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Predictive algorithms inform consequential decisions in settings with selective labels: outcomes are observed only for units selected by past decision makers. This creates an identification problem under unobserved confounding -- when…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-11-07 Ashesh Rambachan , Amanda Coston , Edward Kennedy

We consider the conditional treatment effect for competing risks data in observational studies. While it is described as a constant difference between the hazard functions given the covariates, we do not assume specific functional forms for…

Applications · Statistics 2021-12-28 Denise Rava , Ronghui Xu

Meta-analysis is an important statistical technique for synthesizing the results of multiple studies regarding the same or closely related research question. So-called meta-regression extends meta-analysis models by accounting for…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-02-22 Thilo Welz , Eric S. Knop , Tim Friede , Markus Pauly

A fundamental challenge in semi-supervised learning lies in the observed data's disproportional size when compared with the size of the data collected with missing outcomes. An implicit understanding is that the dataset with missing…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-12 Yuqian Zhang , Jelena Bradic

In this paper, we investigate the impact of test-time adversarial attacks on linear regression models and determine the optimal level of robustness that any model can reach while maintaining a given level of standard predictive performance…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-08-02 Elvis Dohmatob , Meyer Scetbon

A fundamental notion of distance between train and test distributions from the field of domain adaptation is discrepancy distance. While in general hard to compute, here we provide the first set of provably efficient algorithms for testing…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2024-06-14 Gautam Chandrasekaran , Adam R. Klivans , Vasilis Kontonis , Konstantinos Stavropoulos , Arsen Vasilyan

Whereas confidence intervals are used to assess uncertainty due to unmeasured individuals, confounding intervals can be used to assess uncertainty due to unmeasured attributes. Previously, we have introduced a methodology for computing…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-13 Brian Knaeble , R Mitchell Hughes

Consider the problem of estimating average treatment effects when a large number of covariates are used to adjust for possible confounding through outcome regression and propensity score models. The conventional approach of model building…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-01-31 Zhiqiang Tan

Dynamic prediction of causal effects under different treatment regimes conditional on an individual's characteristics and longitudinal history is an essential problem in precision medicine. This is challenging in practice because outcomes…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-07 Yizhen Xu , Jisoo Kim , Laura K. Hummers , Ami A. Shah , Scott Zeger

For many applications, an ensemble of base classifiers is an effective solution. The tuning of its parameters(number of classes, amount of data on which each classifier is to be trained on, etc.) requires G, the generalization error of a…

In this paper, we analyze the asymptotic behavior of the main characteristics of the mean-variance efficient frontier employing random matrix theory. Our particular interest covers the case when the dimension $p$ and the sample size $n$…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-09-24 Taras Bodnar , Nikolaus Hautsch , Yarema Okhrin , Nestor Parolya

A multitude of classifiers can be trained on the same data to achieve similar performances during test time, while having learned significantly different classification patterns. This phenomenon, which we call prediction discrepancies, is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-01 Xavier Renard , Thibault Laugel , Marcin Detyniecki

Classification models are very sensitive to data uncertainty, and finding robust classifiers that are less sensitive to data uncertainty has raised great interest in the machine learning literature. This paper aims to construct robust…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-03-01 Vali Asimit , Ioannis Kyriakou , Simone Santoni , Salvatore Scognamiglio , Rui Zhu

This paper considers identification and estimation of causal effect parameters from participating in a binary treatment in a difference in differences (DID) setup when the parallel trends assumption holds after conditioning on observed…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-06-25 Carolina Caetano , Brantly Callaway , Stroud Payne , Hugo Sant'Anna Rodrigues

We consider a longitudinal data structure consisting of baseline covariates, time-varying treatment variables, intermediate time-dependent covariates, and a possibly time dependent outcome. Previous studies have shown that estimating the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-10-09 Linh Tran , Maya Petersen , Joshua Schwab , Mark J van der Laan

This paper presents robust inference methods for general linear hypotheses in linear panel data models with latent group structure in the coefficients. We employ a selective conditional inference approach, deriving the conditional…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-11-25 Oguzhan Akgun , Ryo Okui

A class of robust estimators which are obtained from dual representation of $\phi$-divergences, are studied empirically for the normal location model. Members of this class of estimators are compared, and it is found that they are efficient…

Computation · Statistics 2011-08-16 Mohamed Cherfi

We provide various norm-based definitions of different types of cross-sectional dependence and the relations between them. These definitions facilitate to comprehend and to characterize the various forms of cross-sectional dependence, such…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-04-24 Gopal K Basak , Samarjit Das

Error-in-variables regression is a common ingredient in treatment effect estimators using panel data. This includes synthetic control estimators, counterfactual time series forecasting estimators, and combinations. We study high-dimensional…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-04-20 David A. Hirshberg

We consider estimation and inference for a regression coefficient in panels with interactive fixed effects (i.e., with a factor structure). We demonstrate that existing estimators and confidence intervals (CIs) can be heavily biased and…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-05-13 Timothy B. Armstrong , Martin Weidner , Andrei Zeleneev