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We study the problem of non-Bayesian social learning with uncertain models, in which a network of agents seek to cooperatively identify the state of the world based on a sequence of observed signals. In contrast with the existing…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-09-11 César A. Uribe , James Z. Hare , Lance Kaplan , Ali Jadbabaie

Intelligent agents must be able to articulate its own uncertainty. In this work, we show that pre-trained sequence models are naturally capable of probabilistic reasoning over exchangeable data points -- forming informed beliefs and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-12-02 Naimeng Ye , Hongseok Namkoong

Recent studies show that many types of human social activities, from scientific collaborations to sexual contacts, can be understood in terms of complex network of interactions. Such networking paradigm allows to model many aspects of…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2007-05-23 Pawel Sobkowicz

We study the set of possible joint posterior belief distributions of a group of agents who share a common prior regarding a binary state, and who observe some information structure. For two agents we introduce a quantitative version of…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2020-12-24 Itai Arieli , Yakov Babichenko , Fedor Sandomirskiy , Omer Tamuz

Here we focus on the description of the mechanisms behind the process of information aggregation and decision making, a basic step to understand emergent phenomena in society, such as trends, information spreading or the wisdom of crowds.…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-04-15 Víctor M. Eguíluz , N. Masuda , J. Fernández-Gracia

We consider a network scenario in which agents can evaluate each other according to a score graph that models some interactions. The goal is to design a distributed protocol, run by the agents, that allows them to learn their unknown state…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-06-05 Francesco Sasso , Angelo Coluccia , Giuseppe Notarstefano

We develop a model of opinion dynamics where agents in a social network seek to learn a ground truth among a set of competing hypotheses. Agents in the network form private beliefs about such hypotheses by aggregating their neighbors'…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-07-26 Diana Riazi , Giacomo Livan

This paper develops an active sensing method to estimate the relative weight (or trust) agents place on their neighbors' information in a social network. The model used for the regression is based on the steady state equation in the linear…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2016-10-06 Hoi-To Wai , Anna Scaglione , Amir Leshem

The Bayesian persuasion model studies communication between an informed sender and a receiver with a payoff-relevant action, emphasizing the ability of a sender to extract maximal surplus from his informational advantage. In this paper we…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2020-06-04 Ronen Gradwohl , Niklas Hahn , Martin Hoefer , Rann Smorodinsky

People often interact repeatedly: with relatives, through file sharing, in politics, etc. Many such interactions are reciprocal: reacting to the actions of the other. In order to facilitate decisions regarding reciprocal interactions, we…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2016-03-01 Gleb Polevoy , Mathijs de Weerdt , Catholijn Jonker

Within an agent-based model where moral classifications are socially learned, we ask if a population of agents behaves in a way that may be compared with conservative or liberal positions in the real political spectrum. We assume that…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-04-21 Nestor Caticha , Jonatas Cesar , Renato Vicente

We study a setting where a group of agents, each receiving partially informative private signals, seek to collaboratively learn the true underlying state of the world (from a finite set of hypotheses) that generates their joint observation…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-07-09 Aritra Mitra , John A. Richards , Shreyas Sundaram

We develop an overlapping generations model where each agent observes a verifiable private signal about the state and, with positive probability, also receives signals disclosed by his predecessor. The agent then takes an action and decides…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2026-02-26 Nemanja Antic , Harry Pei

A recent approach based on Bayesian inverse planning for the "theory of mind" has shown good performance in modeling human cognition. However, perfect inverse planning differs from human cognition during one kind of complex tasks due to…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2019-11-21 Ryo Nakahashi , Seiji Yamada

The dynamics of opinion formation in large groups of people is a complex non-linear phenomenon whose investigation is just at the beginning. Both collective behaviour and personal view play an important role in this mechanism. In the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2010-02-17 M. Bartolozzi , B. Leinweber , A. W. Thomas

In this paper we study a novel model of opinion dynamics in social networks, which has two main features. First, agents asynchronously interact in pairs, and these pairs are chosen according to a random process. We refer to this…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2013-04-09 Paolo Frasca , Chiara Ravazzi , Roberto Tempo , Hideaki Ishii

We study a Bayesian persuasion problem with externalities. In this model, a principal sends signals to inform multiple agents about the state of the world. Simultaneously, due to the existence of externalities in the agents' utilities, the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-12-18 Jonathan Shaki , Jiarui Gan , Sarit Kraus

We study the consensus formation for an agents based model, generalizing that originally proposed by Krause \cite{Kr}, by allowing the communication channels between any couple of agents to be switched on or off randomly, at each time step,…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2026-03-26 Gianfelice Michele , Giuseppe Scola

A common assumption in the social learning literature is that agents exchange information in an unselfish manner. In this work, we consider the scenario where a subset of agents aims at driving the network beliefs to the wrong hypothesis.…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-03-30 Konstantinos Ntemos , Virginia Bordignon , Stefan Vlaski , Ali H. Sayed

The presence of artificial agents in human social networks is growing. From chatbots to robots, human experience in the developed world is moving towards a socio-technical system in which agents can be technological or biological, with…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2019-09-04 Jesse Hoey , Neil J. MacKinnon
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