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Accurate stochastic simulations of hourly precipitation are needed for impact studies at local spatial scales. Statistically, hourly precipitation data represent a difficult challenge. They are non-negative, skewed, heavy tailed, contain a…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-06-22 Erwan Koch , Philippe Naveau

High-resolution climate simulations are valuable for understanding climate change impacts. This has motivated use of regional convection-permitting climate models (CPMs), but these are very computationally expensive. We present a…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-02-05 Henry Addison , Elizabeth Kendon , Suman Ravuri , Laurence Aitchison , Peter AG Watson

Methods of dynamical system's theory are used for numerical study of transport and mixing of passive particles (water masses, temperature, salinity, pollutants, etc.) in simple kinematic ocean models composed with the main Eulerian coherent…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2015-06-26 M. V. Budyansky , M. Yu. Uleysky , S. V. Prants

Tracking multiple particles in noisy and cluttered scenes remains challenging due to a combinatorial explosion of trajectory hypotheses, which scales super-exponentially with the number of particles and frames. The transformer architecture…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-12 Piyush Mishra , Philippe Roudot

Obtaining reliable precipitation estimation with high resolutions in time and space is of great importance to hydrological studies. However, accurately estimating precipitation is a challenging task over high mountainous complex terrain.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-23 Yihan Wang , Lujun Zhang

Convective available potential energy (CAPE) is an important variable for forecasting severe weather and understanding deep convection and precipitation. The latest versions of the Global Forecast System (GFS) and related Global Ensemble…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-05-26 Zachary James , Joseph Guinness , Arthur DeGaetano

The current work combines the Cluster Dynamics (CD) technique and CALPHAD-based precipitation modeling to address the second phase precipitation in cold-worked (CW) 316 stainless steels (SS) under irradiation at 300-400 C. CD provides the…

Materials Science · Physics 2017-05-31 Mahmood Mamivand , Ying Yang , Jeremy Busby , Dane Morgan

Modeling rainfall intensity distributions across aggregation scales (from sub-hourly to weekly) is essential for hydrological risk analysis and IDF curves. Aggregation naturally imposes mathematical constraints: return levels must be…

Applications · Statistics 2026-01-14 Pierre Ailliot , Carlo Gaetan , Philippe Naveau

Rainfall in coastal areas of the tropics is often shaped by the presence of circulations directly associated with the topography, such as land-sea and/or mountain-valley breezes. In many regions the coastally-affected rainfall consitutes…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2016-05-09 Martin Bergemann , Christian Jakob , Todd P. Lane

Extreme weather is one of the main mechanisms through which climate change will directly impact human society. Coping with such change as a global community requires markedly improved understanding of how global warming drives extreme…

Computational Physics · Physics 2019-09-18 Adam Rupe , Karthik Kashinath , Nalini Kumar , Victor Lee , Prabhat , James P. Crutchfield

An unresolved problem of present generation coupled climate models is the realistic distribution of rainfall over Indian monsoon region, which is also related to the persistent dry bias over Indian land mass. Therefore, quantitative…

Energetic electrons accelerated at coronal reconnection sites during solar flares precipitate into the lower solar atmosphere, generating nonthermal emissions and regulating energy deposition. However, how their transport and precipitation…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2026-05-07 Feiyu Yu , Xiangliang Kong , Ze Zhong , Zhentong Li , Zelong Jiang , Yingli Cui , Zhao Wu , Yao Chen , Gang Li

Plumes in a convective flow are considered to be relevant to the turbulent transport in convection. The effective mass, momentum, and heat transports in the convective turbulence are investigated in the framework of time--space double…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2022-09-21 Nobumitsu Yokoi , Youhei Masada , Tomoya Takiwaki

The heavy-tailed nature of precipitation intensity impedes precise precipitation nowcasting. Standard models that optimize pixel-wise losses are prone to regression-to-the-mean bias, which blurs extreme values. Existing Fourier-based…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-02-03 Baitian Liu , Haiping Zhang , Huiling Yuan , Dongjing Wang , Ying Li , Feng Chen , Hao Wu

We study prediction-assimilation systems, which have become routine in meteorology and oceanography and are rapidly spreading to other areas of the geosciences and of continuum physics. The long-term, nonlinear stability of such a system…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2009-11-13 Alberto Carrassi , Michael Ghil , Anna Trevisan , Francesco Uboldi

To study trends in extreme precipitation across US over the years 1951-2017, we consider 10 climate indexes that represent extreme precipitation, such as annual maximum of daily precipitation, annual maximum of consecutive 5-day average…

Applications · Statistics 2019-01-01 Arnab Hazra , Brian J. Reich , Ana-Maria Staicu

Earth system models (ESMs) are the principal tools used in climate science to generate future climate projections under various atmospheric emissions scenarios on a global or regional scale. Generative deep learning approaches are suitable…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-04-16 Katie Christensen , Lyric Otto , Seth Bassetti , Claudia Tebaldi , Brian Hutchinson

Two extreme flood-inducing precipitation events in two cities in Mali, on 08 August 2012 in San (127 mm) and on 25 August 2019 in Kenieba (126 mm), are investigated with respect to rainfall structures, dynamical forcings, and the ability of…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-10-28 Souleymane Sanogo , Marlon Maranan , Andreas H. Fink , Beth J. Woodhams , Peter Knippertz

We consider the dynamic wetting and dewetting processes of films and droplets of complex liquids on planar surfaces, focusing on the case of colloidal suspensions, where the particle interactions can be sufficiently attractive to cause…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2024-11-20 J. Zhang , D. N. Sibley , D. Tseluiko , A. J. Archer

In 2021 300 mm of rain, nearly half the average annual rainfall, fell near Catania (Sicily island, Italy). Such events took place in just a few hours, with dramatic consequences on the environmental, social, economic, and health systems of…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-12-19 Eleonora Vitanza , Giovanna Maria Dimitri , Chiara Mocenni