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Machine learning techniques have seen a tremendous rise in popularity in weather and climate sciences. Data assimilation (DA), which combines observations and numerical models, has great potential to incorporate machine learning and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-20 Feiyu Lu

The application of neural networks in modeling dynamic systems has become prominent due to their ability to estimate complex nonlinear functions. Despite their effectiveness, neural networks face challenges in long-term predictions, where…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-10 Parham Oveissi , Turibius Rozario , Ankit Goel

Traditional deep neural nets (NNs) have shown the state-of-the-art performance in the task of classification in various applications. However, NNs have not considered any types of uncertainty associated with the class probabilities to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-16 Xujiang Zhao , Yuzhe Ou , Lance Kaplan , Feng Chen , Jin-Hee Cho

Deep neural networks (DNNs) are often coupled with physics-based models or data-driven surrogate models to perform fault detection and health monitoring of systems in the low data regime. These models serve as digital twins to generate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-21 Laya Das , Blazhe Gjorgiev , Giovanni Sansavini

A dynamic weighted directed graph (DWDG) is commonly encountered in various application scenarios. It involves extensive dynamic interactions among numerous nodes. Most existing approaches explore the intricate temporal patterns hidden in a…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-08-01 Hongxun Zhou , Xiangyu Chen , Ye Yuan

Among the class of nonlinear particle filtering methods, the Ensemble Kalman Filter (EnKF) has gained recent attention for its use in solving inverse problems. We review the original method and discuss recent developments in particular in…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-04-06 Michael Herty , Elisa Iacomini , Giuseppe Visconti

Wireless Sensor Network (WSN) localization refers to the problem of determining the position of each of the agents in a WSN using noisy measurement information. In many cases, such as in distance and bearing-based localization, the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-11-06 Shiraz Khan , Inseok Hwang , James Goppert

Data assimilation (DA) is a key component of many forecasting models in science and engineering. DA allows one to estimate better initial conditions using an imperfect dynamical model of the system and noisy/sparse observations available…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-01 Ashesh Chattopadhyay , Ebrahim Nabizadeh , Eviatar Bach , Pedram Hassanzadeh

The Kalman filter (KF) is an optimal linear state estimator for linear systems, and numerous extensions, including the extended Kalman filter (EKF), unscented Kalman filter (UKF), and cubature Kalman filter (CKF), have been developed for…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-07 Shida Jiang , Junzhe Shi , Scott Moura

Maintaining consistent uncertainty estimates in localization systems is crucial as the perceived uncertainty commonly affects high-level system components, such as control or decision processes. A method for constructing an…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-08-20 Chuan Huang , Gustaf Hendeby , Isaac Skog

We study the Extended Kalman Filter in constant dynamics, offering a bayesian perspective of stochastic optimization. We obtain high probability bounds on the cumulative excess risk in an unconstrained setting. In order to avoid any…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-29 Joseph de Vilmarest , Olivier Wintenberger

The problem of incorporating information from observations received serially in time is widespread in the field of uncertainty quantification. Within a probabilistic framework, such problems can be addressed using standard filtering…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-02 Chatchuea Kimchaiwong , Jeremie Houssineau , Adam M. Johansen

We propose a method to account for model error due to unresolved scales in the context of the ensemble transform Kalman filter (ETKF). The approach extends to this class of algorithms the deterministic model error formulation recently…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2023-07-19 Lewis Mitchell , Alberto Carrassi

Predicting the evolution of turbulent flows is central across science and engineering. Most studies rely on simulations with turbulence models, whose empirical simplifications introduce epistemic uncertainty. The Eigenspace Perturbation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-11 Minghan Chu , Weicheng Qian

Deep learning (DL) models have received particular attention in medical imaging due to their promising pattern recognition capabilities. However, Deep Neural Networks (DNNs) require a huge amount of data, and because of the lack of…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-07-27 Donya Khaledyan , AmirReza Tajally , Ali Sarkhosh , Afshar Shamsi , Hamzeh Asgharnezhad , Abbas Khosravi , Saeid Nahavandi

Deep Neural Networks (DNNs) achieve state-of-the-art performance on numerous applications. However, it is difficult to tell beforehand if a DNN receiving an input will deliver the correct output since their decision criteria are usually…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-07 Julia Lust , Alexandru Paul Condurache

There is significant need for principled uncertainty reasoning in machine learning systems as they are increasingly deployed in safety-critical domains. A new approach with uncertainty-aware neural networks (NNs), based on learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-25 Nis Meinert , Alexander Lavin

The Koopman Operator (KO) provides an analytical solution of dynamical systems in terms of orthogonal polynomials. This work exploits this representation to include the propagation of uncertainties, where the polynomials are modified to…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2024-07-30 Simone Servadio , William Parker , Richard Linares

Nowadays, with the development of multi-sensor networks, the distributed cubature Kalman filter is one of the well-known existing schemes for state estimation, for which the influence of the non-Gaussian noise, abnormal data, and…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-11-24 Duc Viet Nguyen , Haiquan Zhao , Jinhui Hu

Uncertainty quantification (UQ) is important for reliability assessment and enhancement of machine learning models. In deep learning, uncertainties arise not only from data, but also from the training procedure that often injects…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-11-13 Ziyi Huang , Henry Lam , Haofeng Zhang