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We propose the Gaussian-Linear Hidden Markov model (GLHMM), a generalisation of different types of HMMs commonly used in neuroscience. In short, the GLHMM is a general framework where linear regression is used to flexibly parameterise the…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2024-10-02 Diego Vidaurre , Laura Masaracchia , Nick Y. Larsen , Lenno R. P. T Ruijters , Sonsoles Alonso , Christine Ahrends , Mark W. Woolrich

Understanding the interaction between multiple agents is crucial for realistic vehicle trajectory prediction. Existing methods have attempted to infer the interaction from the observed past trajectories of agents using pooling, attention,…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-05-25 Daehee Park , Hobin Ryu , Yunseo Yang , Jegyeong Cho , Jiwon Kim , Kuk-Jin Yoon

Predicting the plausible future trajectories of nearby agents is a core challenge for the safety of Autonomous Vehicles and it mainly depends on two external cues: the dynamic neighbor agents and static scene context. Recent approaches have…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-29 Jie Wang , Caili Guo , Minan Guo , Jiujiu Chen

Deep learning (DL) methods have outperformed parametric models such as historical average, ARIMA and variants in predicting traffic variables into short and near-short future, that are critical for traffic management. Specifically,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-18 Agnimitra Sengupta , Adway Das , S. Ilgin Guler

There is an increase in interest to model driving maneuver patterns via the automatic unsupervised clustering of naturalistic sequential kinematic driving data. The patterns learned are often used in transportation research areas such as…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-11-14 Matthew Aguirre , Wenbo Sun , Jionghua , Jin , Yang Chen

The authors present a cyber-physical systems study on the estimation of driver behavior in autonomous vehicles and vehicle safety systems. Extending upon previous work, the approach described is suitable for the long term estimation and…

Robotics · Computer Science 2017-01-25 Vijay Gadepally , Ashok Krishnamurthy

Planning for autonomous driving in complex, urban scenarios requires accurate prediction of the trajectories of surrounding traffic participants. Their future behavior depends on their route intentions, the road-geometry, traffic rules and…

Robotics · Computer Science 2018-08-29 Jens Schulz , Constantin Hubmann , Julian Löchner , Darius Burschka

Real-time traffic prediction from high-fidelity spatiotemporal traffic sensor datasets is an important problem for intelligent transportation systems and sustainability. However, it is challenging due to the complex topological dependencies…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2016-07-22 Dingxiong Deng , Cyrus Shahabi , Ugur Demiryurek , Linhong Zhu , Rose Yu , Yan Liu

To accurately predict trajectories in multi-agent settings, e.g. team games, it is important to effectively model the interactions among agents. Whereas a number of methods have been developed for this purpose, existing methods implicitly…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-10-25 Zikai Wei , Xinge Zhu , Bo Dai , Dahua Lin

Autonomous vehicles hold great promise in improving the future of transportation. The driving models used in these vehicles are based on neural networks, which can be difficult to validate. However, ensuring the safety of these models is…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-09-14 Maximilian Zipfl , Sven Spickermann , J. Marius Zöllner

Simulation has the potential to massively scale evaluation of self-driving systems enabling rapid development as well as safe deployment. To close the gap between simulation and the real world, we need to simulate realistic multi-agent…

Robotics · Computer Science 2021-01-19 Simon Suo , Sebastian Regalado , Sergio Casas , Raquel Urtasun

This paper addresses the problem of traffic prediction and control of autonomous vehicles on highways. A modified Interacting Multiple Model Kalman filter algorithm is applied to predict the motion behavior of the traffic participants by…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-10-12 Xiaorong Zhang , Sahar Zeinali , Georg Schildbach

Safe and reliable autonomy solutions are a critical component of next-generation intelligent transportation systems. Autonomous vehicles in such systems must reason about complex and dynamic driving scenes in real time and anticipate the…

Robotics · Computer Science 2022-07-13 Liam A. Kruse , Esen Yel , Ransalu Senanayake , Mykel J. Kochenderfer

Accurate motion prediction of surrounding traffic participants is crucial for the safe and efficient operation of automated vehicles in dynamic environments. Marginal prediction models commonly forecast each agent's future trajectories…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-07-08 Fabian Konstantinidis , Ariel Dallari Guerreiro , Raphael Trumpp , Moritz Sackmann , Ulrich Hofmann , Marco Caccamo , Christoph Stiller

Predicting the future motion of road agents is a critical task in an autonomous driving pipeline. In this work, we address the problem of generating a set of scene-level, or joint, future trajectory predictions in multi-agent driving…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-04-06 Luke Rowe , Martin Ethier , Eli-Henry Dykhne , Krzysztof Czarnecki

Predicting the future motion of road participants is a critical task in autonomous driving. In this work, we address the challenge of low-quality generation of low-probability modes in multi-agent joint prediction. To tackle this issue, we…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-07-24 Fangze Lin , Ying He , Fei Yu , Hong Zhang

Probabilistic graphical models (PGMs) are widely used to discover latent structure in data, but their success hinges on selecting an appropriate model design. In practice, model specification is difficult and often requires iterative…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-08 Kevin Zhang , Yixin Wang

Predicting future motions of road participants is an important task for driving autonomously in urban scenes. Existing models excel at predicting marginal trajectories for single agents, yet it remains an open question to jointly predict…

Robotics · Computer Science 2022-03-29 Qiao Sun , Xin Huang , Junru Gu , Brian C. Williams , Hang Zhao

This paper presents a novel approach to modeling human driving behavior, designed for use in evaluating autonomous vehicle control systems in a simulation environments. Our methodology leverages a hierarchical forward-looking, risk-aware…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-08-20 Nathan Ludlow , Yiwei Lyu , John Dolan

The quality of generalized linear models (GLMs), frequently used by insurance companies, depends on the choice of interacting variables. The search for interactions is time-consuming, especially for data sets with a large number of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-05-21 Yevhen Havrylenko , Julia Heger