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Modeling precipitation and its accumulation over time and space is essential for flood risk assessment. In this paper, we analyze rainfall data collected over several years through a micro-scale precipitation sensor network in Montpellier,…

Applications · Statistics 2026-04-23 Chloé Serre-Combe , Nicolas Meyer , Thomas Opitz , Gwladys Toulemonde

In order to explore the effects of climate change on atmospheric convection and the water cycle, we develop and analyse an extension of the Rainy-B\'enard model, which is itself a moist version of the Rayleigh-B\'enard model of dry…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2025-04-09 Gregory N. Dritschel , Steven M. Tobias , Douglas J. Parker , Lorenzo Tomassini

Climate models robustly imply that some significant change in precipitation patterns will occur. Models consistently project that the intensity of individual precipitation events increases by approximately 6-7%/K, following the increase in…

Applications · Statistics 2016-12-21 Won Chang , Michael L. Stein , Jiali Wang , V. Rao Kotamarthi , Elisabeth J. Moyer

Short-term (0-24 hours) precipitation forecasting is highly valuable to socioeconomic activities and public safety. However, the highly complex evolution patterns of precipitation events, the extreme imbalance between precipitation and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-30 Shuangliang Li , Siwei Li , Li Li , Weijie Zou , Jie Yang , Maolin Zhang

Clouds play a central role in climate physics by interacting with precipitation, radiation, and circulation. Despite being a fundamental issue in convective organization, the self-aggregation of clouds lacks a theoretical explanation due to…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-05-19 Tomoro Yanase , Shin-ichiro Shima , Seiya Nishizawa , Hirofumi Tomita

Precipitation remains one of the most challenging climate variables to observe and predict accurately. Existing datasets face intricate trade-offs: gauge observations are relatively trustworthy but sparse, satellites provide global coverage…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-06-24 Sencan Sun , Congyi Nai , Baoxiang Pan , Wentao Li , Lu Li , Xin Li , Efi Foufoula-Georgiou , Yanluan Lin

In the present tropical atmosphere, precipitation typically exhibits noisy, small-amplitude fluctuations about an average. However, recent cloud-resolving simulations show that in a hothouse climate, precipitation can shift to a regime…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-08-22 Da Yang , Dorian S. Abbot , Seth Seidel

This work develops a theoretical model for steady thermodynamic and kinematic profiles for severe convective storm environments, building off of the two-layer static energy framework developed in Agard and Emanuel (2017). The model is…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2021-02-24 Daniel R Chavas , Daniel T Dawson

Cloud observables such as precipitation efficiency and cloud lifetime are key quantities in weather and climate, but understanding their quantitative connection to initial conditions such as initial cloud water mass or droplet size remains…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-09-10 Shai Kapon , Nadir Jeevanjee , Anna Frishman

Climate models struggle to accurately simulate precipitation, particularly extremes and the diurnal cycle. Here, we present a hybrid model that is trained directly on satellite-based precipitation observations. Our model runs at 2.8$^\circ$…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-12-17 Janni Yuval , Ian Langmore , Dmitrii Kochkov , Stephan Hoyer

Global warming is projected to intensify the hydrological cycle, amplifying risks to ecosystems and society. While extreme rainfall appears to exhibit stronger sensitivity to global warming compared to mean rainfall rates, a unifying…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-01-13 Jun Yin , Bei Gao , Amilcare Porporato

Data-driven convective parameterization aims to accurately represent convective adjustments to large-scale forcings in a computationally economic manner. While previous studies have demonstrated success using various model architectures,…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-06-02 Qiyu Song , Zhiming Kuang

Tropical regions may experience periodic extreme precipitation and suffer from associated periodic deluges in a warmer climate. Recent studies conducted small-domain (around 100 km x 100 km) atmospheric model simulations and found that…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-11-26 Heng Quan , Yi Zhang , Guy Dagan , Stephan Fueglistaler

In regenerative medicine research, we experimentally design the composition of chemical medium. We add different components to 384-well plates and culture the biological cells. We monitor the condition of the cells and take time-lapse…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-10-14 Takato Yasuno

The emergence of organized multiscale patterns resulting from convection is ubiquitous, observed throughout different cloud types. The reproduction of such patterns by general circulation models remains a challenge due to the complex nature…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-05-09 Mickael D. Chekroun , Tom Dror , Orit Altaratz , Ilan Koren

Deep convection is one of the most important atmospheric transport mechanisms and associated with various severe weather phenomena. Manifestations of deep convection in the atmosphere are composed of a recurring fundamental building block,…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-10-29 Tobias Bölle , Christoph Metzl , Kianusch Vahid Yousefnia

The gridding of daily accumulated precipitation -- especially extremes -- from ground-based station observations is problematic due to the fractal nature of precipitation, and therefore estimates of long period return values and their…

Improving the representation of precipitation in Earth system models (ESMs) is critical for assessing the impacts of climate change and especially of extreme events like floods and droughts. In existing ESMs, precipitation is not resolved…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-27 Michael Aich , Sebastian Bathiany , Philipp Hess , Yu Huang , Niklas Boers

Precipitation is one of the most important meteorological variables for defining the climate dynamics, but the spatial patterns of precipitation have not been fully investigated yet. The complex network theory, which provides a robust tool…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2013-08-22 Stefania Scarsoglio , Francesco Laio , Luca Ridolfi

Atmospheric flows exhibit long-range spatiotemporal correlations manifested as the fractal geometry to the global cloud cover pattern concomitant with inverse power-law form for power spectra of temporal fluctuations of all scales ranging…

General Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 A. M. Selvam , S. Fadnavis