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Gaussian Process Regression (GPR) is a popular regression method, which unlike most Machine Learning techniques, provides estimates of uncertainty for its predictions. These uncertainty estimates however, are based on the assumption that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-29 Harris Papadopoulos

Probabilistic machine learning models are distinguished by their ability to integrate prior knowledge of noise statistics, smoothness parameters, and training data uncertainty. A common approach involves modeling data with Gaussian…

Computation · Statistics 2025-07-31 Cristian A. Galvis-Florez , Ahmad Farooq , Simo Särkkä

Recently, a novel linear model predictive control algorithm based on a physics-informed Gaussian Process has been introduced, whose realizations strictly follow a system of underlying linear ordinary differential equations with constant…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-05-01 Adrian Lepp , Jörn Tebbe , Andreas Besginow

Differential equations are important mechanistic models that are integral to many scientific and engineering applications. With the abundance of available data there has been a growing interest in data-driven physics-informed models.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-04 Oliver Hamelijnck , Arno Solin , Theodoros Damoulas

Gaussian processes (GPs) have gained popularity as flexible machine learning models for regression and function approximation with an in-built method for uncertainty quantification. However, GPs suffer when the amount of training data is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-11-26 Jonas Latz , Aretha L. Teckentrup , Simon Urbainczyk

This paper is motivated by a computer experiment conducted for optimizing residual stresses in the machining of metals. Although kriging is widely used in the analysis of computer experiments, it cannot be easily applied to model the…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-11-08 Ying Hung , V. Roshan Joseph , Shreyes N. Melkote

Pareto Front (PF) modeling is essential in decision making problems across all domains such as economics, medicine or engineering. In Operation Research literature, this task has been addressed based on multi-objective optimization…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-01-22 Zhengqi Gao , Jun Tao , Yangfeng Su , Dian Zhou , Xuan Zeng

This paper proposes a physically consistent Gaussian Process (GP) enabling the identification of uncertain Lagrangian systems. The function space is tailored according to the energy components of the Lagrangian and the differential equation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-06 Giulio Evangelisti , Sandra Hirche

Interference prediction and resource allocation are critical challenges in mission-critical applications where stringent latency and reliability constraints must be met. This paper proposes a novel Gaussian process regression (GPR)-based…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-10-31 Syed Luqman Shah , Nurul Huda Mahmood , Matti Latva-aho

This work addresses the interpolation of probability measures within a spatial statistics framework. We develop a Kriging approach in the Wasserstein space, leveraging the quantile function representation of the one-dimensional Wasserstein…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-10-27 Florian Gossard , François Bachoc , Jean Baccou , Thibaut Le Gouic , Jacques Liandrat , Tony Glantz

Kriging is an established methodology for predicting spatial data in geostatistics. Current kriging techniques can handle linear dependencies on spatially referenced covariates. Although splines have shown promise in capturing nonlinear…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-16 Bryan Sumalinab , Oswaldo Gressani , Niel Hens , Christel Faes

We propose a method with better predictions at extreme values than the standard method of Kriging. We construct our predictor in two ways: by penalizing the mean squared error through conditional bias and by penalizing the conditional…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-08-28 Minyong R. Lee , Art B. Owen

Operating large-scale scientific facilities often requires fast tuning and robust control in a high dimensional space. In this paper we introduce a new physics-informed optimization algorithm based on Gaussian process regression. Our method…

Accelerator Physics · Physics 2020-09-09 A. Hanuka , J. Duris , J. Shtalenkova , D. Kennedy , A. Edelen , D. Ratner , X. Huang

Gaussian Process Regression (GPR) is a Bayesian method for inferring profiles based on input data. The technique is increasing in popularity in the fusion community due to its many advantages over traditional fitting techniques including…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-07 Jarrod Leddy , Sandeep Madireddy , Eric Howell , Scott Kruger

In spatial statistics, a common method for prediction over a Gaussian random field (GRF) is maximum likelihood estimation combined with kriging. For massive data sets, kriging is computationally intensive, both in terms of CPU time and…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-09-28 Karl T. Pazdernik , Ranjan Maitra , Douglas Nychka , Stephen Sain

Gaussian process fitting, or kriging, is often used to create a model from a set of data. Many available software packages do this, but we show that very different results can be obtained from different packages even when using the same…

Computation · Statistics 2017-10-10 Collin B. Erickson , Bruce E. Ankenman , Susan M. Sanchez

Robotic Information Gathering (RIG) is a foundational research topic that answers how a robot (team) collects informative data to efficiently build an accurate model of an unknown target function under robot embodiment constraints. RIG has…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-04-16 Weizhe Chen , Roni Khardon , Lantao Liu

We consider performing simulation experiments in the presence of covariates. Here, covariates refer to some input information other than system designs to the simulation model that can also affect the system performance. To make decisions,…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-28 Cheng Li , Siyang Gao , Jianzhong Du

Data-driven constitutive modeling is an emerging field in computational solid mechanics with the prospect of significantly relieving the computational costs of hierarchical computational methods. Traditionally, these surrogates have been…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2022-04-20 Jan Niklas Fuhg , Nikolaos Bouklas

A method to reconstruct fields, source strengths and physical parameters based on Gaussian process regression is presented for the case where data are known to fulfill a given linear differential equation with localized sources. The…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2019-09-10 Christopher G. Albert