Related papers: Path prediction of aggregated $\alpha$-stable movi…
Multimodal traffic flow can reflect the health of the transportation system, and its prediction is crucial to urban traffic management. Recent works overemphasize spatio-temporal correlations of traffic flow, ignoring the physical concepts…
We consider the problem of estimating the mean of a random vector based on $N$ independent, identically distributed observations. We prove the existence of an estimator that has a near-optimal error in all directions in which the variance…
Models for extreme values accommodating non-stationarity have been amply studied and evaluated from a parametric perspective. Whilst these models are flexible, in the sense that many parametrizations can be explored, they assume an…
Risk assessment for rare events is essential for understanding systemic stability in complex systems. As rare events are typically highly correlated, it is important to study heavy-tailed multivariate distributions of the relevant…
Stochastic systems often exhibit multiple viable metastable states that are long-lived. Over very long timescales, fluctuations may push the system to transition between them, drastically changing its macroscopic configuration. In realistic…
Typical causal effects are defined based on the marginal distribution of potential outcomes. However, many real-world applications require causal estimands involving the joint distribution of potential outcomes to enable more nuanced…
Motivated by a need to characterize transient behaviors in large network systems in terms of relevant signal norms and worst-case input scenarios, we propose a novel approach based on existing theory for matrix pseudospectra. We extend…
We consider again the fast-slow motions setups in the continuous time $\frac {dX_N(t)}{dt}=N^{1/2} \sig(X_N(t))(\xi(tN))+b(X_N(t)),\, t\in [0,T]$ and the discrete time $X_N((n+1)/N)=X_N(n/N)+N^{-1/2}\sig(X_N(n/N))\xi(n)+N^{-1}b(X_N(n/N)),\,…
As a motivating problem, we aim to study some special aspects of the marginal distributions of the order statistics for exchangeable and (more generally) for minimally stable non-negative random variables $T_{1},...,T_{r}$. In any case, we…
Self-similar stable mixed moving average processes can be related to nonsingular flows through their minimal representations. Self-similar stable mixed moving averages related to dissipative flows have been studied, as well as processes…
We investigate some statistical and transport properties of the relativistic standard map. Through the Hamiltonian of a wave packet under an electric potential, we are able to obtain a relativistic version of the standard map, where there…
The extremal index $\theta$, a measure of the degree of local dependence in the extremes of a stationary process, plays an important role in extreme value analyses. We estimate $\theta$ semiparametrically, using the relationship between the…
Accurately predicting the future motion of surrounding vehicles requires reasoning about the inherent uncertainty in driving behavior. This uncertainty can be loosely decoupled into lateral (e.g., keeping lane, turning) and longitudinal…
A multivariate fractional Poisson process was recently defined in Beghin and Macci (2016) by considering a common independent random time change for a finite dimensional vector of independent (non-fractional) Poisson processes; moreover it…
In this note, we derive upper-bounds on the statistical estimation rates of unbalanced optimal transport (UOT) maps for the quadratic cost. Our work relies on the stability of the semi-dual formulation of optimal transport (OT) extended to…
Diffusion processes are widely used for modelling real-world phenomena. Except for select cases however, analytical expressions do not exist for a diffusion process' transitional probabilities. It is proposed that the cumulant truncation…
We show that the quasifission paths predicted by the one-body dissipation dynamics, in the slowest phase of a binary reaction, follow a quasistatic path, which represents a sequence of states of thermal equilibrium at a fixed value of the…
We have observed a bimodal behaviour of the distribution of the asymmetry between the charges of the two heaviest products resulting from the decay of the quasi-projectile released in binary Xe+Sn and Au+Au collisions from 60 to 100 MeV/u.…
Let $(X_1,\dots,X_m)$ be self-adjoint non-commutative random variables distributed according to the free Gibbs law given by a sufficiently regular convex and semi-concave potential $V$, and let $(S_1,\dots,S_m)$ be a free semicircular…
We consider transport properties for a non-homogeneous persistent random walk, that may be viewed as a mean-field version of the L\'evy-Lorentz gas, namely a 1-d model characterized by a fat polynomial tail of the distribution of…