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Related papers: Finetuned Cancellations and Improbable Theories

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In the second paper of this series we extend our Bayesian reanalysis of the evidence for a cosmic variation of the fine structure constant to the semi-parametric modelling regime. By adopting a mixture of Dirichlet processes prior for the…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2013-09-12 Ewan Cameron , Tony Pettitt

Theory testing in the physical sciences has been revolutionized in recent decades by Bayesian approaches to probability theory. Here, I will consider Bayesian approaches to theory extensions, that is, theories like inflation which aim to…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2017-04-07 Luke A. Barnes

We introduce a mathematical framework for quantifying fine-tuning in general physical settings. In particular, we identify two distinct perspectives on fine-tuning, namely, a local and a global perspective --- and develop corresponding…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2018-11-28 Feraz Azhar , Abraham Loeb

We introduce the notion of a random relaxed asymptotic contraction in the setting of random normed modules. The contraction condition employs two quasi-metrics that are built directly from the random operator: a lower quasi-metric which…

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2026-05-07 Jie Shi

Conditional probabilities are a core concept in machine learning. For example, optimal prediction of a label $Y$ given an input $X$ corresponds to maximizing the conditional probability of $Y$ given $X$. A common approach to inference tasks…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-08-09 Yoav Wald , Amir Globerson

We introduce a new approach to modeling uncertainty based on plausibility measures. This approach is easily seen to generalize other approaches to modeling uncertainty, such as probability measures, belief functions, and possibility…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2016-08-31 Nir Friedman , Joseph Y. Halpern

The structure of a local hidden variable model for experiments involving sequences of measurements rigorously is analyzed. Constraints imposed by local realism on the conditional probabilities of the outcomes of such measurement schemes are…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2009-10-30 Marek Zukowski , Ryszard Horodecki , Michal Horodecki , Pawel Horodecki

This PHD thesis is concerned with uncertainty relations in quantum probability theory, state estimation in quantum stochastics, and natural bundles in differential geometry. After some comments on the nature and necessity of decoherence in…

Differential Geometry · Mathematics 2010-11-15 Bas Janssens

We generalize classical statistical mechanics to describe the kinematics and the dynamics of systems whose variables are constrained by a single quantum postulate (discreteness of the spectrum of values of at least one variable of the…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2009-10-31 Marcello Cini

Fine-tuning criteria are frequently used to place upper limits on the masses of superpartners in supersymmetric extensions of the standard model. However, commonly used prescriptions for quantifying naturalness have some important…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2009-09-25 Greg Anderson , Diego Castano

The anomaly cancellation condition of the Standard Model may be unnatural in theories with extra dimensions as an anomaly of a low-energy 4-dimensional theory can be canceled by an inflow from a bulk. This inflow may give rise to an…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2009-11-11 Alexey Boyarsky , Oleg Ruchayskiy , Mikhail Shaposhnikov

I argue that the limits on this quantity obtained using model-independent parameterizations contain an tacit assumption that could be invalidated under a variety of situations. As a specific example, existing limits on $\Lambda $ would be…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2007-05-23 Jose Wudka

Supersymmetric models in singular extra dimensional spaces feature prominently in many interesting phenomenological models, including those derived from string theory. In this paper we explicitly derive the low energy theory of…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2025-11-27 Michael Nee , Lisa Randall

The absence of supersymmetry or other new physics at the Large Hadron Collider (LHC) has lead many to question naturalness arguments. With Bayesian statistics, we argue that natural models are most probable and that naturalness is not…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2014-10-02 Andrew Fowlie

Probabilistic error cancellation is an attempt to reverse the effect of dissipative noise channels on quantum computers by applying unphysical channels after the execution of a quantum algorithm on noisy hardware. We investigate on general…

Chance-constrained programs (CCP) represent a trade-off between conservatism and robustness in optimization. In many CCPs, one optimizes an objective under a probabilistic constraint continuously parameterized by a random vector $\xi$. In…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-04-09 Guillaume Van Dessel , François Glineur

A vast array of (metastable) vacuum solutions arise from string compactifications, each leading to different 4-d laws of physics. The space of these solutions, known as the string landscape, allows for an environmental solution to the…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2022-09-28 Howard Baer , Vernon Barger , Dakotah Martinez , Shadman Salam

Prompted by misconceptions in the recent literature, we review the justifications for naturalness arguments and Occam's razor found in Bayesian statistics. We discuss the automatic Occam's razor that emerges in Bayesian formalism, bringing…

History and Philosophy of Physics · Physics 2026-04-22 Andrew Fowlie

In a recent paper, Buniy et al. have argued that a possible discretization of spacetime leads to an unavoidable discretization of the state space of quantum mechanics. In this paper, we show that this conclusion is not limited to quantum…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2009-03-17 Markus Mueller

Maximum likelihood iteration is one of the most commonly used reconstruction algorithms in quantum tomography. The main appeal of the method is that it is easy to implement and that it converges reliably to a physically meaningful density…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2025-08-21 Florian Oberender