. Adhikari

Phylogenetic comparative methods explore the relationships between quantitative traits adjusting for shared evolutionary history. This adjustment often occurs through a Brownian diffusion process along the branches of the phylogeny that…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-01-27 Max R. Tolkoff , Michael L. Alfaro , Guy Baele , Philippe Lemey , Marc A. Suchard

We consider two reflecting diffusion processes $(X_t)_{t \ge 0}$ with a moving reflection boundary given by a non-decreasing pure jump Markov process $(R_t)_{t \ge 0}$. Between the jumps of the reflection boundary the diffusion part behaves…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-02-07 Andrej Depperschmidt , Sophia Götz

The strong Allee effect plays an important role on the evolution of population in ecological systems. One important concept is the Allee threshold that determines the persistence or extinction of the population in a long time. In general, a…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2024-08-05 Fanze Kong , Juncheng Wei

The quality of the inferences we make from pathogen sequence data is determined by the number and composition of pathogen sequences that make up the sample used to drive that inference. However, there remains limited guidance on how to best…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-06-13 Lucy D'Agostino McGowan , Shirlee Wohl , Justin Lessler

To study population dynamics, ecologists and wildlife biologists use relative abundance data, which are often subject to temporal preferential sampling. Temporal preferential sampling occurs when sampling effort varies across time. To…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-14 Michael R. Schwob , Mevin B. Hooten , Travis McDevitt-Galles

A phylogenetic tree is an important way in Bioinformatics to find the evolutionary relationship among biological species. In this research, a proposed model is described for the estimation of a phylogenetic tree for a given set of data. To…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-09-03 S M Rafiuddin

We consider the extreme value statistics of correlated random variables that arise from a Langevin equation. Recently, it was shown that the extreme values of the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process follow a different distribution than those…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-08-17 Lior Zarfaty , Eli Barkai , David A. Kessler

We are interested in modeling Darwinian evolution resulting from the interplay of phenotypic variation and natural selection through ecological interactions. The population is modeled as a stochastic point process whose generator captures…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-02-01 Benjamin Jourdain , Sylvie Méléard , Wojbor Woyczynski

We consider the critical branching processes in correlated random environment which is positively associated and study the probability of survival up to the n-th generation. Moreover, when the environment is given by fractional Brownian…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-03-28 Xinxin Chen , Nadine Guillotin-Plantard

Many biological characteristics of evolutionary interest are not scalar variables but continuous functions. Given a dataset of function-valued traits generated by evolution, we develop a practical statistical approach to infer ancestral…

We continue the investigation of sample paths of $q$-Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process. We show that for all $q\in(-1,1)$, the process has big jumps crossing from near one end point of the domain to the other with positive probability. Moreover,…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-07-05 Yizao Wang

A phylogeny describes the evolutionary history of an evolving population. Evolutionary search algorithms can perfectly track the ancestry of candidate solutions, illuminating a population's trajectory through the search space. However,…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2024-02-05 Alexander Lalejini , Marcos Sanson , Jack Garbus , Matthew Andres Moreno , Emily Dolson

We consider an expanding population on the plane. The genealogy of a sample from the population is modelled by coalescing Brownian motion on the circle. We establish a weak law of large numbers for the site frequency spectrum in this model.…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-08-16 Yubo Shuai

Sweepstakes reproduction refers to a highly skewed individual recruitment success without involving natural selection and may apply to individuals in broadcast spawning populations characterised by Type III survivorship. We consider an…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-01-14 Jonathan A Chetwynd-Diggle , Bjarki Eldon

Motivated as a null model for comparison with data, we study the following model for a phylogenetic tree on $n$ extant species. The origin of the clade is a random time in the past, whose (improper) distribution is uniform on $(0,\infty)$.…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 David J. Aldous , Lea Popovic

Many population genetic models have been developed for the purpose of inferring population size and growth rates from random samples of genetic data. We examine two popular approaches to this problem, the coalescent and the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2014-08-29 Erik M. Volz , Simon DW Frost

We ask the question "when will natural selection on a gene in a spatially structured population cause a detectable trace in the patterns of genetic variation observed in the contemporary population?". We focus on the situation in which…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-11-17 Alison Etheridge , Nic Freeman , Sarah Penington , Daniel Straulino

Variation in a sample of molecular sequence data informs about the past evolutionary history of the sample's population. Traditionally, Bayesian modeling coupled with the standard coalescent, is used to infer the sample's bifurcating…

Applications · Statistics 2024-10-22 Julie Zhang , Julia A. Palacios