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We establish self-norming central limit theorems for non-stationary time series arising as observations on sequential maps possessing an indifferent fixed point. These transformations are obtained by perturbing the slope in the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2016-09-28 Matthew Nicol , Andrew Török , Sandro Vaienti

The present paper investigates non-asymptotic properties of two popular procedures of context tree (or Variable Length Markov Chains) estimation: Rissanen's algorithm Context and the Penalized Maximum Likelihood criterion. First showing how…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-06-30 Aurélien Garivier , Florencia Leonardi

Consider a stationary Poisson process of horospheres in a $d$-dimensional hyperbolic space. In the focus of this note is the total surface area these random horospheres induce in a sequence of balls of growing radius $R$. The main result is…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-03-08 Zakhar Kabluchko , Daniel Rosen , Christoph Thäle

In this paper, we give explicit rates in the central limit theorem and in the almost sure invariance principle for general R d-valued cocycles that appear in the study of the left random walk on linear groups. Our method of proof lies on a…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-09-19 Christophe Cuny , Jérôme Dedecker , Florence Merlevède

In this work, we study non-asymptotic bounds on correlation between two time realizations of stable linear systems with isotropic Gaussian noise. Consequently, via sampling from a sub-trajectory and using \emph{Talagrands'} inequality, we…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-04-05 Muhammad Abdullah Naeem

We study the bootstrap for the maxima of the sums of independent random variables, a problem of high relevance to many applications in modern statistics. Since the consistency of bootstrap was justified by Gaussian approximation in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-08-03 Hang Deng

In this paper, we give rates of convergence, for minimal distances and for the uniform distance, between the law of partial sums of martingale differences and thelimiting Gaussian distribution. More precisely, denoting by $P_{X}$ the law of…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-01-19 Jérôme Dedecker , Florence Merlevède , Emmanuel Rio

Let $(\tau_n)$ be a sequence of toral automorphisms $\tau_n : x \rightarrow A_n x \hbox{mod}\ZZ^d$ with $A_n \in {\cal A}$, where ${\cal A}$ is a finite set of matrices in $SL(d, \mathbb{Z})$. Under some conditions the method of…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-06-22 Jean-Pierre Conze , Stéphane Le Borgne , Mikaël Roger

This work provides a novel convergence analysis for stochastic optimization in terms of stopping times, addressing the practical reality that algorithms are often terminated adaptively based on observed progress. Unlike prior approaches,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-07-17 Yasong Feng , Yifan Jiang , Tianyu Wang , Zhiliang Ying

The widespread use of Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods for high-dimensional applications has motivated research into the scalability of these algorithms with respect to the dimension of the problem. Despite this, numerous problems…

Computation · Statistics 2024-10-21 Ardjen Pengel , Jun Yang , Zhou Zhou

We prove a law of large numbers and functional central limit theorem for a class of multivariate Hawkes processes with time-dependent reproduction rate. We address the difficulties induced by the use of non-convolutive Volterra processes by…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-01-30 Thomas Deschatre , Pierre Gruet , Antoine Lotz

In high-dimensional time series analysis, Gaussian approximation (GA) schemes under various distance measures or on various collections of subsets of the Euclidean space play a fundamental role in a wide range of statistical inference…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-06-11 Miaoshiqi Liu , Jun Yang , Zhou Zhou

Datasets containing both categorical and continuous variables are frequently encountered in many areas, and with the rapid development of modern measurement technologies, the dimensions of these variables can be very high. Despite the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-03 Binyan Jiang , Chenlei Leng , Cheng Wang , Zhongqing Yang , Xinyang Yu

We characterize the convergence in distribution to a standard normal law for a sequence of multiple stochastic integrals of a fixed order with variance converging to 1. Some applications are given, in particular to study the limiting…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 David Nualart , Giovanni Peccati

In this paper we study the applicability of the bootstrap to do inference on Manski's maximum score estimator under the full generality of the model. We propose three new, model-based bootstrap procedures for this problem and show their…

Applications · Statistics 2015-12-21 Rohit Kumar Patra , Emilio Seijo , Bodhisattva Sen

We provide asymptotic theory for certain functions of the sample autocovariance matrices of a high-dimensional time series with infinite fourth moment. The time series exhibits linear dependence across the coordinates and through time.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-01-16 Johannes Heiny , Thomas Mikosch

We consider the estimation of large covariance and precision matrices from high-dimensional sub-Gaussian or heavier-tailed observations with slowly decaying temporal dependence. The temporal dependence is allowed to be long-range so with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-12-23 Hai Shu , Bin Nan

We established the rate of convergence in the central limit theorem for stopped sums of a class of martingale difference sequences.

Probability · Mathematics 2015-06-26 Lahcen Ouchti

We further explore a connection initially unveiled in Iksanov (2025) between critical beta-splitting trees and infinite `balls-in-boxes' schemes. Using the connection, we derive a new joint central limit theorem for components of the height…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-10-21 Alexander Iksanov , Anatolii Nikitin , Roman Yakymiv

We propose and analyze a model-based bootstrap for transition kernels in finite controlled Markov chains (CMCs) with possibly nonstationary or history-dependent control policies, a setting that arises naturally in offline reinforcement…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-13 Ziwei Su , Imon Banerjee , Diego Klabjan