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In this paper, based on real-time nonlinear receding horizon control methodology, a novel approach is developed for parameter estimation of time invariant and time varying nonlinear dynamical systems in chaotic environments. Here, the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-11-21 Fei Sun , Kamran Turkoglu

Our paper deals with inferring simulator-based statistical models given some observed data. A simulator-based model is a parametrized mechanism which specifies how data are generated. It is thus also referred to as generative model. We…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-01-01 Michael U. Gutmann , Jukka Corander

Gaussian processes have become a promising tool for various safety-critical settings, since the posterior variance can be used to directly estimate the model error and quantify risk. However, state-of-the-art techniques for safety-critical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-22 Alexandre Capone , Armin Lederer , Sandra Hirche

We present a finite-time framework for identifying stable and unstable linear time-invariant (LTI) systems from a single closed-loop input-output trajectory. The method does not require knowledge of the stabilizing controller, an…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-26 Ahmad Al-Tawaha , Ming Jin , Khaled F. Aljanaideh

We propose a novel iterative algorithm for estimating a deterministic but unknown parameter vector in the presence of model uncertainties. This iterative algorithm is based on a system model where an overall noise term describes both, the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-11-27 Oliver Lang , Michael Lunglmayr , Mario Huemer

Model predictive control allows solving complex control tasks with control and state constraints. However, an optimal control problem must be solved in real-time to predict the future system behavior, which is hardly possible on embedded…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-04-13 Jan Olucak , Walter Fichter , Torbjørn Cunis

This paper addresses the classical problem of determining the sets of possible states of a linear discrete-time system subject to bounded disturbances from measurements corrupted by bounded noise. These so-called uncertainty sets evolve…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-05-08 Robin Hill , Yousong Luo , Uwe Schwerdtfeger

We address the problem of determining optimal sensor precisions for estimating the states of linear time-varying discrete-time stochastic dynamical systems, with guaranteed bounds on the estimation errors. This is performed in the Kalman…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-06-15 Niladri Das , Raktim Bhattacharya

Error bounds have been studied for more than seventy years, beginning with the seminal result of Hoffman (1952) [{\it J. Res. Natl. Bur. Standards}, 49 (1952), 263--265], which establishes an upper bound for the distance from an arbitrary…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-05-25 Zhou Wei , Michel Thera , Jen-Chih Yao

In this paper, we consider discrete-time non-linear stochastic dynamical systems with additive process noise in which both the initial state and noise distributions are uncertain. Our goal is to quantify how the uncertainty in these…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-05-19 Steven Adams , Eduardo Figueiredo , Luca Laurenti

For systems with uncertain linear models, bounded additive disturbances and state and control constraints, a robust model predictive control algorithm incorporating online model adaptation is proposed. Sets of model parameters are…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-07-16 Xiaonan Lu , Mark Cannon , Denis Koksal-Rivet

This paper considers the linear-quadratic dual control problem where the system parameters need to be identified and the control objective needs to be optimized in the meantime. Contrary to existing works on data-driven linear-quadratic…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-11-22 Yiwen Lu , Yilin Mo

The Error-in-Variables model of system identification/control involves nontrivial input and measurement corruption of observed data, resulting in generically nonconvex optimization problems. This paper performs full-state-feedback…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-05-21 Jared Miller , Tianyu Dai , Mario Sznaier

Model predictive control is a control approach that minimizes a stage cost over a predicted system trajectory based on a model of the system and is capable of handling state and input constraints. For uncertain models, robust or adaptive…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-06-29 Francisco Moreno-Mora , Lukas Beckenbach , Stefan Streif

Accurate prediction of structural failure modes under seismic excitations is essential for seismic risk and resilience assessment. Traditional simulation-based approaches often result in imbalanced datasets dominated by non-failure or…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-12 Jungho Kim , Taeyong Kim

Robust stability of moving-horizon estimators is investigated for nonlinear discrete-time systems that are detectable in the sense of incremental input/output-to-state stability and are affected by disturbances. The estimate of a…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-01-08 Angelo Alessandri

We study time-uniform statistical inference for parameters in stochastic approximation (SA), which encompasses a bunch of applications in optimization and machine learning. To that end, we analyze the almost-sure convergence rates of the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-10-22 Chuhan Xie , Kaicheng Jin , Jiadong Liang , Zhihua Zhang

As the complexity of control systems increases, the need for systematic methods to guarantee their efficacy grows as well. However, direct testing of these systems is oftentimes costly, difficult, or impractical. As a result, the test and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-09-10 Prithvi Akella , Ugo Rosolia , Aaron D. Ames

One of the main theoretical challenges in learning dynamical systems from data is providing upper bounds on the generalization error, that is, the difference between the expected prediction error and the empirical prediction error measured…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-22 Daniel Racz , Martin Gonzalez , Mihaly Petreczky , Andras Benczur , Balint Daroczy

We investigate the problem of persistent monitoring, where a mobile agent has to survey multiple targets in an environment in order to estimate their internal states. These internal states evolve with linear stochastic dynamics and the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-04-02 Samuel C. Pinto , Sean B. Andersson , Julien M. Hendrickx , Christos G. Cassandras