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Bayesian graphical modeling provides an appealing way to obtain uncertainty estimates when inferring network structures, and much recent progress has been made for Gaussian models. These models have been used extensively in applications to…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-07-06 Michael Finegold , Mathias Drton

We review common situations in Bayesian latent variable models where the prior distribution that a researcher specifies differs from the prior distribution used during estimation. These situations can arise from the positive definite…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-19 Edgar C. Merkle , Oludare Ariyo , Sonja D. Winter , Mauricio Garnier-Villarreal

Reference priors are theoretically attractive for the analysis of geostatistical data since they enable automatic Bayesian analysis and have desirable Bayesian and frequentist properties. But their use is hindered by computational hurdles…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-01-27 Victor De Oliveira , Zifei Han

Selecting informative nodes over large-scale networks becomes increasingly important in many research areas. Most existing methods focus on the local network structure and incur heavy computational costs for the large-scale problem. In this…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-10-02 Qingpo Cai , Jian Kang , Tianwei Yu

To adopt neural networks in safety critical domains, knowing whether we can trust their predictions is crucial. Bayesian neural networks (BNNs) provide uncertainty estimates by averaging predictions with respect to the posterior weight…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-17 Jannik Schmitt , Stefan Roth

Prior-data fitted networks (PFNs) have emerged as promising foundation models for prediction from tabular datasets, achieving state-of-the-art performance on small to moderate data sizes without tuning. While PFNs are motivated by Bayesian…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-11 Thomas Nagler , David Rügamer

We present a method for learning the parameters of a Bayesian network with prior knowledge about the signs of influences between variables. Our method accommodates not just the standard signs, but provides for context-specific signs as…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-07-09 Ad Feelders , Linda C. van der Gaag

The recent literature on deep learning offers new tools to learn a rich probability distribution over high dimensional data such as images or sounds. In this work we investigate the possibility of learning the prior distribution over neural…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-12-19 Alexandre Lacoste , Thomas Boquet , Negar Rostamzadeh , Boris Oreshkin , Wonchang Chung , David Krueger

Priors allow us to robustify inference and to incorporate expert knowledge in Bayesian hierarchical models. This is particularly important when there are random effects that are hard to identify based on observed data. The challenge lies in…

Computation · Statistics 2022-03-21 Ingeborg Gullikstad Hem , Geir-Arne Fuglstad , Andrea Riebler

Bayesian Neural Networks (BNNs) have recently received increasing attention for their ability to provide well-calibrated posterior uncertainties. However, model selection---even choosing the number of nodes---remains an open question.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-08-01 Soumya Ghosh , Jiayu Yao , Finale Doshi-Velez

Indirect inference (II) is a methodology for estimating the parameters of an intractable (generative) model on the basis of an alternative parametric (auxiliary) model that is both analytically and computationally easier to deal with. Such…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-05-14 Christopher C. Drovandi , Anthony N. Pettitt , Anthony Lee

Priors in Bayesian analyses often encode informative domain knowledge that can be useful in making the inference process more efficient. Occasionally, however, priors may be unrepresentative of the parameter values for a given dataset,…

Computation · Statistics 2022-07-05 Xi Chen , Farhan Feroz , Michael Hobson

Bayesian inference provides a powerful tool for leveraging observational data to inform model predictions and uncertainties. However, when such data is limited, Bayesian inference may not adequately constrain uncertainty without the use of…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-26 Rebekah D. White , John D. Jakeman , Tim Wildey , Troy Butler

In high-dimensional Bayesian statistics, various methods have been developed, including prior distributions that induce parameter sparsity to handle many parameters. Yet, these approaches often overlook the rich spectral structure of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-05-06 Tomoya Wakayama , Masaaki Imaizumi

Bayesian Generative AI (BayesGen-AI) methods are developed and applied to Bayesian computation. BayesGen-AI reconstructs the posterior distribution by directly modeling the parameter of interest as a mapping (a.k.a. deep learner) from a…

Computation · Statistics 2024-02-27 Nicholas G. Polson , Vadim Sokolov

Gaussian graphical models have been used to study intrinsic dependence among several variables, but the Gaussianity assumption may be restrictive in many applications. A nonparanormal graphical model is a semiparametric generalization for…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-05-20 Jami J. Mulgrave , Subhashis Ghosal

Bayesian inference has theoretical attractions as a principled framework for reasoning about beliefs. However, the motivations of Bayesian inference which claim it to be the only 'rational' kind of reasoning do not apply in practice. They…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-11-14 Sebastian Farquhar

In this paper we address the problem of learning the structure of a Bayesian network in domains with continuous variables. This task requires a procedure for comparing different candidate structures. In the Bayesian framework, this is done…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-01-18 Nir Friedman , Iftach Nachman

Priors are important for achieving proper posteriors with physically meaningful covariance structures for Gaussian random fields (GRFs) since the likelihood typically only provides limited information about the covariance structure under…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-11-28 Geir-Arne Fuglstad , Daniel Simpson , Finn Lindgren , Håvard Rue

Modeling the probability distribution of rows in tabular data and generating realistic synthetic data is a non-trivial task. Tabular data usually contains a mix of discrete and continuous columns. Continuous columns may have multiple modes…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-29 Lei Xu , Maria Skoularidou , Alfredo Cuesta-Infante , Kalyan Veeramachaneni