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We propose a multiscale approach to time series autoregression, in which linear regressors for the process in question include features of its own path that live on multiple timescales. We take these multiscale features to be the recent…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-17 Rafal Baranowski , Yining Chen , Piotr Fryzlewicz

The Gaussian process state space model (GPSSM) is a non-linear dynamical system, where unknown transition and/or measurement mappings are described by GPs. Most research in GPSSMs has focussed on the state estimation problem, i.e.,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-11-08 Stefanos Eleftheriadis , Thomas F. W. Nicholson , Marc Peter Deisenroth , James Hensman

The positive link prediction (PLP) problem is formulated in a system identification framework: we consider dynamic graphical models for auto-regressive moving-average (ARMA) Gaussian random processes. For the identification of the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-04-30 Daniele Alpago , Mattia Zorzi , Augusto Ferrante

We propose to learn latent graphical models when data have mixed variables and missing values. This model could be used for further data analysis, including regression, classification, ranking etc. It also could be used for imputing missing…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-11-17 Xiao Li , Jinzhu Jia , Yuan Yao

In process mining, process models are extracted from event logs using process discovery algorithms and are commonly assessed using multiple quality dimensions. While the metrics that measure the relationship of an extracted process model to…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-11-04 Julian Theis , Houshang Darabi

The use of latent variable models has shown to be a powerful tool for modeling probability distributions over sequences. In this paper, we introduce a new variational model that extends the recurrent network in two ways for the task of…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-12-14 Haziq Razali , Basura Fernando

This paper presents three main contributions to the field of multi-step system identification. First, drawing inspiration from Neural Network (NN) training, it introduces a tool for solving identification problems by leveraging first-order…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-02-17 Cesare Donati , Martina Mammarella , Fabrizio Dabbene , Carlo Novara , Constantino Lagoa

Gaussian graphical models are of great interest in statistical learning. Because the conditional independencies between different nodes correspond to zero entries in the inverse covariance matrix of the Gaussian distribution, one can learn…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2010-11-02 Katya Scheinberg , Shiqian Ma , Donald Goldfarb

The Dynamical Gaussian Process Latent Variable Models provide an elegant non-parametric framework for learning the low dimensional representations of the high-dimensional time-series. Real world observational studies, however, are often…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-09-26 Thanh Le , Vasant Honavar

Vector autoregressive (VAR) models are popularly adopted for modelling high-dimensional time series, and their piecewise extensions allow for structural changes in the data. In VAR modelling, the number of parameters grow quadratically with…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-01-23 Haeran Cho , Hyeyoung Maeng , Idris A. Eckley , Paul Fearnhead

In many applications of finance, biology and sociology, complex systems involve entities interacting with each other. These processes have the peculiarity of evolving over time and of comprising latent factors, which influence the system…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-08-03 Federico Tomasi , Veronica Tozzo , Saverio Salzo , Alessandro Verri

We present a model that can automatically learn alignments between high-dimensional data in an unsupervised manner. Our proposed method casts alignment learning in a framework where both alignment and data are modelled simultaneously.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-03-04 Ieva Kazlauskaite , Carl Henrik Ek , Neill D. F. Campbell

Causality graphs are routinely estimated in social sciences, natural sciences, and engineering due to their capacity to efficiently represent the spatiotemporal structure of multivariate data sets in a format amenable for human…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-11-16 Bakht Zaman , Luis Miguel Lopez Ramos , Daniel Romero , Baltasar Beferull-Lozano

Generative adversarial networks (GANs) transform latent vectors into visually plausible images. It is generally thought that the original GAN formulation gives no out-of-the-box method to reverse the mapping, projecting images back into…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-02-20 Zachary C. Lipton , Subarna Tripathi

Due to the conceptual simplicity, the linear filtering framework, notably the autoregressive (AR) process, has a long history in simulating clutter sequences with specified probability density functions (PDFs) and autocorrelation functions…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-06 Xingxing Liao , Junhao Xie

In a real life process evolving over time, the relationship between its relevant variables may change. Therefore, it is advantageous to have different inference models for each state of the process. Asymmetric hidden Markov models fulfil…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-16 Carlos Puerto-Santana , Pedro Larrañaga , Concha Bielza

Linear time series modelling is dominated by the use of purely autoregressive models even though incorporating moving average components can greatly improve parsimony. We present a convex formulation for vector-ARMA system identification…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-12-01 Alex Nguyen-Le , Victor M. Preciado

When identifying electrical, mechanical, or biological systems, parametric continuous-time identification methods can lead to interpretable and parsimonious models when the model structure aligns with the physical properties of the system.…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-09-26 Rodrigo A. González , Koen Classens , Cristian R. Rojas , James S. Welsh , Tom Oomen

In Gaussian graphical models, the likelihood equations must typically be solved iteratively. We investigate two algorithms: A version of iterative proportional scaling which avoids inversion of large matrices, and an algorithm based on…

Computation · Statistics 2023-12-12 Søren Højsgaard , Steffen Lauritzen

This note addresses identification of the $A$-matrix in continuous time linear dynamical systems on state-space form. If this matrix is partially known or known to have a sparse structure, such knowledge can be used to simplify the…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2016-05-24 Zuogon Yue , Johan Thunberg , Jorge Goncalves