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Time-consistency is an essential requirement in risk sensitive optimal control problems to make rational decisions. An optimization problem is time consistent if its solution policy does not depend on the time sequence of solving the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-03-26 Yinlam Chow , Marco Pavone

For a sequence of dynamic optimization problems, we aim at discussing a notion of consistency over time. This notion can be informally introduced as follows. At the very first time step $t_0$, the decision maker formulates an optimization…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2010-05-21 Pierre Carpentier , Jean-Philippe Chancelier , Guy Cohen , Michel De Lara , Pierre Girardeau

We study time-inconsistent recursive stochastic control problems, i.e., for which the Bellman principle of optimality does not hold. For this class of problems classical optimal controls may fail to exist, or to be relevant in practice, and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-03-14 Elisa Mastrogiacomo , Marco Tarsia

In this paper we present a dynamic programing approach to stochastic optimal control problems with dynamic, time-consistent risk constraints. Constrained stochastic optimal control problems, which naturally arise when one has to consider…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-11-24 Yin-Lam Chow , Marco Pavone

To investigate a time-consistent optimal strategy for the continuous time mean-variance model, we develop a new method to establish the Bellman principle. Based on this new method, we obtain a time-consistent dynamic optimal strategy that…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-07-24 Shuzhen Yang

We consider portfolio selection when decisions based on a dynamic risk measure are affected by the use of a moving horizon, and the possible inconsistencies that this creates. By giving a formal treatment of time consistency which is…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2010-07-12 Samuel N. Cohen , Robert J. Elliott

This paper addresses risk awareness of stochastic optimization problems. Nested risk measures appear naturally in this context, as they allow beneficial reformulations for algorithmic treatments. The reformulations presented extend usual…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-02-14 Alois Pichler , Ruben Schlotter

In this paper, which is a continuation of the previously published discrete time paper we develop a theory for continuous time stochastic control problems which, in various ways, are time inconsistent in the sense that they do not admit a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-12-13 Tomas Björk , Mariana Khapko , Agatha Murgoci

We formulate a very general framework for optimal dynamic stochastic control problems which allows for a control-dependent informational structure. The issue of informational consistency is investigated. Bellman's principle is formulated…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-05-16 Saul Jacka , Matija Vidmar

Optimization of decision problems in stochastic environments is usually concerned with maximizing the probability of achieving the goal and minimizing the expected episode length. For interacting agents in time-critical applications,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Balint Takacs , Istvan Szita , Andras Lorincz

For optimal stopping problems with time-inconsistent preference, we measure the inherent level of time-inconsistency by taking the time needed to turn the naive strategies into the sophisticated ones. In particular, when in a repeated…

General Economics · Economics 2024-08-22 Sang Hu , Zihan Zhou

In this paper we provide a flexible framework allowing for a unified study of time consistency of risk measures and performance measures (also known as acceptability indices). The proposed framework not only integrates existing forms of…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-09-08 Tomasz R. Bielecki , Igor Cialenco , Marcin Pitera

Two approaches to time consistency of risk averse multistage stochastic problems were discussed in the recent literature. In one approach certain properties of the cor-responding risk measure are postulated which imply its decomposability.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-06-06 Alexander Shapiro , Kerem Ugurlu

This paper investigates the use of risk measures and theories of choice for modeling risk-averse route choice and traffic network equilibrium with random travel times. We interpret the postulates of these theories in the context of routing,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2013-12-17 Roberto Cominetti , Alfredo Torrico

We consider challenging dynamic programming models where the associated Bellman equation, and the value and policy iteration algorithms commonly exhibit complex and even pathological behavior. Our analysis is based on the new notion of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-09-13 Dimitri P. Bertsekas

It is well known that mean-variance portfolio selection is a time-inconsistent optimal control problem in the sense that it does not satisfy Bellman's optimality principle and therefore the usual dynamic programming approach fails. We…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2012-05-23 Christoph Czichowsky

The paper concerns primal and dual representations as well as time consistency of set-valued dynamic risk measures. Set-valued risk measures appear naturally when markets with transaction costs are considered and capital requirements can be…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2014-05-22 Zachary Feinstein , Birgit Rudloff

Choosing a portfolio of risky assets over time that maximizes the expected return at the same time as it minimizes portfolio risk is a classical problem in Mathematical Finance and is referred to as the dynamic Markowitz problem (when the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-01-20 Gabriela Kováčová , Birgit Rudloff

This paper provides new conditions for dynamic optimality in discrete time and uses them to establish fundamental dynamic programming results for several commonly used recursive preference specifications. These include Epstein-Zin…

General Economics · Economics 2020-06-23 Guanlong Ren , John Stachurski

In this work we consider optimal stopping problems with conditional convex risk measures called optimised certainty equivalents. Without assuming any kind of time-consistency for the underlying family of risk measures, we derive a novel…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-12-16 Denis Belomestny , Volker Kraetschmer
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