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The aftermath of the Covid-19 pandemic saw more severe outcomes for racial minority groups and economically-deprived communities. Such disparities can be explained by several factors, including unequal access to healthcare, as well as the…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2024-03-12 Nicola Neophytou , Afaf Taïk , Golnoosh Farnadi

We consider a SIR model with temporary immunity and time dependent transmission rate. We assume time dependent vaccination which confers the same immunity as natural infection. We study two types of vaccination strategies: i) optimal…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2016-04-06 Paulo Doutor , Paula Rodrigues , Maria do Céu Soares , Fabio A. C. C. Chalub

We investigate the time-optimal control problem in SIR (Susceptible-Infected-Recovered) epidemic models, focusing on different control policies: vaccination, isolation, culling, and reduction of transmission. Applying the Pontryagin's…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-06-15 Luca Bolzoni , Elena Bonacini , Cinzia Soresina , Maria Groppi

In this paper we consider SIR epidemics on random graphs with clustering. To incorporate group structure of the underlying social network, we use a generalized version of the configuration model in which each node is a member of a specified…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-02-15 Carolina Fransson , Pieter Trapman

In this paper, we propose a two-group SIR epidemic model to simulate the outcome of stay-at-home policy and wearing face masks during the first COVID-19 epidemic wave in the United States. Based on our proposed model, we further use the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-01-11 Jun Liu , Xiang-Sheng Wang

We consider the problem of the optimal allocation of vaccination and protection measures for the Susceptible-Infected-Recovered-Infected (SIRI) epidemiological model, which generalizes the classical Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-05-09 Urmee Maitra , Ashish R. Hota , Rohit Gupta , Alfred O. Hero

To mitigate the pandemic stemming from COVID-19, numerous nations have initiated extensive vaccination campaigns for their citizens since late 2020. While affluent countries have predominantly received vaccine allocations, fewer doses have…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-04-01 Hsin-Ju Chou , Jing-Yuan Ko , Sung-Po Chao

Motivated by the issue of COVID-19 mitigation, in this work we tackle the general problem of optimally controlling an epidemic outbreak of a communicable disease structured by time since exposure, by the aid of two types of control…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-05-13 Alberto d'Onofrio , Mimmo Iannelli , Piero Manfredi , Gabriela Marinoschi

Vaccination has been proven to be the most effective method to prevent infectious diseases. However, in many low and middle-income countries with geographically dispersed and nomadic populations, last-mile vaccine delivery can be extremely…

Applications · Statistics 2021-04-30 Yuwen Yang , Jayant Rajgopal

We consider a susceptible, infected, and recovered infectious disease model which incorporates a vaccination rate. In particular, we study the problem of choosing the vaccination rate in order to reduce the number of infected individuals to…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2021-08-30 Ryan Hynd , Dennis Ikpe , Terrance Pendleton

Understanding the dynamics of an epidemic spread is crucial for effective control measures. During the COVID-19 pandemic, quarantines were implemented to minimize infections while mitigating social and economic impacts, raising the question…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-11-19 Eyal Atias , Michael Assaf

We consider the interplay of vaccination and migration rates on disease persistence in epidemiological systems. We show that short-term and long-term migration can inhibit disease persistence. As a result, we show how migration changes how…

Biological Physics · Physics 2012-05-22 Jackson Burton , Lora Billings , Derek A. T. Cummings , Ira B. Schwartz

We formalize and study the problem of optimal allocation strategies for a (perfect) vaccine in the infinite-dimensional SIS model. The question may be viewed as a bi-objective minimization problem, where one tries to minimize simultaneously…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-08-27 Jean-François Delmas , Dylan Dronnier , Pierre-André Zitt

In this paper, we study the problem of minimizing the spread of a viral epidemic when immunization takes a non-negligible amount of time to take into effect. Specifically, our problem is to determine which set of nodes to be vaccinated when…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2023-07-14 Shiju Li , Xin Huang , Chul-Ho Lee , Do Young Eun

How to strategically allocate the available vaccines is a crucial issue for pandemic control. In this work, we propose a mathematical framework for optimal stabilizing vaccine allocation, where our goal is to send the infections to zero as…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-09-13 Qianqian Ma , Yang-Yu Liu , Alex Olshevsky

The SEIRS model, an extension of the SEIR model for analyzing and predicting the spread of virus infection, was further extended to consider the movement of people across regions. In contrast to previous models that con-sider the risk of…

Medical Physics · Physics 2021-07-01 Yukio Ohsawa , Teruaki Hayashi , Sae Kondo

We propose a versatile model with a flexible choice of control for an early-pandemic outbreak prevention when vaccine/drug is not yet available. At that stage, control is often limited to non-medical interventions like social distancing and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-06-14 Alexandra Smirnova , Xiaojing Ye

Covid-19 has caused hundred of thousands of deaths and an economic damage amounting to trillions of dollars, creating a desire for the rapid development of vaccine. Once available, vaccine is gradually produced, evoking the question on how…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-06-30 Jens Grauer , Hartmut Löwen , Benno Liebchen

The paper uses machine learning and mathematical modeling to predict future vaccine distribution and solve the problem of allocating vaccines to different types of hospitals. They collected data and analyzed it, finding factors such as…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2023-06-13 Baiqiao Yin , Jiaqing Yuan , Weichen Lv , Jiehui Huang , Guian Fang

We consider a behavioral-feedback SIR epidemic model, in which the infection rate depends in feedback on the fractions of susceptible and infected agents, respectively. The considered model allows one to account for endogenous adaptation…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-02-11 Martina Alutto , Leonardo Cianfanelli , Giacomo Como , Fabio Fagnani , Francesca Parise