Related papers: An elementary proof of de Finetti's Theorem
In 1931 de Finetti proved what is known as his Dutch Book Theorem. This result implies that the finite additivity {\it axiom} for the probability of the disjunction of two incompatible events becomes a {\it consequence} of de Finetti's…
We investigate how to model exchangeability with choice functions. Exchangeability is a structural assessment on a sequence of uncertain variables. We show how such assessments are a special indifference assessment, and how that leads to a…
Sets of desirable gambles constitute a quite general type of uncertainty model with an interesting geometrical interpretation. We give a general discussion of such models and their rationality criteria. We study exchangeability assessments…
We prove a de Finetti theorem for exchangeable sequences of states on test spaces, where a test space is a generalization of the sample space of classical probability theory and the Hilbert space of quantum theory. The standard classical…
De Finetti theorems tell us that if we expect the likelihood of outcomes to be independent of their order, then these sequences of outcomes could be equivalently generated by drawing an experiment at random from a distribution, and…
We provide a permutation invariant version of the strong law of large numbers for exchangeable sequences of random variables. The proof consists of a combination of the Koml\'{o}s-Berkes theorem, the usual strong law of large numbers for…
We introduce a framework uniting algorithmic randomness with exchangeable credences to address foundational questions in philosophy of probability and philosophy of science. To demonstrate its power, we show how one might use the framework…
The classical de Finetti Theorem classifies the $\mathrm{Sym}(\mathbb N)$-invariant probability measures on $[0,1]^{\mathbb N}$. More precisely it states that those invariant measures are combinations of measures of the form…
A new finite form of de Finetti's representation theorem is established using elementary information-theoretic tools. The distribution of the first $k$ random variables in an exchangeable vector of $n\geq k$ random variables is close to a…
An exchangeable random matrix is a random matrix with distribution invariant under any permutation of the entries. For such random matrices, we show, as the dimension tends to infinity, that the empirical spectral distribution tends to the…
Let $\Om$ be a Borel subset of $S^\Bbb N$ where $S$ is countable. A measure is called exchangeable on $\Om$, if it is supported on $\Om$ and is invariant under every Borel automorphism of $\Om$ which permutes at most finitely many…
For the quantum stochastic processes generated by the Boolean Commutation Relations, we prove the following version of De Finetti Theorem: each of such Boolean process is exchangeable if and only if it is independent and identically…
We study sequences of noncommutative random variables which are invariant under "quantum transformations" coming from an orthogonal quantum group satisfying the "easiness" condition axiomatized in our previous paper. For 10 easy quantum…
We show that boundary theory for transient Markov chains, as initiated by Doob, can be used to prove de Finetti's classical representation result for exchangeable random sequences. We also include the relevant parts of the theory, with full…
We consider a notion of uniform thinning for a finite sequence of random variables $(X_1,...,X_n)$ obtained by removing one random variable, uniformly at random. If a triangular array of random variables $(X_{n,k} : n \in \mathbb{N}_+, 1…
In [Fortini et al., Stoch. Proc. Appl. 100 (2002), 147--165] it is demonstrated that a recurrent Markov exchangeable process in the sense of Diaconis and Freedman is essentially a partially exchangeable process in the sense of de Finetti.…
The natural habitat of most Bayesian methods is data represented by exchangeable sequences of observations, for which de Finetti's theorem provides the theoretical foundation. Dirichlet process clustering, Gaussian process regression, and…
A notion of conditionally identically distributed (c.i.d.) sequences has been studied as a form of stochastic dependence that is weaker than exchangeability, but is equivalent to exchangeability for stationary sequences. In this article we…
For a class of random partitions of an infinite set a de Finetti-type representation is derived, and in one special case a central limit theorem for the number of blocks is shown.
Partially exchangeable sequences representable as mixtures of Markov chains are completely specified by de Finetti's mixing measure. The paper characterizes, in terms of a subclass of hidden Markov models, the partially exchangeable…