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We study a dynamic generalization of stochastic rationality in consumer behavior, the Dynamic Random Utility Model (DRUM). Under DRUM, a consumer draws a utility function from a stochastic utility process and maximizes this utility subject…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2022-04-18 Nail Kashaev , Victor H. Aguiar

This paper studies inference of preference parameters in semiparametric discrete choice models when these parameters are not point-identified and the identified set is characterized by a class of conditional moment inequalities. Exploring…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-11-26 Le-Yu Chen , Sokbae Lee

We develop a general model of discrete choice that incorporates peer effects in preferences and consideration sets. We characterize the equilibrium behavior and establish conditions under which all parts of the model can be recovered from a…

General Economics · Economics 2026-02-05 Nail Kashaev , Natalia Lazzati , Ruli Xiao

Consider an agent taking two successive decisions to maximize his expected utility under uncertainty. After his first decision, a signal is revealed that provides information about the state of nature. The observation of the signal allows…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2009-07-24 Michel De Lara

We revisit the role of instrumental value as a driver of adaptive behavior. In active inference, instrumental or extrinsic value is quantified by the information-theoretic surprisal of a set of observations measuring the extent to which…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2020-10-14 Alvaro Ovalle , Simon M. Lucas

Recommender systems learn from past user behavior to predict future user preferences. Intuitively, it has been established that the most recent interactions are more indicative of future preferences than older interactions. Many…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2025-08-07 Joey De Pauw , Bart Goethals

Many economic studies use shift-share instruments to estimate causal effects. Often, all shares need to fulfil an exclusion restriction, making the identifying assumption strict. This paper proposes to use methods that relax the exclusion…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-07-05 Nicolas Apfel

In this work we examine the problem of data-driven prediction. That is, given a LTI system with unknown dynamics, we wish to use data collected from the system to predict the system's output response to a given sequence of known inputs.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-04-14 Joel Stevens , Jeremy Coulson

We derive asymptotically optimal statistical decision rules for discrete choice problems when payoffs depend on a partially-identified parameter $\theta$ and the decision maker can use a point-identified parameter $\mu$ to deduce…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-12-19 Timothy Christensen , Hyungsik Roger Moon , Frank Schorfheide

In this paper, we study a Markov decision process with a non-linear discount function and with a Borel state space. We define a recursive discounted utility, which resembles non-additive utility functions considered in a number of models in…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-10-16 Nicole Bäuerle , Anna Jaśkiewicz , Andrzej S. Nowak

We study the problem of designing optimal learning and decision-making formulations when only historical data is available. Prior work typically commits to a particular class of data-driven formulation and subsequently tries to establish…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-03-13 Amine Bennouna , Bart P. G. Van Parys

Humans often juggle multiple, sometimes conflicting objectives and shift their priorities as circumstances change, rather than following a fixed objective function. In contrast, most computational decision-making and multi-objective RL…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-03-25 Xianwei Cao , Dou Quan , Zhenliang Zhang , Shuang Wang

We present a novel dynamic recommendation model that focuses on users who have interactions in the past but turn relatively inactive recently. Making effective recommendations to these time-sensitive cold-start users is critical to maintain…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2022-04-05 Krishna Prasad Neupane , Ervine Zheng , Yu Kong , Qi Yu

In discrete choice modeling (DCM), model misspecifications may lead to limited predictability and biased parameter estimates. In this paper, we propose a new approach for estimating choice models in which we divide the systematic part of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-09-23 Brian Sifringer , Virginie Lurkin , Alexandre Alahi

Present bias, the tendency to overvalue immediate rewards while undervaluing future ones, is a well-known barrier to achieving long-term goals. As artificial intelligence and behavioral economics increasingly focus on this phenomenon, the…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2024-09-18 Yasunori Akagi , Hideaki Kim , Takeshi Kurashima

Data-driven sequential decision has found a wide range of applications in modern operations management, such as dynamic pricing, inventory control, and assortment optimization. Most existing research on data-driven sequential decision…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-09-01 Yining Wang , Xi Chen , Xiangyu Chang , Dongdong Ge

This paper introduces a novel contextual bandit algorithm for personalized pricing under utility fairness constraints in scenarios with uncertain demand, achieving an optimal regret upper bound. Our approach, which incorporates dynamic…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-11-29 Xi Chen , David Simchi-Levi , Yining Wang

The paper [12] examines a concept of equilibrium policies instead of optimal controls in stochastic optimization to analyze a mean-variance portfolio selection problem. We follow the same approach in order to investigate the Merton…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-04-23 I. Alia , F. Chighoub , N. Khelfallah , J. Vives

This paper presents an algorithm that generates the conditional moment inequalities that characterize the identified set of the common parameter of various semi-parametric panel multinomial choice models. I consider both static and dynamic…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-05-26 Eric Mbakop

The abstraction of dynamical systems is a powerful tool that enables the design of feedback controllers using a correct-by-design framework. We investigate a novel scheme to obtain data-driven abstractions of discrete-time stochastic…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-04-15 Rudi Coppola , Andrea Peruffo , Licio Romao , Alessandro Abate , Manuel Mazo