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In this paper, we derive a general asymptotic implied volatility at the first-order for any stochastic volatility model using the heat kernel expansion on a Riemann manifold endowed with an Abelian connection. This formula is particularly…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2007-05-23 Pierre Henry-Labordere

The SABR model is a benchmark stochastic volatility model in interest rate markets, which has received much attention in the past decade. Its popularity arose from a tractable asymptotic expansion for implied volatility, derived by heat…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-07-27 Leif Doering , Blanka Horvath , Josef Teichmann

We compute a sharp small-time estimate for implied volatility under a general uncorrelated local-stochastic volatility model. For this we use the Bellaiche \cite{Bel81} heat kernel expansion combined with Laplace's method to integrate over…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2017-02-07 John Armstrong , Martin Forde , Matthew Lorig , Hongzhong Zhang

This paper introduces a unique and valuable research design aimed at analyzing Bitcoin price volatility. To achieve this, a range of models from the Markov Switching-GARCH and Stochastic Autoregressive Volatility (SARV) model classes are…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-01-12 Dennis Koch , Vahidin Jeleskovic , Zahid I. Younas

An innovative extension of Geometric Brownian Motion model is developed by incorporating a weighting factor and a stochastic function modelled as a mixture of power and trigonometric functions. Simulations based on this Modified Brownian…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2015-07-09 Gurjeet Dhesi , Muhammad Bilal Shakeel , Ling Xiao

Stochastic models with fractional Brownian motion as source of randomness have become popular since the early 2000s. Fractional Brownian motion (fBm) is a Gaussian process, whose covariance depends on the so-called Hurst parameter $H\in…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-22 Anna P. Kwossek , Andreas Neuenkirch , David J. Prömel

We study two complementary methodologies for calibrating implied volatility surfaces: analytical approximations and data-driven models based on rough path theory. On the analytical side, we revisit a second-order asymptotic expansion for…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-05-11 Elisa Alòs , Òscar Burés , Rafael de Santiago , Josep Vives

We study the numerical evaluation of several functions appearing in the small time expansion of the distribution of the time-integral of the geometric Brownian motion as well as its joint distribution with the terminal value of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-05-21 Peter Nandori , Dan Pirjol

Normalising flows are tractable probabilistic models that leverage the power of deep learning to describe a wide parametric family of distributions, all while remaining trainable using maximum likelihood. We discuss how these methods can be…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-14 Simon Alexanderson , Gustav Eje Henter

We introduce a new model of financial market with stochastic volatility driven by an arbitrary H\"older continuous Gaussian Volterra process. The distinguishing feature of the model is the form of the volatility equation which ensures the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-07-16 Giulia Di Nunno , Yuliya Mishura , Anton Yurchenko-Tytarenko

This paper explores stochastic modeling approaches to elucidate the intricate dynamics of stock prices and volatility in financial markets. Beginning with an overview of Brownian motion and its historical significance in finance, we delve…

History and Overview · Mathematics 2024-05-03 Aashrit Cunchala

In this paper we study the pricing of exchange options under a dynamic described by stochastic correlation with random jumps. In particular, we consider a Ornstein-Uhlenbeck covariance model with Levy Background Noise Process driven by…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-11-29 Olivares Pablo , Villamor Enrique

Many studies assume stock prices follow a random process known as geometric Brownian motion. Although approximately correct, this model fails to explain the frequent occurrence of extreme price movements, such as stock market crashes. Using…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-05-14 Miguel A. Fuentes , Austin Gerig , Javier Vicente

An efficient conditioning technique, the so-called Brownian Bridge simulation, has previously been applied to eliminate pricing bias that arises in applications of the standard discrete-time Monte Carlo method to evaluate options written on…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2009-04-08 P. V. Shevchenko

The aim of this paper is to present the new results concerning some functionals of Brownian motion with drift and present their applications in financial mathematics. We find a probabilistic representation of the Laplace transform of…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-02-02 Jacek Jakubowski , Maciej Wisniewolski

Heavy-tailed distributions are widely used in robust mixture modelling due to possessing thick tails. As a computationally tractable subclass of the stable distributions, sub-Gaussian $\alpha$-stable distribution received much interest in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-01-25 Mahdi Teimouri , Saeid Rezakhah , Adel Mohammdpour

We find the variance-optimal equivalent martingale measure when multivariate assets are modeled by a regime-switching geometric Brownian motion, and the regimes are represented by a homogeneous continuous time Markov chain. Under this new…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-09-14 Bruno Remillard , Sylvain Rubenthaler

This paper proposes to model asset price dynamics with a mixture of diffusion processes where the instantaneous volatility of the underlying diffusion process contains a random vector. The marginal probability distributions of the proposed…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-09-20 Xin Liu

In this article, we study the hyperbolic Anderson model in dimension 1, driven by a time-independent rough noise, i.e. the noise associated with the fractional Brownian motion of Hurst index $H \in (1/4,1/2)$. We prove that, with…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-05-10 Raluca M. Balan , Wangjun Yuan

Diffusion processes driven by Fractional Brownian motion (FBM) have often been considered in modeling stock price dynamics in order to capture the long range dependence of stock price observed in reality. Option prices for such models had…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-05-29 Ananya Lahiri , Rituparna Sen
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