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This paper proposes stochastic models for the analysis of ocean surface trajectories obtained from freely-drifting satellite-tracked instruments. The proposed time series models are used to summarise large multivariate datasets and infer…

Applications · Statistics 2017-03-16 Adam M. Sykulski , Sofia C. Olhede , Jonathan M. Lilly , Eric Danioux

Statistical modeling of dependent directional data remains relatively underexplored, particularly in high-dimensional spatial settings. Existing approaches for spatial angular data primarily rely on wrapped Gaussian process (WGP) models,…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-09 Arnab Hazra

In recent years more and more long-term broadband data sets are collected in geosciences. Therefore there is an urgent need of algorithms which semi-automatically analyse and decompose these data into separate periods which are associated…

Geophysics · Physics 2015-05-30 Matthias Ehrhardt , Heiner Villinger , Stefan Schiffler

We develop deep Poisson-gamma dynamical systems (DPGDS) to model sequentially observed multivariate count data, improving previously proposed models by not only mining deep hierarchical latent structure from the data, but also capturing…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-01-03 Dandan Guo , Bo Chen , Hao Zhang , Mingyuan Zhou

Accurate acquisition of surface meteorological conditions at arbitrary locations holds significant importance for weather forecasting and climate simulation. Due to the fact that meteorological states derived from satellite observations are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-13 Siwei Tu , Ben Fei , Weidong Yang , Fenghua Ling , Hao Chen , Zili Liu , Kun Chen , Hang Fan , Wanli Ouyang , Lei Bai

Gaussian processes provide a compact representation for modeling and estimating an unknown function, that can be updated as new measurements of the function are obtained. This paper extends this powerful framework to the case where the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-11-30 Jilles van Hulst , Roy van Zuijlen , Duarte Antunes , W. P. M. H. , Heemels

A Gaussian process (GP)-based methodology is proposed to emulate complex dynamical computer models (or simulators). The method relies on emulating the numerical flow map of the system over an initial (short) time step, where the flow map is…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-26 Hossein Mohammadi , Peter Challenor , Marc Goodfellow

Functional data analysis, which models data as realizations of random functions over a continuum, has emerged as a useful tool for time series data. Often, the goal is to infer the dynamic connections (or time-varying conditional…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-10 Chunshan Liu , Daniel R. Kowal , James Doss-Gollin , Marina Vannucci

We study Spatial Logistic Gaussian Process (SLGP) models for non-parametric estimation of probability density fields using scattered samples of heterogeneous sizes. SLGPs are examined from the perspective of random measures and their…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-02-20 Athénaïs Gautier , David Ginsbourger

One of the primary objectives of satellite remote sensing is to capture the complex dynamics of the Earth environment, which encompasses tasks such as reconstructing continuous cloud-free image sequences, detecting land cover changes, and…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-03-09 Yuxiang Zhang , Shunlin Liang , Wenyuan Li , Han Ma , Jianglei Xu , Yichuan Ma , Jiangwei Xie , Wei Li , Mengmeng Zhang , Ran Tao , Xiang-Gen Xia

With advances in scientific computing and mathematical modeling, complex scientific phenomena such as galaxy formations and rocket propulsion can now be reliably simulated. Such simulations can however be very time-intensive, requiring…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-29 Yi Ji , Simon Mak , Derek Soeder , J-F Paquet , Steffen A. Bass

As the costs of sensors and associated IT infrastructure decreases - as exemplified by the Internet of Things - increasing volumes of observational data are becoming available for use by environmental scientists. However, as the number of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-01-26 Charlie Kirkwood , Theo Economou , Henry Odbert , Nicolas Pugeault

Sea surface temperature (SST) is uniquely important to the Earth's atmosphere since its dynamics are a major force in shaping local and global climate and profoundly affect our ecosystems. Accurate forecasting of SST brings significant…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-20 Xiaohan Li , Gaowei Zhang , Kai Huang , Zhaofeng He

With the advent of artificial intelligence and machine learning, various domains of science and engineering communities have leveraged data-driven surrogates to model complex systems through fusing numerous sources of information (data)…

Gaussian process (GP) regression is a powerful probabilistic modeling technique with built-in uncertainty quantification. When one has access to multiple correlated simulations (tasks), it is common to fit a multitask GP (MTGP) surrogate…

Computation · Statistics 2026-03-18 Aleksei G. Sorokin , Pieterjan Robbe , Fred J. Hickernell

Multifidelity models integrate data from multiple sources to produce a single approximator for the underlying process. Dense low-fidelity samples are used to reduce interpolation error, while sparse high-fidelity samples are used to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-02-27 Viv Bone , Chris van der Heide , Kieran Mackle , Ingo H. J. Jahn , Peter M. Dower , Chris Manzie

Robust semantic perception for autonomous vehicles relies on effectively combining multiple sensors with complementary strengths and weaknesses. State-of-the-art sensor fusion approaches to semantic perception often treat sensor data…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-01-27 Tim Broedermannn , Christos Sakaridis , Luigi Piccinelli , Wim Abbeloos , Luc Van Gool

We propose a deep learning algorithm for seismic interface and pocket detection with neural networks trained by synthetic high-frequency displacement data efficiently generated by the frozen Gaussian approximation (FGA). In seismic imaging…

Geophysics · Physics 2019-11-06 James C. Hateley , Jay Roberts , Kyle Mylonakis , Xu Yang

During the acquisition of satellite images, there is generally a trade-off between spatial resolution and temporal resolution (acquisition frequency) due to the onboard sensors of satellite imaging systems. High-resolution satellite images…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-11-20 Zhaoxu Luo , Bowen Song , Liyue Shen

We propose a dynamic factor model (DFM) where the latent factors are linked to observed variables with unknown and potentially nonlinear functions. The key novelty and source of flexibility of our approach is a nonparametric observation…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-09-08 Tony Chernis , Niko Hauzenberger , Haroon Mumtaz , Michael Pfarrhofer
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