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In this paper, we focus on the estimation of historical volatility of asset prices from high-frequency data. Stochastic volatility models pose a major statistical challenge: since in reality historical volatility is not observable, its…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-02-27 Camilla Damian , Rüdiger Frey

We solve the first-passage problem for the Heston random diffusion model. We obtain exact analytical expressions for the survival and hitting probabilities to a given level of return. We study several asymptotic behaviors and obtain…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2010-03-25 Jaume Masoliver , Josep Perello

Rough volatility models have gained considerable interest in the quantitative finance community in recent years. In this paradigm, the volatility of the asset price is driven by a fractional Brownian motion with a small value for the Hurst…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-02-16 Carsten Chong , Marc Hoffmann , Yanghui Liu , Mathieu Rosenbaum , Grégoire Szymanski

In order to calculate the unobserved volatility in conditional heteroscedastic time series models, the natural recursive approximation is very often used. Following \cite{StraumannMikosch2006}, we will call the model \emph{invertible} if…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-12-18 Alexey Sorokin

Classical measurements are passive, in the sense that they do not affect the physical properties of the measured system. Normally, quantum measurements are not passive in that sense. In the infinite dimensional Hilbert space, however, we…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2023-11-08 Tajron Jurić , Hrvoje Nikolić

In the option valuation literature, the shortcomings of one factor stochastic volatility models have traditionally been addressed by adding jumps to the stock price process. An alternate approach in the context of option pricing and…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-12-24 Gifty Malhotra , R. Srivastava , H. C. Taneja

Extensive numerical evidence shows that the assimilation of observations has a stabilizing effect on unstable dynamics, in numerical weather prediction and elsewhere. In this paper, we apply mathematically rigorous methods to showing why…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-03-08 Dan Crisan , Michael Ghil

It has been recently shown that spot volatilities can be very well modeled by rough stochastic volatility type dynamics. In such models, the log-volatility follows a fractional Brownian motion with Hurst parameter smaller than 1/2. This…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-02-10 Giulia Livieri , Saad Mouti , Andrea Pallavicini , Mathieu Rosenbaum

The leverage effect refers to the well-established relationship between returns and volatility. When returns fall, volatility increases. We examine the role of the leverage effect with regards to generating density forecasts of equity…

Applications · Statistics 2016-11-04 Leopoldo Catania , Nima Nonejad

It is now widely accepted that volatility models have to incorporate the so-called leverage effect in order to to model the dynamics of daily financial returns.We suggest a new class of multivariate power transformed asymmetric models. It…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-10-17 Yacouba Boubacar Maïnassara , Othman Kadmiri , Bruno Saussereau

The lifted Heston model is a stochastic volatility model emerging as a Markovian lift of the rough Heston model and the class of rough volatility processes. The model encodes the path dependency of volatility on a set of N square-root state…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-10-13 Nicola F. Zaugg , Lech A. Grzelak

We present a new volatility model, simple to implement, that includes a leverage effect whose return-volatility correlation function fits to empirical observations. This model is able to capture both the "retarded effect" induced by the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-01-03 Sebastien Valeyre , Denis Grebenkov , Sofiane Aboura , Qian Liu

This thesis investigates Merton's portfolio problem under two different rough Heston models, which have a non-Markovian structure. The motivation behind this choice of problem is due to the recent discovery and success of rough volatility…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-09-09 Benjamin James Duthie

The theory of gravitational wave turbulence describes the long-term statistical behaviour of a set of weakly nonlinear interacting waves. In this paper, we aim to study aspects of gravitational turbulence within the framework of general…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2026-04-01 Benoît Gay , Eugeny Babichev , Sébastien Galtier , Karim Noui

We review here the quantum mechanics of some noncommutative theories in which no state saturates simultaneously all the non trivial Heisenberg uncertainty relations. We show how the difference of structure between the Poisson brackets and…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2009-11-10 Musongela Lubo

We consider the fractional Heston model originally proposed by Comte, Coutin and Renault. Inspired by recent ground-breaking work on rough volatility, which showed that models with volatility driven by fractional Brownian motion with short…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-08-10 Hamza Guennoun , Antoine Jacquier , Patrick Roome , Fangwei Shi

We extend the Heston stochastic volatility model to a Hilbert space framework. The tensor Heston stochastic variance process is defined as a tensor product of a Hilbert-valued Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process with itself. The volatility process…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-06-13 Fred Espen Benth , Iben Cathrine Simonsen

Stochastic volatility models describe stock returns $r_t$ as driven by an unobserved process capturing the random dynamics of volatility $v_t$. The present paper quantifies how much information about volatility $v_t$ and future stock…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-10-04 Oliver Pfante , Nils Bertschinger

This study focuses on the application of the Heston model to option pricing, employing both theoretical derivations and empirical validations. The Heston model, known for its ability to incorporate stochastic volatility, is derived and…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-10-22 Zheng Cao , Xinhao Lin

For a class of stochastic models with Gaussian and rough mean-reverting volatility that embeds the genuine rough Stein-Stein model, we study the weak approximation rate when using a Euler type scheme with integrated kernels. Our first…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-23 Aurélien Alfonsi , Ahmed Kebaier