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Related papers: T-statistic for Autoregressive process

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A functional method for calculating averages of the time-ordered exponential of a continuous isotropic random $N\times N$ matrix process is presented. The process is not assumed to be Gaussian. In particular, the Lyapunov exponents and…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2016-05-04 Anton S. Il'yn , Valeria A. Sirota , Kirill P. Zybin

In this article, we study the asymptotic behaviour of the residual autocorrelations for periodic vector autoregressive time series models (PVAR henceforth) with uncorrelated but dependent innovations (i.e., weak PVAR). We then deduce the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-10-01 Yacouba Boubacar Mainassara , Eugen Ursu

We provide a new non-asymptotic analysis of distributed TD(0) with linear function approximation. Our approach relies on "one-shot averaging," where $N$ agents run local copies of TD(0) and average the outcomes only once at the very end. We…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-31 Rui Liu , Alex Olshevsky

We discuss nonparametric estimation of the distribution function $G(x)$ of the autoregressive coefficient $a \in (-1,1)$ from a panel of $N$ random-coefficient AR(1) data, each of length $n$, by the empirical distribution function of lag 1…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-10-06 Remigijus Leipus , Anne Philippe , Vytautė Pilipauskaitė , Donatas Surgailis

In this article, we introduce and study a one sided tempered stable first order autoregressive model called TAR(1). Under the assumption of stationarity of the model, the marginal probability density function of the error term is found. It…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-07-30 Niharika Bhootna , Arun Kumar

Random variables in metric spaces indexed by time and observed at equally spaced time points are receiving increased attention due to their broad applicability. The absence of inherent structure in metric spaces has resulted in a literature…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-24 Matthieu Bulté , Helle Sørensen

Independent or i.i.d. innovations is an essential assumption in the literature for analyzing a vector time series. However, this assumption is either too restrictive for a real-life time series to satisfy or is hard to verify through a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-10-12 Yunyi Zhang

This paper studies some temporal dependence properties and addresses the issue of parametric estimation for a class of state-dependent autoregressive models for nonlinear time series in which we assume a stochastic autoregressive…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-02-11 Fabio Gobbi , Sabrina Mulinacci

We construct `self-stabilizing' processes {Z(t), t $\in [t_0,t_1)$}. These are random processes which when `localized', that is scaled around t to a fine limit, have the distribution of an $\alpha$(Z(t))-stable process, where $\alpha$ is…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-09-10 K. J. Falconer , J. Lévy Véhel

In this paper we introduce a modified version of a gaussian standard first-order autoregressive process where we allow for a dependence structure between the state variable $Y_{t-1}$ and the next innovation $\xi_t$. We call this model…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-04-12 Fabio Gobbi , Sabrina Mulinacci

We consider a time-varying first-order autoregressive model with irregular innovations, where we assume that the coefficient function is H\"{o}lder continuous. To estimate this function, we use a quasi-maximum likelihood based approach. A…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-02-28 Hanna Gruber , Moritz Jirak

Autoregressive models use chain rule to define a joint probability distribution as a product of conditionals. These conditionals need to be normalized, imposing constraints on the functional families that can be used. To increase…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-27 Chenlin Meng , Lantao Yu , Yang Song , Jiaming Song , Stefano Ermon

Appropriate models for spatially autocorrelated data account for the fact that observations are not independent. A popular model in this context is the simultaneous autoregressive (SAR) model that allows to model the spatial dependency…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-07-12 A. Kreuzer , T. Erhardt , T. Nagler , C. Czado

We propose a flexible Bayesian approach for sparse Gaussian graphical modeling of multivariate time series. We account for temporal correlation in the data by assuming that observations are characterized by an underlying and unobserved…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-21 Beniamino Hadj-Amar , Aaron M. Bornstein , Michele Guindani , Marina Vannucci

Data consisting of time-indexed distributions of cross-sectional or intraday returns have been extensively studied in finance, and provide one example in which the data atoms consist of serially dependent probability distributions.…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-24 Chao Zhang , Piotr Kokoszka , Alexander Petersen

In this paper we consider portmanteau tests for testing the adequacy of multiplicative seasonal autoregressive moving-average (SARMA) models under the assumption that the errors are uncorrelated but not necessarily independent.We relax the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-02-11 Yacouba Boubacar Maïnassara , Abdoulkarim Ilmi Amir

Consider a random sample $X_1 , X_2 , ..., X_n$ drawn independently and identically distributed from some known sampling distribution $P_X$. Let $X_{(1)} \le X_{(2)} \le ... \le X_{(n)}$ represent the order statistics of the sample. The…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2020-09-28 Alex Dytso , Martina Cardone , Cynthia Rush

For estimating the unknown parameters in an unstable autoregressive AR(p), the paper proposes sequential least squares estimates with a special stopping time defined by the trace of the observed Fisher information matrix. The limiting…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-10-07 Leonid Galtchouk , Victor Konev

We derive the distribution of the eigenvalues of a large sample covariance matrix when the data is dependent in time. More precisely, the dependence for each variable $i=1,...,p$ is modelled as a linear process…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-01-19 Oliver Pfaffel , Eckhard Schlemm

We consider the asymptotic behavior of posterior distributions and Bayes estimators based on observations which are required to be neither independent nor identically distributed. We give general results on the rate of convergence of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Subhashis Ghosal , Aad van der Vaart